1. #36
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    1* BRADLEY -4.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98

    2* Kentucky -13.5 (1.98). 2 to win 1.96
    Adding another unit on KY: -13 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

    2* play = PURDUE -26.5 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.
    ...I know it's a huge #.
    ...Grambling has to be stoked to get the NCAA win.
    ...Purdue should be laser-focused here. The Matt Painter era is checkered with tournament failures. Chance to send a message and kick off their run to the Final Four.

  2. #37
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    3* Illinois -11.5 (1.98). 3 to win 2.94.
    ...I don't really rate Morehead St's conference too highly.

  3. #38
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* CREIGHTON -12.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98.
    ...Just an action play.
    ...But I do like em. Very solid team.

  4. #39
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    1* CREIGHTON -12.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98.
    ...Just an action play.
    ...But I do like em. Very solid team.
    Adding a unit: -12 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
    Points Awarded:

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  5. #40
    veriableodds
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    Good luck CHUCK. I do believe Mississippi state rolls today. Just wish the ml line was atleast+110 and not +100

  6. #41
    johnnyvegas13
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    Gl w all ur action chuck

  7. #42
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    Good luck CHUCK. I do believe Mississippi state rolls today. Just wish the ml line was atleast+110 and not +100
    Thx, veri. I'll look at that one some more. I do think bettors have a knee-jerk reaction to back Izzo in March.

  8. #43
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Gl w all ur action chuck
    Thx, John. I need all the help I can get.

  9. #44
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Adding a unit: -12 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
    Yes. Very happy to get Creighton in.

  10. #45
    johnnyvegas13
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    How ya doing so far Chuck

  11. #46
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Fri NBA play. 2* Utah Jazz +13.5 (2.02). 2 to win 2.04.
    ...I got the Markannen news wrong last game.
    ...I read that he is expected to play tonite.
    ...Mavs look a little pricy to me. And the Jazz did hang the # last game.

  12. #47
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Fri NBA play. 2* Utah Jazz +13.5 (2.02). 2 to win 2.04.
    ...I got the Markannen news wrong last game.
    ...I read that he is expected to play tonite.
    ...Mavs look a little pricy to me. And the Jazz did hang the # last game.
    Adding a unit: +14.5 (1.92). 1 to win .92.

  13. #48
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    NBA play: 1* Brooklyn Nets +10.5 (2.00). 1 to win 1.00
    ...View this as a good spot play.
    ...Giannis returns after missing two games.
    ...Bucks covered the L2 games by shooting the lights out. Ton of 3s at a 50% clip.
    ...Huge comeback effort last nite at Boston. I expect them to be a little flat here.

  14. #49
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Very good nite. Only loss was SMU. 4-2. Week = 13-13.
    Profitable day. 14-8. Week = 27-21.

    In the NBA:
    *Nets do a good job to hang the #.
    *Looked like the Jazz were going to get there, but they get pipped late. My assessment of Markkanen was off. I thought he would benefit from resting WED, but he had a very subpar game.

  15. #50
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    NBA play for FRI = 2* Indiana Pacers +4.5 (1.96) (@GoldSt). 2 to win 1.92

  16. #51
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    FYI: Tracking the NCAA Women's Bask in the other thread. Will tack it onto the Sunday nite weekly summary.

  17. #52
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    NBA play for FRI = 2* Indiana Pacers +4.5 (1.96) (@GoldSt). 2 to win 1.92
    Adding two units: IND Pacers +5 (1.95). 2 to win 1.90

  18. #53
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* Yale +13.5 (1.95). 1 to win .95

  19. #54
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* Florida +1.5 (1.98). 1 to win .98.

  20. #55
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Adding two units: IND Pacers +5 (1.95). 2 to win 1.90
    One more unit on the Pacers: +5 (2.00). 1 to win 1.00.
    ...So, 5* in total.
    ...Line move may be tied to Draymond Green being a GTD.

