1. 01-08-21 01:30 AM #1
    thomorino
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    NFL Wild Card Picks

    -7.6 units for the regular season, absurd negative variance early in the year but I’m up over 50 units in the last month in the nfl


    All bets are to win 4 units unless otherwise stated

    Saints -8.5 previously posted - Saints should be healthy with Kamara and Thomas back, Bears defense has been mediocre all year and trubisky has been garbage against good defenses. The Bears offense starts with the run and the Saints have a strong run defense.

    Tampa Bay -7 -115 previously posted - Tampa Bays run defense is strong their issue has been the secondary, but Redskins passing game is weak. Tampa Bays receivers should be able to get open easily allowing Brady to throw quickly against the Washington pass rush.

    Baltimore -3 -120 - Ravens didn’t have Calais Campbell or Brandon Williams for the last matchup, Titans defense has struggled against the pass all year, Titans offensive line has significant injuries with lewan out for the year and saffold playing hurt.

    Seattle -4.5 from a previous thread - Seahawks defense is playing better and their run defense is strong, Wilson plays better in big games.
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  2. 01-08-21 01:31 AM #2
    thomorino
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    Futures pending for the postseason

    Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

    Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22
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  3. 01-08-21 02:04 AM #3
    thomorino
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    Colts +6.5 -113 - Bills looked strong to finish the season, but they mostly played weak teams and weak defenses. Colts are more balanced offensively with Taylor.
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  4. 01-08-21 07:24 AM #4
    Hman
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    Good luck with the action
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  5. 01-08-21 07:27 AM #5
    sjm5122
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    Faves for days
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  6. 01-08-21 07:59 AM #6
    jizay
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    Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.
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  7. 01-08-21 08:22 AM #7
    clockwise1965
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    Hard to win.
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  8. 01-08-21 08:26 AM #8
    Mackballs
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    Quote Originally Posted by jizay View Post
    Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.
    Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.
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  9. 01-08-21 10:07 AM #9
    Zlaniner
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    STRAIGHT BET Jan 09 NFL [141] TOTAL o51-110 (INDIANAPOLIS vrs BUFFALO) 200.00 SBR / 181.82 SBR 4630070
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  10. 01-08-21 11:15 AM #10
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by jizay View Post
    Absurd positive variance for the last month, but you're down for the season.
    Quote Originally Posted by Mackballs View Post

    Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.
    Wrong, 2 dumb shits.
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  11. 01-08-21 11:18 AM #11
    cane corso
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    Good luck-hope you kill ‘em
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  12. 01-08-21 11:50 AM #12
    Mackballs
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Wrong, 2 dumb shits.
    So losing 50 units in month is absurd, agreed, definitely negative variance.

    But winning 50 units in a month is not an outlier. Got it. So 50 units a month being a realistic result, which involved no positive variance whatsoever, should be able to be achieved the next 12 months with little to no issue. I will be disappointed if you are not +600 units by December 31, 2020.

    You're exactly where you should be moron. -7 units. Another losing bettor over the course of 4 month stretch. Get used to it.
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  13. 01-08-21 12:32 PM #13
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Futures pending for the postseason

    Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

    Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22
    What happened to the TB.future?
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  14. 01-08-21 12:34 PM #14
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mackballs View Post
    So losing 50 units in month is absurd, agreed, definitely negative variance.

    But winning 50 units in a month is not an outlier. Got it. So 50 units a month being a realistic result, which involved no positive variance whatsoever, should be able to be achieved the next 12 months with little to no issue. I will be disappointed if you are not +600 units by December 31, 2020.

    You're exactly where you should be moron. -7 units. Another losing bettor over the course of 4 month stretch. Get used to it.
    Wrong you are a dumb shit.
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  15. 01-08-21 12:35 PM #15
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post
    What happened to the TB.future?
    You are a dumb shit.
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  16. 01-08-21 01:05 PM #16
    Buckandadime
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    You are a dumb shit.

