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For 100,000 people to die from COVID 19 in the US there would have to be a total.....
of at least 3,870,418 confirmed cases with 100% of the serious/critical cases dying.......
Using the % rates of all the cases up until now.........
The way I see it as of now there is a slim to no chance at all to even getting near
the 100,000 predicted death toll let alone 200,000.......
Which is FANTASTIC if these %ages hold up!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I don't really see why they wouldn't...........
I find it hard to believe that less than 4 million Americans will contract this. It's way more. But the death rate is way lower because of lack of widespread testing.
But remember, the 100k-200k is at the end after the virus is (hopefully) eradicated. We are in the top of the 2nd inning of that ballgame.
Bigger question is how many US deaths by the end of April. The answer is somewhere between 25-60k. Hopefully on the lower end.
By the end of May should be between 40-100k. But I don't think we can stop counting then. Even if it temporarily recedes, it will return.
Nobody knows right now we’re all scared
Those numbers were always to scare the public into staying home. Anyone with half a brain could figure out we'd never see those numbers because no one has seen more than about 1,500 deaths a day. At that rate we'd need to see that consistently for 3 straight months to get over 100k deaths. Scare tactics.
Saloon this idiot...the new big bear
its doubling every 3 days
the math is ez
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ave-total.html
why don’t you post the same thing 5 more times
The US hit 1330 deaths on April 4th.
I am also hoping we are able to curb the trend. The actions by the 41 governors who've implemented "stay-at-home" orders and people abiding by them, will be the biggest factor impacting the numbers.
Lets hope for the best.
Not scare tactics but fear does sell...Originally Posted by Hushie
I don't fully trust the numbers. Yet, I do trust the people I know working in hospitals. Across the board, the outlook is grim.
We're not testing people so the numbers are artificially low. Some people will recover while others will die without ever being tested. Those people won't make the numbers.
This is fact... My wife works in a hospital. If someone dies (at home or in hospital) and they've not been tested yet, they will not be tested as part of the autopsy. Why? They are trying to save the test kits since there are not enough of them.
would have been worst than that if hillary killer clinton was potus.
Maybe they need them for all the tigers at the zoos around the country.
^1,772,369 total tests isn't wide spread testing to you?
Compared to rest of the world We're light years ahead of em all......
1.USA 1,772,369 TOTAL Tests.....Which explains why we have so many more confirmed cases than rest of the WORLD.........
2.Germany 918,460
3.Russia 758,000
4.Italy 691,461
5..S. Korea 461,233
6.Spain 355,000
7.Australia 302,000
8.France 224,254
9.UAE 220,000
10.UK 195,524
China ????????????? suspiciously not sharing total tests numbers.........
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Here you go these numbers are dead on..........
3/29/20 11:06 PM
Total Confirmed/Limbo 142,328
OUTCOMES 7,256
Deaths/Rate 2,489/34.3%
Recoveries/Rate 4,767/65.7%
4/6/20 3:30 AM
27,899 new cases and 1,206 new DEATHS in last 32 hours......
Total Confirmed/Limbo 337,687
OUTCOMES 27,225
Deaths/Rate 9,647/35.4% (-1%)
Recoveries/Rate 17,578/64.6% (-+1%)
bronx zoo said the test is different for emails. there was some outrage here in NY and he had to explain it.
That figure is start to finish, which is likely 12-18 months.
0.5% testing of the pop is not widespread, no. No place has widespread testing, yet.
the death rate is way higher because of lack of widespread testing
how dumb are you?
Some real medical experts here.
Then no numbers should be publicized. If they aren't correct, why bother?
Who gives a fukk? 600k Americans died from heart disease last year and all you liberals are going batshit crazy over an exaggerated figure of 200k Americans dying from covid worst case scenario this year. I'm sick of hearing you dumbfukks running your mouths like Cuomo. Just stfu already. You're gd hypocrites. Not one word from you last year when 600k of your fellow Americans died from heart disease. No restrictions in place last year when 50k of your fellow Americans died from seasonal flu. Now it's teotwawki cause 10k have died from covid19. Talk about keeping things in perspective.
great post
cant believe you bitched me out the other day
The death rate is likely way lower due to lack of widespread testing. Also people are being listed as covid19 victims even if they died of something else but just so happen to test positive. So many in Italy had preexisting conditions and were old.
if you have a cold, slight temp....you cant get checked for corona
asymptomatic people dont even know they have it
a decent proportion of those people have corona
the death rate is higher because of lack of testing
the WORSE shape you are in, the more likely you are to get tested
the WORSE shape you are in, the more likely you are to die
you guys are crazy
Last edited by RudyRuetigger; 04-06-20 at 01:18 PM.
no matter which side you are on you manage to be wrong. 100k deaths is nothing for a disease in a country our size. i would guess the 100k-240k estimate is only for the next few months until winter starts.
Wow
The death rate, which an educated person would call the mortality rate, will go far lower the more people are tested and confirmed cases increase
A 1st grader would know that
Unreal
Heart disease is not communicable. Dumb comparison.
As for the flu, that's 50k with no real prevention. This is 100-240k with extreme measures. Without, it's millions, and it's completely broken hospitals without doctors and nurses cuz they all get infected like crazy.
If you don't get it, you don't get it. Not worth explaining any more.
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hard to explain to dems
Bingo.
focus on the DEATH RATE, you fatass
Oh, I am. 1-2% is the true MORTALITY RATE in m ost of the US.
ok say you think it is lower than the numbers?
tell that to your FRIENDS along that side of the aisle
it is actually lower than even 1% to be honest
but hey, 1 in 100 die is nothing to sneeze about
We also don't know the damage it will do to survivors. There is evidence that is may be doing long-term damage to the lungs of otherwise healthy people.
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