1. #1
    EGrecu
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    I can't believe Dodgers are -200 on road at Sandy Alcantara

    How is that even possible? Figured this would be a near coin flip considering Sandy is one of the best pitchers in league and there would be tremendous value in dodgers (who have great numbers vs Alcantara)

  2. #2
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    See what you mean. Heavy price for Road Fav vs Quality StP. GL, if u try Marlins.

  3. #3
    EGrecu
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    See what you mean. Heavy price for Road Fav vs Quality StP. GL, if u try Marlins.
    Dodgers have crushed Alcantara


    I figured this would be maybe dodgers -120 ml and +140 RL and I could pound it

    At -120 or 130 RL, it's not even playable

  4. #4
    pavyracer
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    Baseball is a team sport. This is why the lines are not based on an individual.

  5. #5
    EGrecu
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Baseball is a team sport. This is why the lines are not based on an individual.
    Lines are heavily influenced by starting Pitchers

    Dodgers were -140 faves at home vs corbin burnes

    I get the sense Vegas is sick and tired of public killing them with the dodgers and they're gonna start putting crazy lines on every game. I've never seen a team be a 200 favorite on the road against a league top 5 pitcher (even on a bad team)

  6. #6
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Go Didgers Money Maker Inc

  7. #7
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by EGrecu View Post
    Lines are heavily influenced by starting Pitchers

    Dodgers were -140 faves at home vs corbin burnes

    I get the sense Vegas is sick and tired of public killing them with the dodgers and they're gonna start putting crazy lines on every game. I've never seen a team be a 200 favorite on the road against a league top 5 pitcher (even on a bad team)
    You are correct. If a team is white-hot...the lines can become non-sensical.

    I think your logic is good. If you think Sandy can put up a solid effort, then you have +EV value.

    One observation. I looked at Sandy's career log. His SEASON stats appear to outstrip his CAREER stats.

  8. #8
    mackave
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    Marlins snag this one

  9. #9
    TheLock
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    Forgetting that the Marlins scored 6 runs tonight, the Marlins have one of the most anemic offenses in MLB.

    And when they moved Bass and Pop at the deadline, their bullpen became awful (their closer, Scott, is beyond terrible)

    And Dustin May is very good.

    There is no “value” in the Marlins tomorrow. Sandy will have to go at least 8 innings against the one team in MLB that he’s historically not good against.

  10. #10
    big joe 1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Baseball is a team sport. This is why the lines are not based on an individual.
    Dumb

  11. #11
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by big joe 1212 View Post
    Dumb
    Ya, lame.

    Have a big wkend, Joe.

  12. #12
    pologq
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    they just beat him last week

    dodgers are super hot. their lines are inflated because of how hot they are. this would probably be -170 otherwise.

  13. #13
    jjgold
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    Hard to fade Dodgers regardless of line

  14. #14
    Pigpen
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Baseball is a team sport. This is why the lines are not based on an individual.

    Bulls#*t

  15. #15
    TheLock
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheLock View Post
    Sandy will have to go at least 8 innings against the one team in MLB that he’s historically not good against.
    9 innings like a total boss. Congrats to anyone that had Marlins.

  16. #16
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Hard to fade Dodgers regardless of line
    Dodgers are really hard to fade especially after a loss like to Miami yesterday, a shit team.


    https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/los-ang...ins-420827128/

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