    No credibility..
    Refuse to count losing "bets" and the total is still off from week 16..
    Don't tell people you are winning when the records are so far away from the actual truth..
    You are a dumbshit..
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  17. 01-08-21 01:26 PM #17
    Chi_archie
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    Looking more at Props for these games

    really been digging in to find underground sources connected to the teams, to get some ideas on their game plans
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  18. 01-08-21 02:24 PM #18
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buckandadime View Post

    No credibility..
    Refuse to count losing "bets" and the total is still off from week 16..
    Don't tell people you are winning when the records are so far away from the actual truth..
    You are a dumbshit..
    Wrong you are a dumb shit.
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  19. 01-08-21 02:27 PM #19
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    Looking more at Props for these games

    really been digging in to find underground sources connected to the teams, to get some ideas on their game plans
    LJ
    Trubisky
    Allen
    Wilson

    I’ll be taking the over in rush yards
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  20. 01-08-21 05:11 PM #20
    EveryMothersSon
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Futures pending for the postseason

    Saints to win the nfc at +500 risking 5 units

    Steelers to win the super bowl at +2200 risking 1 unit to win 22
    good luck with these
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  21. 01-08-21 05:23 PM #21
    johnnyvegas13
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    Saints r done
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  22. 01-08-21 07:09 PM #22
    lonegambler23
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Saints r done

    lol theyre winning the bowl
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  23. 01-08-21 07:19 PM #23
    Smoke
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    will u ever pick a dog
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  24. 01-08-21 07:22 PM #24
    Sam Odom
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    Smoke

    always buy the 1/2
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  25. 01-08-21 07:29 PM #25
    Zlaniner
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  26. 01-08-21 07:34 PM #26
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post
    lol theyre winning the bowl
    No I honestly believe it's Buffalo's year.
    KC can be beat with a good defense, Buffalo's defense is solid and Allen had just a season as Mahomes, if not better.

    Morino, good write up (honest) I do think you're selling Washington's defense short, but it's OK to agree to disagree.

    I'm on the other side of the TB pick but good thread.
    Best of luck.
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  27. 01-08-21 10:20 PM #27
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mackballs View Post
    Yes the variance is only deemed absurd when it results in losses. 50 units positive in a month is certainly a normal result though. I see no reason why that won't continue.
    You are a dumb shit, I had absurd negative variance for 2 months, my big run the last month was betting 4 units play.
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  28. 01-08-21 10:23 PM #28
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    No I honestly believe it's Buffalo's year.
    KC can be beat with a good defense, Buffalo's defense is solid and Allen had just a season as Mahomes, if not better.

    Morino, good write up (honest) I do think you're selling Washington's defense short, but it's OK to agree to disagree.

    I'm on the other side of the TB pick but good thread.
    Best of luck.
    Buffalo is a good team but they are still a couple years away, Josh Allen hasn’t won a playoff game.
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  29. 01-08-21 10:58 PM #29
    GT21Megatron
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Buffalo is a good team but they are still a couple years away, Josh Allen hasn’t won a playoff game.
    Playing the number. Books begging you and giving you free handjobs to take Buffalo at 6.5. This game is going to be close. I think Bills pull this out but it’s gonna stay inside the number
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  30. 01-08-21 11:44 PM #30
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by GT21Megatron View Post
    Playing the number. Books begging you and giving you free handjobs to take Buffalo at 6.5. This game is going to be close. I think Bills pull this out but it’s gonna stay inside the number
    Agree, I see Bills winning a close game, Rivers knows this might be his last game, I think he plays well.
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  31. 01-09-21 09:35 AM #31
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Agree, I see Bills winning a close game, Rivers knows this might be his last game, I think he plays well.
    I'm afraid of the number too.
    I'm using Buffalo money line in a parlay, they win straight up, by how much I am not sure of.
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  32. 01-09-21 02:05 PM #32
    thomorino
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    Turner Lockett over 62.5 yards receiving -112
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  33. 01-09-21 02:12 PM #33
    lonegambler23
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    morino how much is a unit for you?
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  34. 01-09-21 02:13 PM #34
    thomorino
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    Colts just can’t get a break
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  35. 01-09-21 02:29 PM #35
    stevenash
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    Allen > Mahomes
    Allen and Diggs > Mahomes and Hill
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