1. 11-09-20 09:19 AM #1
    Doug tushyterror
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    Lost all faith in my capping ability & considering taking the rest of the month off.

    After losing 5K last Tues on tennis I've gotten really gunshuy on betting anything that seems like a lock no matter how high the juice. After losing $2400 to win $569 On the Paris final 3rd set over 8.5 games I actually made an even dumber bet today. I made it when Pospisil was up 4-1 in the 1st set. Long story short it went 3 sets, Marchenko was serving for the match at 5-4 in the 3rd & was even up 4-0 in the TB.
    Luckily the Canadian challenger level scrub pulled it out( fun fact: Pospisil the only player ever in the top 25 men or women to never win a main draw clay court match but I digress). You would think luckily scraping by with this non loss would teach me a lesson to bet smart but somehow I doubt it.

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  2. 11-09-20 09:31 AM #2
    cincinnatikid513
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    don't bet so much duh
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  3. 11-09-20 09:31 AM #3
    Chiefs83
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    Just think how square that pick is
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  4. 11-09-20 09:32 AM #4
    Chiefs83
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    Along the lines you can generally follow is it to hood to be true...then more than likely it IS
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  5. 11-09-20 09:34 AM #5
    pologq
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    bet when you feel comfortable. just say no to forced bets.
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  6. 11-09-20 09:37 AM #6
    Sam Odom
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    do take a few days off

    maybe a week
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  7. 11-09-20 09:39 AM #7
    Al Masters
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    If you’re regularly betting $2500 to win $150 it’s not your capping ability it’s your decision making that’s totally going to kill you.doesn’t matter the sport... as stupid a bet as you cam make laying $2500 to make $150...

    Everyone goes through bad times gambling it’s how you react to to tough times that’s eventually going to make or break you... Bol in the future.
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  8. 11-09-20 09:41 AM #8
    Doug tushyterror
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    Jesus Christ what the fukk am I doing?.. I literally can't help it ..just seems like a mortal lock based on the opponent. (#1154 Garrett Johns)
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  9. 11-09-20 09:45 AM #9
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by Al Masters View Post
    If you’re regularly betting $2500 to win $150 it’s not your capping ability it’s your decision making that’s totally going to kill you.doesn’t matter the sport... as stupid a bet as you cam make laying $2500 to make $150...

