1. 03-03-16 07:46 AM #1
    Dan Kelly
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    EASY MONEY: Senate confirms any SCOTUS nominee +160 BEFORE Obama leaves office.

    xxx-1 3/3/16 8:26am $x $x Pending 3/3/16 9:00am Politics Other Sports 1321 Senate confirms any SCOTUS nominee +160* vs No SCOTUS confirmation / no nominee

    I just got on this at 5Dimes.

    At +160 it should be an easy winner.
    When Hillary wins in November (she is currently a 2 to 1 favorite), the senate will rush to confirm any reasonable nominee that Obama puts up - they have 2 and a half months before Obama is gone to do this. He has many options available (i.e., previous nominees to lower courts) that the Senate previously approved unanimously or nearly unanimously.


    If you see anyone posting about political bets and they are emotional or partisan, you can be certain that those political bets are losers in the long run - it's just like betting your favorite teams games. I don't give a phukk about politics, if your comments are not about the bet but are political then start a new thread.

    BoL
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  2. 03-03-16 08:29 AM #2
    d2bets
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    Interesting theory. Do you know all of the ins and outs of the senate sessions and rules? If they refuse to take it up at all before November 8th, is there really enough time then to hold hearings and confirm before 1/20/17? I'm just asking. I don't really know. And this also assumes that they don't hold hearings and reject a nominee.

    You might be right. Tricky play.
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  3. 03-20-16 08:14 AM #3
    Dan Kelly
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    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-us...-idUSKCN0WJ251

    This bet has been taken down, but if you see it again at decent odds, this sounds like a lock.


    BoL
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  4. 03-20-16 08:20 AM #4
    jjgold
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    Danny I doubt any book has it up plus most do not take these events
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  5. 03-20-16 08:42 AM #5
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Danny I doubt any book has it up plus most do not take these events
    You never know - you might get lucky, I did.

    BoL
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  6. 03-20-16 09:18 AM #6
    actiondan
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    Agree. Republicans are pu$$ies and cave on everything. Obama outsmarted them by nominating and old white dude that helped cover up OK bombing
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  7. 03-20-16 09:33 AM #7
    DwightShrute
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    assuming Hilarity wins. I don't see any democrat having a chance in November after the last 8 years, especially if Trump is the republican they are facing.
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  8. 03-20-16 01:48 PM #8
    Dan Kelly
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    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post
    assuming Hilarity wins. I don't see any democrat having a chance in November after the last 8 years, especially if Trump is the republican they are facing.
    Here's a novel idea for you = put your money where your mouth is: You can get better than 2 to 1.
    But even if you put your entire liquid net worth on 'Hillary NOT to win the US Presidency', I still like my SCOTUS bet and a smart man would have tailed.

    US Presidential Election - Winner
    Tue 11/8 101 Hillary Clinton wins Election -245
    8:00AM 102 Field wins Presidential Election +205

    BoL
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  9. 03-20-16 01:57 PM #9
    DwightShrute
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post
    Here's a novel idea for you = put your money where your mouth is: You can get better than 2 to 1.
    But even if you put your entire liquid net worth on 'Hillary NOT to win the US Presidency', I still like my SCOTUS bet and a smart man would have tailed.

    US Presidential Election - Winner
    Tue 11/8 101 Hillary Clinton wins Election -245
    8:00AM 102 Field wins Presidential Election +205

    BoL
    oh but I have and that's my opinion is all.

    2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - PRESIDENT ELECTED
    DONALD TRUMP +4000
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  10. 03-20-16 03:11 PM #10
    habitualwinning
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    Lame duck presidents rarely ever get what they want from Congress, especially one controlled by the opposing party. That's a potential long time to tie up money for such a slight dog, even if it wins. If I wanted to make a political bet that tied my money up for several months, I'd bet into the Republican Presidency line at over 2 to 1 for something that's realistically more like a coin flip, especially this cycle.
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  11. 03-20-16 04:06 PM #11
    CanuckG
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    Quote Originally Posted by DwightShrute View Post
    oh but I have and that's my opinion is all.

    2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - PRESIDENT ELECTED
    DONALD TRUMP +4000
    post an actual ticket lol.
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  12. 03-20-16 04:28 PM #12
    DwightShrute
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    post an actual ticket lol.

    just remember, you had your chance also eh http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...016-a-p20.html
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  13. 03-20-16 04:33 PM #13
    larco15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Kelly View Post

    If you see anyone posting about political bets and they are emotional or partisan, you can be certain that those political bets are losers in the long run     - it's just like betting your favorite teams games.

    BoL
    Correct. Have you read d2bets predictions? There is no analysis. It is all emotions and tears.
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