1. #1
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    Interesting Read on Deadspin regarding teams covering and not covering each week

    Interesting little fact I read. This has been updated with MNF'S Game from Monday night

    Betting in favor of teams who did not cover the previous week when facing teams who did cover the previous week has a record of 39-14-1 in 2021.

    Wow good info I will use it after I pick my plays on paper and. See if any of my selections fall into that trend.
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  2. #2
    texhooper
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    So glad I picked Ravens last week who are one of the 14

    WaitÖthis is wrong!! I was wrong. Hate is wrong
    Last edited by texhooper; 11-10-21 at 01:32 PM.

  3. #3
    Cougar Bait
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    NFL bettors (and most bettors in general) have a very short memory. This doesn't surprise me too much, but it's interesting.

  4. #4
    texhooper
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    Definitely sounds like something that will level out regardless. Could be a year where itís lopsided like this though

  5. #5
    Wrongside
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    Interesting little fact I read. This has been updated with MNF'S Game from Monday night

    Betting in favor of teams who did not cover the previous week when facing teams who did cover the previous week has a record of 39-14-1 in 2021.

    Wow good info I will use it after I pick my plays on paper and. See if any of my selections fall into that trend.
    Iím interested most in your picking on paper comment. Thatís gold. Iíve thought for a long time that I should be doing that. Only thing I got going for me is my best plays and I my initial gut feeling plays...

  6. #6
    jjgold
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    Basically means itís tough to keep covering good statistic

  7. #7
    thetrinity
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    Would be interesting to see what it was before that but not super suprising

  8. #8
    gauchojake
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    As soon as this or any other compelling sports stat is out in the ether, it will 100% swing the other way until we forget about it.

  9. #9
    pavyracer
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    If you pick the team who wins the game every time you don't need to follow trends. Following trends is a sign of weak capper who can't pick winners.

  10. #10
    SEAHAWKHARRY
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    K pavy

  11. #11
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    K pavy
    Biggest mistake cappers do is look at the line first before determining if the team they back up is able to win.

    First you have to pick the winner of the game.

    Then you look at the line. If they are a dog you take the points or bet the ML.

    If they are a favorite determine if they can't cover the spread. If they can't cover the spread you bet the ML assuming you can afford to pay for the juice.

    This is how you build a bankroll.

  12. #12
    gauchojake
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  13. #13
    jjgold
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    Gamblers are always looking for edges which is a good thing keep them coming

  14. #14
    brock
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    I think KC is contributed to those stats.

  15. #15
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Biggest mistake cappers do is look at the line first before determining if the team they back up is able to win.

    First you have to pick the winner of the game.

    Then you look at the line. If they are a dog you take the points or bet the ML.

    If they are a favorite determine if they can't cover the spread. If they can't cover the spread you bet the ML assuming you can afford to pay for the juice.

    This is how you build a bankroll.
    No. Any team is "able" to win. You are not picking winners; you are assigning probabilities.

  16. #16
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    No. Any team is "able" to win. You are not picking winners; you are assigning probabilities.
    Maybe that's why I'm banned at several books for winning too much. I'm doing something no one else does with great success.

  17. #17
    chargers4222
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Maybe that's why I'm banned at several books for winning too much. I'm doing something no one else does with great success.
    lol

  18. #18
    juicername
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    Last season, teams were 60-68-2 (47.2%) in these spots no nothing to bet long term iMO.

  19. #19
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Maybe that's why I'm banned at several books for winning too much. I'm doing something no one else does with great success.
    Banned as in they literally involuntarily closed your account? Depending on how you answer, I'll know whether it's truthful.

  20. #20
    TommieGunshot
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    First you have to pick the winner of the game.
    Do you ever pick wrong?

  21. #21
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by TommieGunshot View Post
    Do you ever pick wrong?
    About 23.69% of the time.

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