1. #1
    OmgUrMom
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    Big score on the Real Madrid-Levante game.

    did a parlay on the game, Levante +1 and the total under 3.

    is this what they call a correlated parlay?

    can this be profitable?

    what is best way to maximize profit?

  2. #2
    yisman
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    yes, it's correlated.

    More correlated would be fave+over, though.

  3. #3
    OmgUrMom
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    Can you make a lot of money betting correlated parlays?

    for example i found a place where say Real Madrid is playing Levante, lines are Madrid +1, Levante -1, Over 3/Under 3.

    Can you make a +ev play out of this?

    What would be the best play? +1 and under 3? -1 and over 3??

    thanks for any help

  4. #4
    pavyracer
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    Ask trixtrix. He has exploited this before.

  5. #5
    OmgUrMom
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    pavy do you know? i just need answers

  6. #6
    trixtrix
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    both are +ev, how much is debatable and depending on the odds you get..

    don't expect any real answers out of pavy, he wouldn't know a +ev bet unless he's cheating by betting a -350 line at -110

  7. #7
    OmgUrMom
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    a lot of chalk on the soccer picks....ill give you a sample from tomorrow

    Portimonense 0 -140 vs Vitoria de Sebutal +110 total 2 over -110, under -120

    this game there would be NO +ev bet right?

    next game

    Club Nexaca -.5 (+110) vs +.5 (-140) Over under 2.5 Over (Even) Under (-130)

    any plus ev plays on the 2nd or is that too much chalk?

  8. #8
    OmgUrMom
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    bigger goal differentials are usually better as well correct? like -1.5 ect...

  9. #9
    yisman
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    yes, bigger goal differentials

    you would bet fave and over

    like if real madrid were -2 and the total were 3

    that's why basically no books offer them.

  10. #10
    OmgUrMom
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    lol my threads were merged, makes this a bit confusing.

  11. #11
    OmgUrMom
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    would of preferred the mods to just delete one oh well

  12. #12
    trixtrix
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    lower the projected total the higher the correlation

    but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110

  13. #13
    pavyracer
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    Be careful. The book may be allowing you to bet them on purpose so that when you request a payout they will confiscate your balance and boot you.

  14. #14
    OmgUrMom
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    [quote=trixtrix;8241237]lower the projected total the higher the correlation

    but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

    i don't think that will work.

    If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?

  15. #15
    OmgUrMom
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Be careful. The book may be allowing you to bet them on purpose so that when you request a payout they will confiscate your balance and boot you.
    wouldnt that look bad for them?

    its an option so i should be able to bet it. i will look in the rules and see if there is anything there

  16. #16
    pavyracer
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    [QUOTE=OmgUrMom;8241321]
    Quote Originally Posted by trixtrix View Post
    lower the projected total the higher the correlation

    but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

    i don't think that will work.

    If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?
    They don't care. You are small fish in a big pond full of sharks.

  17. #17
    trixtrix
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    [quote=OmgUrMom;8241321]
    Quote Originally Posted by trixtrix View Post
    lower the projected total the higher the correlation

    but if you really want to make money, you must cheat like pavy and bet obv errant -350 lines at -110[/quote]

    i don't think that will work.

    If they confiscate my funds from doing this it would look poorly upon them would it not?
    ask pavy on the errant line cheating part, that's not my cup of tea

    in regards to cps, yes if they accept the bet they should honour it, you can resort sbr as a recourse

  18. #18
    RollPlayer
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    SBR will be hesitant to help a player who knowingly cheated the system though, especially if you made a thread asking how to best cheat the system...

  19. #19
    OmgUrMom
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollPlayer View Post
    SBR will be hesitant to help a player who knowingly cheated the system though, especially if you made a thread asking how to best cheat the system...
    how am i cheating the system? Im confused how i would be cheating if 1. they book the bet. 2. no where in their rules does it say i can't make a correllated parlay bet.

    isnt the point of this game to win money?

    im not gonna win trying to play -110 sides thats for sure, and pretty much no one else does either.

  20. #20
    latinrus
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    Quote Originally Posted by OmgUrMom View Post
    did a parlay on the game, Levante +1 and the total under 3.

    is this what they call a correlated parlay?

    can this be profitable?

    what is best way to maximize profit?
    Yes correlated but bookies don't let u do it!

  21. #21
    sickler
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    Quote Originally Posted by latinrus View Post
    Yes correlated but bookies don't let u do it!
    You can occasionally find bookies with their head up their ass not realizing they're allowing it. Keep it to yourself and place the correlated bets.

  22. #22
    latinrus
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    Quote Originally Posted by sickler View Post

    You can occasionally find bookies with their head up their ass not realizing they're allowing it. Keep it to yourself and place the correlated bets.
    I use Pinny and Betfair they wont ahve that kind of errors with correlated parlays!

    I'm also on a local bookie I've never seen that also!

  23. #23
    Doug
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    There is no online book that I'd trust to pay these anymore. You're too late to the party. A dumb local may take it for awhile.

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