1. #1
    KingKolzig
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    (Warning) Vegas is setting a trap tonight

    Clemson/UAB will sail over. Many of my guys have this game set at 133.5 with a 77% chance of 10+ late free throws as both coaches are accustomed to fouling late even when game is out of reach. At 121.5 it is a gift to the public (an ez win) so that they will take a majority of overs this tournament. This is not a theory it happens every year, so take the ez win tonight but stay clear of any overs the rest of the tournamnent unless you get a great early line.

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    Kolzag no clue but I hope you win

    Love Chick in your avatar

  3. #3
    JMobile
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    Lets see what happens....

  4. #4
    Joe Sharp
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    Love it

  5. #5
    Sunde91
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    Kolzag on to something.

    123 now, but should definitely be in 130s.

    UAB 69 ppg, Clemson 68 ppg.

    Lowest total of year for UAB, 3rd lowest for Clemson (@ UVA 121, Mich 121.5). Fouls late likely.

    Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11 at 07:55 PM.

  6. #6
    BGboothA
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    well not sure on the logic, but I was already on it...here hoping to hitting this quick and dirty

  7. #7
    INVEGA MAN
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    i am all over this like stink on shit

  8. #8
    stefank
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    Interesting line, will watch it close. Thanks for the insight Kolzig.

  9. #9
    milwaukee mike
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    up to 124 now and still too low imho, good chance of fouls late or overtime to bail us out if it's low scoring.
    good luck all

  10. #10
    milwaukee mike
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    Quote Originally Posted by stefank View Post
    Interesting line, will watch it close. Thanks for the insight Kolzig.
    how closely are you going to watch it when the game starts in 1/2 hour or so? don't watch the line bet the fukking thing

  11. #11
    Smoke
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    Vegas doesn't set traps, no such thing, your fukked unless u get lucky

  12. #12
    KingKolzig
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Vegas doesn't set traps, no such thing, your fukked unless u get lucky
    yes they do. psych warfare, you have to know when they are giving u something

  13. #13
    Sunde91
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    UAB cannot even catch a pass or dribble the ball without turning it over. 8 minutes without a FG. Get this fuking team out of here, just like everyone has said.

    Clemson wins by 30 and over has no shot

  14. #14
    Powderguy
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    Started off great, not so much any more, unless Clemson scores 90

  15. #15
    VegasInsider
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    No free throws deciding this one.

    I was on the over before you posted this thread...but Vegas doesn't set traps.

  16. #16
    KingKolzig
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    UAB cannot even catch a pass or dribble the ball without turning it over. 8 minutes without a FG. Get this fuking team out of here, just like everyone has said.

    Clemson wins by 30 and over has no shot
    couldnt disagree more. refs are calling every single bump a foul. UAB will be at the line soon, i bet they end up scoring 25+ pts this half

  17. #17
    RubberKettle
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    UAB is terrible. Their offensive sets are not working. Will they even get to 40 points?

  18. #18
    KingKolzig
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    only 5dimes live casino, everytime i log on the lady dealer says "oh hello kolzie, going to smash us with ur martingale system tonight?"

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    Right now its right on the number

    Common Kolizifer

  20. #20
    Extra Innings
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Right now its right on the number

    Common Kolizifer
    No it's not....at these pace theyll end with 148

  21. #21
    RubberKettle
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    UAB has overcome the butterflies. They are actually playing basketball now.

  22. #22
    Sunde91
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    10 points over 123 pace + factor in higher scoring 2half with fouls.

    8 point game.

    UAB playing with confidence now.

    We have this if UAB keeps playing.
    Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11 at 09:39 PM.

  23. #23
    KingKolzig
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    first half o/u was 55.5, so anyone who wants out of this bet can hedge at halftime. might even get a real large middle ground

  24. #24
    kylehen_son
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    looks solid so far... GL

  25. #25
    IAMWINNER
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingKolzig View Post
    first half o/u was 55.5, so anyone who wants out of this bet can hedge at halftime. might even get a real large middle ground
    whats the 2nd half play?

  26. #26
    KingKolzig
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    Quote Originally Posted by IAMWINNER View Post
    whats the 2nd half play?
    hold steady at o123, only need 56 more pts. UAB could go cold but the pace shouldnt change, clemson likes it up tempo and vegas knew it with this low-trap

  27. #27
    timmyboy34243
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    not for sure they keep the same tempo 2H, i'm on uab @ pk 2H......gl on the over.

  28. #28
    IAMWINNER
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingKolzig View Post
    hold steady at o123, only need 56 more pts. UAB could go cold but the pace shouldnt change, clemson likes it up tempo and vegas knew it with this low-trap
    what about Over 68 2nd half?

  29. #29
    KingKolzig
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    Quote Originally Posted by IAMWINNER View Post
    what about Over 68 2nd half?
    personally im just sitting on the o123. if u are looking for a pick on the o68 dont look 2 me im full of sh1t

  30. #30
    Maverick11
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    UAB sucks and shouldn't be in the tourney just like everyone thought and your over pick is history.

  31. #31
    Sunde91
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    And...that's why you get a good line. Opener 121.5 = cash, 123+ = crash, burn.

    Gotta love no fouls down 13 two minutes left after sinking 2 threes. And walking up the court the entire 2nd half. Way to go failed former Indiana coach for motivating team; they played with fire

    That 1 point loss brings me to 0-8-1 last 9 plays
    Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11 at 11:00 PM.

  32. #32
    mr. leisure
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    landed on 122

  33. #33
    RubberKettle
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    Wow what a rooster tease. All those 3's to end 1 point short of a push. UAB was a joke and the NCAA Commitee should apologize.

  34. #34
    Extra Innings
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingKolzig View Post
    personally im just sitting on the o123. if u are looking for a pick on the o68 dont look 2 me im full of sh1t


    Fat guy laughing over here. Karma Bitch

    Apologies to anybody that followed this dope but we have a long standing battle.

  35. #35
    Johnnythunder
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    Man that really sucked....really getting killed on NCAA totals here

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