    Everyone goes through bad times gambling it’s how you react to to tough times that’s eventually going to make or break you... Bol in the future.
    Appreciate the advice.. hopefully it doesn't go in one ear and out the other but knowing me it most definitely will.
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  10. 11-09-20 09:47 AM #10
    cincinnatikid513
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    otters jr
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  11. 11-09-20 09:49 AM #11
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chiefs83 View Post
    Just think how square that pick is
    Only thing squarer than that pick is the square surrounding it.
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  12. 11-09-20 09:56 AM #12
    pologq
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    too square for me. not worth the risk at all. i try to limit my square plays to under -300.
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  13. 11-09-20 09:56 AM #13
    Regul8er
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    If your betting like this, you obviously have alot of disposable income. Winning $150 or $200 is nothing for you, but losing and chasing this way could really hurt. Is the minor win worth the risk?
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  14. 11-09-20 09:58 AM #14
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    Are you related to Otters?
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  15. 11-09-20 09:59 AM #15
    Sam Odom
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    almost on Landers' level
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  16. 11-09-20 10:06 AM #16
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    However good or bad your capping ability is now, it was most surely just as effective last week or last month; the only thing that has changed is the variance of the game. Here's a tip: stay away from high juice lines and keep it to, say, 40 cents or less. Regardless of how certain an outcome looks, when you're betting into four, five, six dollar juice, the true odds are most surely in between the two lines.
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  17. 11-09-20 10:28 AM #17
    Al Masters
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    He’s better off going to the track and betting big favorites to show.
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  18. 11-09-20 10:42 AM #18
    seaborneq
    It's time to collect
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    Bet more -110 odds and your expectations of winning will be more realistic. Everyone thinks they will hit -300, -500, -2000 at an impossible rate when in reality they are losing.
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  19. 11-09-20 10:43 AM #19
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    However good or bad your capping ability is now, it was most surely just as effective last week or last month; the only thing that has changed is the variance of the game. Here's a tip: stay away from high juice lines and keep it to, say, 40 cents or less. Regardless of how certain an outcome looks, when you're betting into four, five, six dollar juice, the true odds are most surely in between the two lines.
    Here's the thing when I start off with a relatively low balance I'm able to bet a lot smarter but then when I have a good run & really build it up that's when I get nervous. Started with $1500 4 weeks ago, risked $877 on Rublev & the rest on this 5TP. Once that hit I was able to cash out 15K & kept cashing out everyday whatever I won and leaving 5K in their until I lost the whole 5K last Tues. I reloaded 4K, got it up to 8670 & was gonna cash out 5k if I got it up to 9k. Then I made that 1 dumb $2400 bet yesterday to try to get it 9K and have been in retard mode ever since.
    pic host
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  20. 11-09-20 10:50 AM #20
    Regul8er
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    Well hopefully that Challenger one cashes, you learn your lesson, and stop betting -600 or whatever it was.
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  21. 11-09-20 10:52 AM #21
    Doug tushyterror
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    As far as this bet " SHOCKINGLY" Rubin lost the 2nd set & if he loses the 3rd I won't even be mad..I totally fucken deserve it.
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  22. 11-09-20 11:01 AM #22
    Chiefs83
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    I faded just to Johns +335
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  23. 11-09-20 11:16 AM #23
    clockwise1965
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    Nothing wrong with taking some time off
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  24. 11-09-20 11:36 AM #24
    Chiefs83
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    Took Johns again +1025
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  25. 11-09-20 11:53 AM #25
    Chiefs83
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    I wise man listens and decides what to take or ignore
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  26. 11-09-20 12:02 PM #26
    Regul8er
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    Did this bet lose? If so, please take this as a lesson...,,and dont go off the deep end. This happens to all of us along the way. The one’s that survive, are the ones who learn. Goodluck to you
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  27. 11-09-20 12:04 PM #27
    cincinnatikid513
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    degen
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  28. 11-09-20 01:07 PM #28
    Doug tushyterror
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Did this bet lose? If so, please take this as a lesson...,,and dont go off the deep end. This happens to all of us along the way. The one’s that survive, are the ones who learn. Goodluck to you
    Of course it did. I mean why would a -1250 prematch favorite close out a match serving 5-3 40-15 in the 3rd again a guy ranked #1154. Terrible beat but I totally deserved it. If that's not bad enough I just bet my entire bankroll 4966 to win 1491(-333 on Eubanks after winning the 1st set.(gee whatever could go wrong). Whether this bet hits or not it's just a matter of time before I go bust so hopefully this thread could at least serve as a cautionary tale of what not to do when you're on tilt.
    [/url]
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  29. 11-09-20 01:09 PM #29
    cincinnatikid513
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    give ur wife the password
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  30. 11-09-20 01:11 PM #30
    Chiefs83
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    Fading again +175
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  31. 11-09-20 01:12 PM #31
    hehfest
    Tom, What do I do now?
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    Where you the guy that bet 35k when the Falcons were up on the Bears?
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  32. 11-09-20 01:21 PM #32
    Regul8er
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    Quote Originally Posted by Doug tushyterror View Post
    Of course it did. I mean why would a -1250 prematch favorite close out a match serving 5-3 40-15 in the 3rd again a guy ranked #1154. Terrible beat but I totally deserved it. If that's not bad enough I just bet my entire bankroll 4966 to win 1491(-333 on Eubanks after winning the 1st set.(gee whatever could go wrong). Whether this bet hits or not it's just a matter of time before I go bust so hopefully this thread could at least serve as a cautionary tale of what not to do when you're on tilt.
    [/url]
    So your just gonna continue to make the same mistake over and over again? If you have unlimited cash flow, then its all good.
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  33. 11-09-20 01:39 PM #33
    Chiefs83
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    DOGS are barking today... Got Forejtek +750 Golden Nugget(Golden Line)
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  34. 11-09-20 01:41 PM #34
    stevek173
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    Tushy our best new poster

    Always good stuff from him
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  35. 11-09-20 01:48 PM #35
    Chiefs83
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    HAHA guy won me over a 1k today risking $150
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