1. #71
    unclebuzz1
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    Depends on your sample size.

    Can anyone hit 6 out of 10? ... yes

    Can anyone hit 60 out of 100? ... possibly

    Can anyone hit 600 out of 1,000? ... no

    It gravitates towards 50% with the more plays you make

    (This assumes -110 odds)

  2. #72
    lonegambler23
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    bear rising again

  3. #73
    eidolon
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    Quote Originally Posted by kyhawk View Post
    Interesting to see that he hits 58% every week, 58% every month, and 58% year, and 58% lifetime.

  4. #74
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by eidolon View Post
    Interesting to see that he hits 58% every week, 58% every month, and 58% year, and 58% lifetime.
    Haha. Some people used to like this book by Seidel:
    https://www.amazon.com/Investing-Col.../dp/1418481394

    Cliff Notes. Guy wrote a book on How to Beat Coll Bask. All his picks were listed Ex Post Facto.

    IE, you took his word on the 72% winners. He scribbled his writeups and all was legit.

    Yeah. OK.

  5. #75
    blankoblanco
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Haha. Some people used to like this book by Seidel:
    https://www.amazon.com/Investing-Col.../dp/1418481394

    Cliff Notes. Guy wrote a book on How to Beat Coll Bask. All his picks were listed Ex Post Facto.

    IE, you took his word on the 72% winners. He scribbled his writeups and all was legit.

    Yeah. OK.
    That's why you need to always think critically and be skeptical of other people's motives, especially in the world of gambling. If this guy could reliably crush college basketball at a rate like that, why the hell would he waste his time on some niche book that takes months to write?

    The truth is if a self-proclaimed expert writes a book without solid proof of their expertise, they're almost always full of it

  6. #76
    gauchojake
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    Grogu are you out of cash yet? Used car market tanking, 401k in the shitter, and Bitcoin DONKDOWN.

  7. #77
    stevenash
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    Thom O. Rino esquire wins at a 98% clip.

  8. #78
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by blankoblanco View Post
    That's why you need to always think critically and be skeptical of other people's motives, especially in the world of gambling. If this guy could reliably crush college basketball at a rate like that, why the hell would he waste his time on some niche book that takes months to write?

    The truth is if a self-proclaimed expert writes a book without solid proof of their expertise, they're almost always full of it
    Salud, blanco. Very true.

    If someone is giving you the "hard-sell"...there's very likely a reason for it. Applies across the board. Virtually w/o fail.

  9. #79
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I followed Eckstein pretty regularly, I'm not a chalk bettor but will on occasion bet two chalks on a two team money line parlay.

    Eckstein's ROI annually would be around 12%
    Most brokers would tell you what? Anything over 8% is good.

    Stock market's not my forte though, I just have a few REIT's.
    If you ask me the market is 'funnier' than betting sports.
    You seem to be confusing ROI with annual investment return. Two completely different animals. 12% ROI on a $100,000 bankroll doesn't mean you won $12,000 on the year. Hell to the no. ROI means percentage won per wager. You can have a $100,000 bankroll that you roll over 100's of times through the year on tens of thousands of wagers. So that $100,000 might lead to $5,000,000 wagers. $5 million wagered at 12% ROI is $600,000. Expressed as investment return that's a 600% return.

    That said, 12% ROI is generally not sustainable. Look for more like 5%.

  10. #80
    lakerboy
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    I hit 28% but I win

  11. #81
    jjgold
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    nobody wins Son other than a few bonus pros , model guys and some pro abrbing which is rare now

    nobody beats -110 mathematically impossible long term

    Most could not beat NFL with even money both sides on spreads

  12. #82
    gauchojake
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    we don't play-110

  13. #83
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    nobody wins Son other than a few bonus pros , model guys and some pro abrbing which is rare now

    nobody beats -110 mathematically impossible long term

    Most could not beat NFL with even money both sides on spreads
    Fishhead wins.

  14. #84
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    nobody wins Son other than a few bonus pros , model guys and some pro abrbing which is rare now

    nobody beats -110 mathematically impossible long term

    Most could not beat NFL with even money both sides on spreads
    NFL is the only league you can beat though out of the pro leagues.

    I don't care what anyone says.
    NBA too long and drawn out like NHL.
    Baseball I guess you can win but ONLY if you are a pro. I have other things to do in the summer.
    College football is definitely a beatable product and the guys that beat NCAA college basketball play for the first two weeks only.

    I'm talking about straight up spread betting.

  15. #85
    Machba
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    NFL is the only league you can beat though out of the pro leagues.

    I don't care what anyone says.
    NBA too long and drawn out like NHL.
    Baseball I guess you can win but ONLY if you are a pro. I have other things to do in the summer.
    College football is definitely a beatable product and the guys that beat NCAA college basketball play for the first two weeks only.

    I'm talking about straight up spread betting.
    Mlb Nhl ML's Are best chances IMO
    50% chance either you win or you lose!
    Keep up the good cappin bro PPP

  16. #86
    gauchojake
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    I had one year where I focused on NBA, watched hundreds of hours of games. I beat it and won a couple grand. What a waste of time.

  17. #87
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    I had one year where I focused on NBA, watched hundreds of hours of games. I beat it and won a couple grand. What a waste of time.
    You have to watch game tape from the 80s bro. Come on

  18. #88
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    NFL is the only league you can beat though out of the pro leagues.

    I don't care what anyone says.
    NBA too long and drawn out like NHL.
    Baseball I guess you can win but ONLY if you are a pro. I have other things to do in the summer.
    College football is definitely a beatable product and the guys that beat NCAA college basketball play for the first two weeks only.

    I'm talking about straight up spread betting.
    Say whaaaaaa

  19. #89
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by gauchojake View Post
    I had one year where I focused on NBA, watched hundreds of hours of games. I beat it and won a couple grand. What a waste of time.
    It was a waste of time. Much better off spending hundred of hours watching the odds move.

  20. #90
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    You have to watch game tape from the 80s bro. Come on
    I would watch that no problem.

  21. #91
    gauchojake
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    It was a waste of time. Much better off spending hundred of hours watching the odds move.

    I did that too.

  22. #92
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Say whaaaaaa
    You know exactly what I'm talking about. They lines are off then.

  23. #93
    toddsclowns
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    I need to find a book that pays solely on action points per month.

  24. #94
    gauchojake
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    Where is a cash flow positive bookie when you need one

  25. #95
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    You know exactly what I'm talking about. They lines are off then.
    Yes, they are. But they are also off later. Profit to be made all season.

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