[LVBOUND]

I have been searching for a sight that has historical run lines for MLB. I checked covers, sportsdatabase.com, Vegasinsider..... nothing

So I was hoping as an alternative to find a calculation and do it myself.

Thanks.
10 SBR for helping.

Matt

[Doug]

the total is a factor in it.

[RudyRuetigger]

Phil,

Just like you can convert a spread into a moneyline in most sports, there are conversion charts for baseball. They are a little more complex though - you need both a moneyline and total to determine the fair runline. You also need to account for whether the home team or road team is the runline favorite - since the game ends in the middle of the 9th when the home team is leading, home favorite runline prices are more expensive than road teams...

I don't remember exactly, but the home team wins a game by exactly 1 run about 21% of the time, and a visiting team does so by about 14% of the time. The lower the total, the more often this happens. One other technical adjustment you can make: if a team has a strong bullpen and closer, they tend to win by exactly one more often (remember Gagne at LA when he was on fire?)

You might check the lines at Pinnacle. Not

[Bluehorseshoe]

Scores and odds.com has it.

[RudyRuetigger]

and heres the thread so you can see what others say
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...onversion.html