1. #36
    playersonly69
    playersonly69's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-08
    Posts: 12,827
    Betpoints: 142

    Quote Originally Posted by Lou View Post
    The expert has a background in mathematics, statistics and is one of the world's most foremost experts on backgammon.

    GL with your wager.. the professional opinion of the expert is that you're going to need it.

    Is that expert aware that this year more people than last year have made it to day 3 (% wise anyway)? Is he also aware that this year they ONLY play 4 levels instead of the usual 5 levels?


    Also this year ESPN will be webcasting during day 3. That has NEVER happened before. That force some tight play out of some of the players.


    You statistics expert cant factor in the above information.



    I mean seriously Lou. Someone who would have around 40,000 chips should have your +220 odds.
    Last edited by playersonly69; 07-13-11 at 05:34 PM.

  2. #37
    xyzky
    xyzky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-07
    Posts: 1,577
    Betpoints: 121

    Didnt load for some reason, will try again...
    Last edited by xyzky; 07-14-11 at 11:16 AM.

  3. #38
    tblues2005
    tblues2005's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-30-06
    Posts: 9,234
    Betpoints: 7184

    put 5 on no +220 for me Lou.

  4. #39
    pouroupoupou
    pouroupoupou's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-13-10
    Posts: 971
    Betpoints: 55

    184 on NO @ +220

    Come on Fuzzy

  5. #40
    Bo$$ Bet$
    Bo$$ Bet$'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-10
    Posts: 3,062

    250 big ones on NO Fuzzster will NOT be eliminated on day 3 @ +220

    Come on fuzzzzzzzy #TeamFuzz

  6. #41
    JerseyLove
    JerseyLove's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-10
    Posts: 2,183
    Betpoints: 61

    No, Fuzzy will not be eliminated on Day 3: +220 for 10 points

  7. #42
    yisman
    yisman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-08
    Posts: 75,682
    Betpoints: 246162

    This is setting up like when SBR John used to have those big specials way back when.

  8. #43
    McCarthyFam
    McCarthyFam's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-06-11
    Posts: 1,700
    Betpoints: 331

    160 on no at +220

  9. #44
    Pete0
    --------------------
    Pete0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-09-10
    Posts: 3,849
    Betpoints: 106

    Very interesting .... Just ask yourselves this...


    In the history of SBR, what happens when 100 % of the posters are on a particular side ??


    That being said.... I am going to make a homer pick , and risk 10 points on NO .

    GO FUZZYY !!

  10. #45
    Augustus
    Augustus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-05-06
    Posts: 2,787
    Betpoints: 20

    250 on NO at +220

  11. #46
    FuzzyDunlop
    Poster of the Month October 2015
    FuzzyDunlop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-11
    Posts: 2,422
    Betpoints: 61

    I hope anyone that bets yes get buried.

  12. #47
    Cuse0323
    Cuse0323's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-09
    Posts: 30,169
    Betpoints: 87

    100 on yes.
    Points Awarded:

    Lou gave Cuse0323 140 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  13. #48
    CanuckG
    CanuckG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-10
    Posts: 21,951
    Betpoints: 584

    Entire Public on NO you know what that means

  14. #49
    playersonly69
    playersonly69's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-04-08
    Posts: 12,827
    Betpoints: 142

    Well betting the -250 isnt really appealing.


    I am not saying that you will make it to day 4 for sure or not, but the line is Wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off. I mean it is not even close to being correct judging from the amount of chips that you have. By the way, are we SURE that you actually have the amount of chips that Lou said that you had?

  15. #50
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    Quote Originally Posted by playersonly69 View Post
    Well betting the -250 isnt really appealing.


    I am not saying that you will make it to day 4 for sure or not, but the line is Wayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy off. I mean it is not even close to being correct judging from the amount of chips that you have. By the way, are we SURE that you actually have the amount of chips that Lou said that you had?
    He has 93,000 chips confirmed.

  16. #51
    SBR Lou
    SBR Lou's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-02-07
    Posts: 37,863

    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    He has 93,000 chips confirmed.
    I'm offended by PlayersOnly line of questioning.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: yisman

  17. #52
    BeatTheJerk
    BeatTheJerk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-07
    Posts: 31,798
    Betpoints: 84

    Mr. Zoeller is doing quite well.