    3* New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 (1.91). 3 to win 2.73.

  21. #56
    veriableodds
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    Ok chuck needs your serious thoughts on this one. Why does Michigan state have such a high KenPom rating??? I mean really, they have 14 loses. I think UNC is value even on the MoneyLine, so I'm asking. THANKS again Chuck.

  22. #57
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    Ok chuck needs your serious thoughts on this one. Why does Michigan state have such a high KenPom rating??? I mean really, they have 14 loses. I think UNC is value even on the MoneyLine, so I'm asking. THANKS again Chuck.
    I have to plead some ignorance on that one. Haven't been as well-prepared as I should be.

    I'll give a few general answers:
    1) It normally comes back to Strength of Schedule. Ergo, if MichSt has played a tough schedule, their Power Rating may be high despite some losses. But North Carolina hasn't had an easy schedule. AND teams like Clemson/NCSt already won games in this tourney.

    2) Lastly, I don't view KenPom as bible at all. I'm glad that the oddsmakers use him as a source. That means they didn't bother to do their own research.
    ...I love when my projection looks different than KenPom. Tells me I probably have an edge on that game.

  23. #58
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    One more unit on the Pacers: +5 (2.00). 1 to win 1.00.
    ...So, 5* in total.
    ...Line move may be tied to Draymond Green being a GTD.

    3* New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 (1.91). 3 to win 2.73.
    NBA goes very well. Both dogs win outright. Pacers with a huge 3q.

    *8-0 on the NBA today.
    ...I don't know that the 5* streak is. But I know it's pretty good.
    Points Awarded:

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  24. #59
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Profitable day. 14-8. Week = 27-21.

    In the NBA:
    *Nets do a good job to hang the #.
    *Looked like the Jazz were going to get there, but they get pipped late. My assessment of Markkanen was off. I thought he would benefit from resting WED, but he had a very subpar game.
    Very good day. FRI: (7-4 Coll Bask) + (8-0 NBA) = 15-4. Week = 42-25.
    Points Awarded:

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  25. #60
    trobin31
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    Good shiite

  26. #61
    veriableodds
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    Great work Chuck. ON fire

  27. #62
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by veriableodds View Post
    Great work Chuck. ON fire
    Thanks, veri! When you're running good, there's seemingly only one way to go. And that's down.

  28. #63
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    NBA for SAT: 1* Toronto RAPTORS +6 (1.90). 1 to win .90
    ...They are foul. But I question how WASH can be favored by this much.
    ...Tor on a long losing streak. WASH off a rare win.
    ...Bagley returns for WASH. But I can't see him getting extended minutes first game back.

  29. #64
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    3* Bethune-Cookman +13 (1.94). 3 to win 2.82.

  30. #65
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* Coll Bask: 810 CINCINNATI -5.5 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

  31. #66
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    2* 804 Kansas +4 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.
    ...Dickinson did play last game, and he played well.
    ...Zags got a walk in the park last game. Wouldn't give them too much credit. Much tougher here.

  32. #67
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    2* 804 Kansas +4 (1.91). 2 to win 1.82.
    ...Dickinson did play last game, and he played well.
    ...Zags got a walk in the park last game. Wouldn't give them too much credit. Much tougher here.
    Adding a 3rd unit on KS: +4 (1.91). 1 to win .91.

  33. #68
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    2* NCState -6 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86 (vs Oak).

    ...I think people have the wrong read on NCSt. Not a Cinderalla. Good team, just out of a tough conference.
    ...Oakland off an amazing effort. Break-thru win over KY.
    ...Calipari deserves to take his share of blame for that one. Defensive preparation was lacking. Gohlke shot them out.

  34. #69
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    1* Chicago St +9.5 (1.96). 1 to win .96

  35. #70
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    3* Bethune-Cookman +13 (1.94). 3 to win 2.82.
    Cooks give a great effort. Lose by only one, hang the #.

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