I've had enough creating a thread each day for posting my analysis. Just going to keep one thread, post whatever plays, info, discussion and spreadsheet stuff. This will be much better
Started a new spreadsheet on Jan 1st (started Jan 3rd actually, thats why tons of plays on that date) - Hope we can all make some money and I finally stick to a disciplined betting strategy with units, no parlays and an accurate and up to date record. Plays go from 1-3 units and a rare, rare 5 unit play (like last week on URI).
Monday 1/6
Auburn +10.5 (-110)
Prop: FSU Scores All 4 Quarters (+100)
Canisius -2 (-110) - Write up posted in other thread
One Unit each
Line got to where I wanted and I can't pass up 10.5 points in a NC game. It's a total value play and I'm not going to be totally surprised by any outcome of this game. I can see a tight one, I could see FSU blowing them out and I could see Winston coming back to Earth and Auburn cruising. No idea, just a great number and glad I waited it out.
The prop holds some value as well. Auburn plays no defense and I'd expect FSU to walk up and down the field. I'm mostly worried about the first quarter. Slow start or untimely turnover could ruin this quickly. I'll take my chances at EV or better, though