1. #1
    DISTROYA
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    Ralph Michaels capper info

    Hearing a lot about this dude
    Looks like a phony.
    Anyone have experience with him in CBB or NBA before?
    Ive tracked him over at their website hes hitting 40% since jan 1 2023
    Thinking fade material?

  2. #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Hearing a lot about this dude
    Looks like a phony.
    Anyone have experience with him in CBB or NBA before?
    Ive tracked him over at their website hes hitting 40% since jan 1 2023
    Thinking fade material?
    You're on to something. But this should be no surprise.

    Remember a few things:
    1) These guys chose that profession.
    2) It's all about making the sale.
    3) If you SOUND like you know what you're talking about, that's half the battle.
    4) Guy uses a database. And that part I believe.
    5) RESPECTED by his fellow touts. Big deal. Your tracking of him tells it all.

  3. #3
    DISTROYA
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    Have you ever used the services to fade or track them at all? I have 2 small of a sample size to make a decision but it seems doesn't know what the hell hes doing

  4. #4
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Have you ever used the services to fade or track them at all? I have 2 small of a sample size to make a decision but it seems doesn't know what the hell hes doing
    Distroya:

    *Like most on this site, I've paid for service plays. My experience is that they were NOT worth it. It's just an expense.
    *I did pay for the Phil Steele FCS pages in the fall. But that's a little different. You get a weekly update of the scores, so not really paying for Picks.
    *Ralph Michaels might be an example. But he's no different than any of the other touts. He's CHOOSING to sell his picks.

    *If his picks were so valuable, wouldn't he want to keep them to himself?
    *Handicapping is a very challenging venture. If only it were so easy as to access your database.

  5. #5
    OldBill
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    i tried a service years ago in the 2001 for nfl 1st 3 weeks 1-9 was $50 per week no dogs all chalks

    i lied about bet per game i said 500 - 1000

  6. #6
    DISTROYA
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    I have been around long enough to know that these services are mostly Scams... I'm just trying to find out if anyone has had experience fading this guy

  7. #7
    DISTROYA
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    Oldbill... That sounds Like Terrific Fade Who was it

  8. #8
    pologq
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    i never tracked ralph michaels but i have looked at the site he is on with his other boys like mr teddy covers. there are times when he is spot on though with his free plays. i never paid for his picks.

    as chuck said, i think he relies on his data too much. when it hits it looks smart. when it loses it looks outdated.

  9. #9
    OldBill
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Oldbill... That sounds Like Terrific Fade Who was it
    a top big tout named Wayne Root

  10. #10
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Distroya:

    *Like most on this site, I've paid for service plays. My experience is that they were NOT worth it. It's just an expense.
    *I did pay for the Phil Steele FCS pages in the fall. But that's a little different. You get a weekly update of the scores, so not really paying for Picks.
    *Ralph Michaels might be an example. But he's no different than any of the other touts. He's CHOOSING to sell his picks.

    *If his picks were so valuable, wouldn't he want to keep them to himself?
    *Handicapping is a very challenging venture. If only it were so easy as to access your database.
    i have purchased their $2 tuesday picks at times. never had a ralph michaels pick though. had some luck and then did not. not worth it. i rather lose with my own decision.

  11. #11
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    I have been around long enough to know that these services are mostly Scams... I'm just trying to find out if anyone has had experience fading this guy
    Distroya, I doubt it. This might sound crazy:

    Just as hard to hit 45% as 55% (vs -110 lines).

    The classic line is intended to split action. The math guys will appreciate how hard it is to hit 55% on any volume of games. Same for the flip side, hard to land under 45%.

    I know guys say they Faded Brandon Lang and made a killing. At one time, that was surely true.

    Guys paid for Cars by Fading Lang. But that doesn't last forever.

  12. #12
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    i have purchased their $2 tuesday picks at times. never had a ralph michaels pick though. had some luck and then did not. not worth it. i rather lose with my own decision.
    Polo, I could talk about Touts on and on. Remember that it's MOSTLY about the Tout closing the sale.

    I have watched many Wagertalk videos. Way too many actually:

    *Some of these guys are complete hamburgers.
    *Ralph has a very good database. So, he SOUNDS knowledgable.
    *Dave Cokin has good instincts. He's been around forever.

    It's almost impossible to think you're getting +EV from a Tout pick (especially after you add in the Fee).

  13. #13
    DISTROYA
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    Chucky I've tracked, faded, researched countless number of cappers in the past 15 years.
    Lang was fadeable, but not anymore overall. He gets hot and cold just like 99% of cappers just selling bullshitt picks. As you said its like bingo; just as hard to (miss numbers) find ones that suck 45% or less as to find 55% or betters I know the odds/numbers believe me.
    His past month was bad so was hoping someone had extended data on him.

