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Oregon Ducks -1 some info I found on this Game I am wagering on
The Oregon Ducks should be highly motivated for a win in this Redbox Bowl at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California Monday afternoon. They were upset as 7-point favorites by Boise State last year in their bowl game and haven’t won a bowl game since making the four-team playoff in 2014. But we have to give them a break because Willie Taggart left for Florida State at the end of last season, and they clearly didn’t want to be there.
Oregon players love first-year head coach Mario Cristobal. He did coach them as an interim last year, but clearly couldn’t get his players to focus with all that was going on with the Taggart situation. They will be focused now with a lot more security heading into this bowl game. And simply put, they are the better team and should handle Michigan State.
I like the fight Oregon showed down the stretch. They won three of their final four games with their only loss coming 25-32 at Utah. Their three wins came by a combined 63 points, or by an average of 21 points per game. And they got good news with QB Justin Herbert announcing he’d stay around for his senior season.
Herbert is one of the best quarterbacks in the country. He is completing 60% of his passes for 2,985 yards with a 28-to-8 TD/INT ratio this season. He leads an Oregon offense that scores 37.2 points per game this season. And the Ducks have an improved defense as they give up just 390 yards per game this year. It has been their best defense in quite some time.
Michigan State has one of the worst offenses of all the Power 5 teams. The Spartans only score 19.7 points per game this season. They were dreadful down the stretch offensively. They scored 6 points against Ohio State, 6 points against Nebraska and 14 against Rutgers in their final three games of the year. Those numbers are very concerning, and it means they will have to play a perfect game to win against Oregon while needing every break to go their way. While they have a great defense, I simply don’t trust their offense to move the ball and score points. They were held to 24 points or fewer in eight consecutive games to close out the year.
Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Michigan State ) – after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 26-7 (78.8%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.
Oregon is 46-24 ATS in its last 70 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Ducks are 28-14 ATS in their last 42 games when playing with two or more weeks of rest. Oregon is 41-13 ATS in its last 54 games after allowing 3 points or less in the first half of last game. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine vs. Pac-12 opponents. Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win.
These are the reasons I'm hitting Oregon today
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Originally Posted by Brutus84