  18. #53
    yisman
    yisman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-08
    Posts: 75,682
    Betpoints: 246162

    I do tend to agree with what PO is saying. I haven't watched Fuzzy play, but I tend to think he has a better chance of making it through the day than +220 suggests.

  19. #54
    rm18
    Update your status
    rm18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-05
    Posts: 22,291
    Betpoints: 207814

    250 on NO

  20. #55
    doublej95
    Co Power Poster 2011
    doublej95's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-10
    Posts: 14,094
    Betpoints: 19

    keep making us proud Fuzzy.

  21. #56
    Robber
    Robber's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-09
    Posts: 6,432
    Betpoints: 92737

    No for 250

  22. #57
    ryanspeer2001
    Punta Cana '15
    ryanspeer2001's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-08
    Posts: 3,149
    Betpoints: 25

    Some good value in No here. I may lay some points.

  23. #58
    shari91
    shari91's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-10
    Posts: 32,661
    Betpoints: 1689

    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Entire Public on NO you know what that means
    Yeah normally these things don't tend to turn out well when we're piled on one side. This time I prefer to think that all of the No bettors realise the line is too high and we're following proper gambling strategy here. Plus, usually when we're betting on something it involves overpaid athletes, many of whom have peabrains. Fuzzy's in this to win it. May be his one chance to dance so I know he'll bust his ass to make it through.

  24. #59
    Streakster777
    Chasin da Mony!
    Streakster777's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-11
    Posts: 262

    Playersonly69,

    Are you still in Vegas? How did you get knocked out of the tourney?

    It would of been great if you were still in it.

  25. #60
    BookiesBernanke
    BookiesBernanke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-09-10
    Posts: 849
    Betpoints: 25

    No, Fuzzy will not be eliminated on Day 3: +220
    86 points

  26. #61
    Streakster777
    Chasin da Mony!
    Streakster777's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-11
    Posts: 262

    Would be funny, if on the very last hand of day 3, Fuzzy has an allin hand, but just to be on the safe side in case he loses, he keeps 1 chip back to stay alive to ensure he comes back for day 4,

  27. #62
    Iwinyourmoney
    IWIN.........IN!
    Iwinyourmoney's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-18-07
    Posts: 18,368
    Betpoints: 733

    How crappy would that be like the guy said above, even for any player.
    The last hand of the day and you end the day with like 100 chips or less.

    Imagine it was at the end of a day where you don't come back and play for 2 days.

    I'd just head home

  28. #63
    Roadtrip635
    Roadtrip635's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-10
    Posts: 6,129
    Betpoints: 21078

    25 points Fuzzy will NOT be eliminated!

    Go, Go Fuzzy!

  29. #64
    noober
    noober's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-09
    Posts: 2,012
    Betpoints: 5901

    100 points on NO

  30. #65
    Streakster777
    Chasin da Mony!
    Streakster777's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-11
    Posts: 262

    Quote Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
    How crappy would that be like the guy said above, even for any player.
    The last hand of the day and you end the day with like 100 chips or less.

    Imagine it was at the end of a day where you don't come back and play for 2 days.

    I'd just head home
    Good point, but I know in playing online poker a lot of us have had those miracle comebacks from like 100 chips to getting back into the game. Maybe not at these blinds though, would need like 10 double ups.

  31. #66
    Bo$$ Bet$
    Bo$$ Bet$'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-10
    Posts: 3,062

    What day/time exactly is day 3??

  32. #67
    yisman
    yisman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-08
    Posts: 75,682
    Betpoints: 246162

    Tomorrow.

    3 PM EDT

  33. #68
    Bo$$ Bet$
    Bo$$ Bet$'s Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-08-10
    Posts: 3,062

    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    Tomorrow.

    3 PM EDT
    Ty and this is gonna be on espn? Have we identified our suspects actual name yet?

  34. #69
    JMUplayer
    Update your status
    JMUplayer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-27-09
    Posts: 2,765
    Betpoints: 21752

    Anyone got a picture of Fuzzy?

  35. #70
    yisman
    yisman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-08
    Posts: 75,682
    Betpoints: 246162

    ESPN3.com will have coverage early on. No way of knowing what tables will be shown.

    ESPN2 I think picks it up in primetime (7 PM EDT).

First 12345 ... Last
Top