  14. #14
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Exactly, Distroya. Very hard to back a Tout and turn a profit on it.

    People love to poke fun on Touts and say they are Fading. If you Fade, still have to beat 11/10 on the flip side.

    I wish people all the luck in world on Fading Lang. Lang won't win. But is he bad enough to go < 45% from now until the end of time?

    This has to be the longest-running Fade thread of all time:

    https://www.therx.com/threads/the-re...2981/page-2468

  15. #15
    pavyracer
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    Is he related to Al Michaels?

  16. #16
    matt711
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    I post positive things about Ayo, who is over 58.5 %, then Helluvaguy who is over 61.5 % last 100 plays, post Ras, and people think I work for Ras, who has been sucking, and people accuse me of promoting RAS, but they are assholes! But nobody says anything positive about the other 2 guys with millions of posts last 10 years!, makes me think, they all say lines change and nobody can get numbers, who’s fault is that , stupid bettors I guess???

  17. #17
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Is he related to Al Michaels?
    i think he ate Al Michaels
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  18. #18
    DISTROYA
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    LMFAO

  19. #19
    pologq
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    putting this here. i am sure some have seen him on youtube.


  20. #20
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Ya, Polo. Guy should mix in a salad.

    1) He's a hard guy to DISLIKE.
    2) Markets himself as an HONEST GUY. Sure...that doesn't mean he delivers the goods.
    3) WT was marketing Ralph/Cokin on a Coll Bowl package. They did have some track record. But this yr...I think Ralph started out 0-for-8...and Cokin wasn't so good, either.

  21. #21
    sweethook
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    he used to sell shrimp on the gulf .. gl sam

  22. #22
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by sweethook View Post
    he used to sell shrimp on the gulf .. gl sam
    Haha. Just don't buy into these guys.

    Do your due diligence. Should be able to smoke these guys out. You'd be crazy to give Ralph your $$.

  23. #23
    DISTROYA
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    I would never pay any capper unless I intend to fade them.

  24. #24
    pologq
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Ya, Polo. Guy should mix in a salad.

    1) He's a hard guy to DISLIKE.
    2) Markets himself as an HONEST GUY. Sure...that doesn't mean he delivers the goods.
    3) WT was marketing Ralph/Cokin on a Coll Bowl package. They did have some track record. But this yr...I think Ralph started out 0-for-8...and Cokin wasn't so good, either.
    i wasn't posting to show his "size". that was not my intent to make fun of him that way, sorry. i figured some would have seen him in recommended videos but didn't know who he was.

    ralph seems nice when he speaks. i think he would be cool to talk with cause he seems to know a lot of interesting info. that said, i don't see it translate to the record he is said to have.

  25. #25
    DISTROYA
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    Tracked him since thread inception for CBB fading, he went an astonishing 100-52 FADING (65.78%)
    This includes all (NIT, etc) college tourneys record of 29-18.
    In the Nba/Nhl he isnt doing that bad but cant pick a college BB game for his life.
    Interesting to see if form holds true when CFB starts.
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  26. #26
    DISTROYA
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    Another awful "capper" that does absolutely NOTHING but take overs and favorites, is Jazz Ray. If you look at his pic, he looks like a pedophile with a creepy grin. Hasn't had a winning week or even close past 2 months in all sports.
    His write-ups for selections are child-like and comical. Im now tracking his MLB, and on the first day he promptly went 0-3, losing all big fave bets (REDS, PADRES, ASTROS ). If he has a bad first full week, will definitely pick him up and fade beginning next week.

  27. #27
    DISTROYA
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    Jazz Ray 0-9 mlb start
    Losing today also 1-2 if LAD lose.
    Hes awful

  28. #28
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Jazz Ray 0-9 mlb start
    Losing today also 1-2 if LAD lose.
    Hes awful
    Good to know
    thanx

  29. #29
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Jazz Ray 0-9 mlb start
    Losing today also 1-2 if LAD lose.
    Hes awful
    It's not bad to have his picks. Imagine what you can do with fading him. This is how most people bet. Fade the bad picks.

  30. #30
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    Jazz Ray 0-9 mlb start
    Losing today also 1-2 if LAD lose.
    Hes awful
    Who’s he got today?

  31. #31
    DISTROYA
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    hes got cubs game under
    marlins game over

  32. #32
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    hes got cubs game under
    marlins game over
    Thanx

  33. #33
    Jowframs
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    Quote Originally Posted by DISTROYA View Post
    hes got cubs game under
    marlins game over
    El-Splito 1-1

  34. #34
    SBR Andy
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    Hey guys,

    Closing this thread. Service plays are no longer permitted to be posted in the forum.

    Thanks

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