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Where's the value in this proposition wager?
TO WIN THE AL CENTRAL
Minnesota -175
Cleveland +170
Probability of Minnesota wining the division as of 6/30 (54%)
Probability of Cleveland wining the division as of 6/30 (40%)
Current Remaining Average Tm Lg D W L W L W L Post Div 1 Minnesota AL C 40 42 42.3 37.7 82.3 79.7 54.30% 53.70% 2 Cleveland AL C 39 41 41.2 40.8 80.2 81.8 39.60% 39.20%
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You're getting +170 on a +150 bet with Cleveland.
There's your value.
Ran it Thru the simulation
Minnesota Twins 61%
Cleveland Guardians 37%
Slight value on Guardians here but.. To me It's dead money because Guardians hitting is yuck
Good Luck
Oh, for sure.Originally Posted by Darkside Magick
After Naylor and J-Ram, Cleveland's lineup is soft powerwise.
Cleveland does have the better overall pitching, but if Bieber goes down, so does Cleveland.
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Cleveland, obviously. Only one game back and way better odds.
If Clase stopped blowing fukkin saves they'd have a 4 game lead
Just curious, how did you know the chances of Cleveland winning the division are 40%?
The chart I posted are baseball-reference numbers.
BR is the most accurate.
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franz555 gave stevenash 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.