1. 06-01-15 11:00 AM #1
    Big Bear
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    Sign in you laying the Chalk today with Felix and Clayton?

    Dodgers and Mariners got their aces going today

    anybody parlaying these 2 or playing individually?
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  2. 06-01-15 11:13 AM #2
    Smoke
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    Yes its my first slot in an open 25 team parlay
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  3. 06-01-15 11:20 AM #3
    James Marques
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    Kershaw I could see... But Felix v Pineda is basically a coin flip. Not worth the juice IMO
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  4. 06-01-15 11:28 AM #4
    jjgold
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    suckers bet big favs in parlays
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  5. 06-01-15 11:35 AM #5
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Dodgers and Mariners got their aces going today

    anybody parlaying these 2 or playing individually?
    Took them both in a ML parlay. BOL Bear.
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  6. 06-01-15 11:38 AM #6
    Melda
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    Already parlayed them
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  7. 06-01-15 11:40 AM #7
    RollinDo
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    Contemplating M's ML or Yanks TT (U 3).
    Just worried of a possible 3-2 Yanks win.
    I could see Yanks winning more than them scoring 3+.
    Thoughts?
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  8. 06-01-15 11:47 AM #8
    2buckluck
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    Couldn't play either one myself, Rox hitters see Kershaw more than most teams and though he's a badass, if anyone can hit him it's a heating up Rox team (with a rested Tulo) ...

    Like the Felix play better, but thinking a play on the under in both (or at least under in the first 5 of Sea/NY if I can get 3.5, and Under 9 Rox/Dodgers) is where my head's at but still reviewing, but for the sake of you guys I hope you get it (or that we're both right if I take those unders in the 1st 5's haha, cheers) !
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  9. 06-01-15 11:56 AM #9
    jtoler
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    Bro calm down with the threads or are you on sbr payroll now, if so carry on.
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  10. 06-01-15 12:01 PM #10
    TTA_President
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    First five unders im on
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  11. 06-01-15 12:03 PM #11
    Big Bear
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    i feel like like Mariners are the play b/c if they were not the play they would not be such a heavy favorite against a pitcher of Pineda's quality
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  12. 06-01-15 12:04 PM #12
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Col +185 and large.
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  13. 06-01-15 12:07 PM #13
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Col +185 and large.
    what is your reasoning behind that?

    IMO Kendrick will have to hold the Dodgers to 3 runs or less to win.

    is he capable of doing that?
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  14. 06-01-15 12:11 PM #14
    STAX
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    I dont think its a good idea laying -200 on a team playing in Colorado... Run line seems like a better play here imo even though its -120.
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  15. 06-01-15 12:13 PM #15
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i feel like like Mariners are the play b/c if they were not the play they would not be such a heavy favorite against a pitcher of Pineda's quality
    Bear - not knocking ya, but -140 for King Felix at home is not a heavy favorite.
    When is last time the line was this low with him starting at home?
    Pineda's splits quite different road vs home...just 1 quality start out of 4 on road this season.
    My concern is Mariners not being able to score enough...especially with Yanks having a real solid pen.Under 6 might be the smartest play.
    Last edited by RollinDo; 06-01-15 at 12:17 PM.
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  16. 06-01-15 12:14 PM #16
    BIGDAY
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    Hitting the Juuuuuuice with Kershaw!
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  17. 06-01-15 12:16 PM #17
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Bear - not knocking ya, but -140 for King Felix at home is not a heavy favorite.
    When is last time the line was this low with him starting at home?
    yeah i know i have seen Felix at -200 and larger at home

    but i just mean in this situation it seems like a lot of juice going up against the Yankees ace.

    Pineda has filthy stuff but hopefully the Mariners can get to him.
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  18. 06-01-15 12:17 PM #18
    Buckandadime
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    Got the King in a 2 teamer just because
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  19. 06-01-15 12:19 PM #19
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    yeah i know i have seen Felix at -200 and larger at home

    but i just mean in this situation it seems like a lot of juice going up against the Yankees ace.

    Pineda has filthy stuff but hopefully the Mariners can get to him.
    Makes sense.
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  20. 06-01-15 12:22 PM #20
    R.P. McMurphy
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    Over a better play in Colorado I think. Kersh gives up runs at Coors his era there just a bit south of 5 i believe.
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  21. 06-01-15 12:25 PM #21
    RollinDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    suckers bet big favs in parlays
    JJ have you tried one before?
    Not sure what your record is now, but may be worth a shot every once in a while to up your profits...just stay away from more than 2 teams unless you are a riskier bettor.
    I know Mag has done quite a few heavy fave 2 - teamers that Pat close to +100 and is sometimes a safer bet than 1 mild favorite play by itself.
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  22. 06-01-15 01:10 PM #22
    posey
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    Playing LAD or not playing LAD for me simply depends on the factor if COL will be able to score at least 4 runs or if they aren't.
    IMO the chances are higher that they cover it so I like COL for these odds much more than the Doyers with Kershaw.
    COL at home since '13:
    - 11-44 when scoring 3 runs or less for a ROI of +62.7% on the visitors (OU 7-45-1)
    - 86-41 when scoring 4 or more for a ROI of +28.3% on COL (OU 88-32-7)
    So, what's likelier in your opinion? That the Rockies score 3 or less agaist a Kershaw who had all the bad luck one could have so far and being backed by an unreliable Dodgers pen or the Rockies scoring at least 4?
    The wind is blowing slightly outwards and the air density is at about 40.
    Maybe one thing to note for the future: if you think the Rockies win a game at home, back the over when the total is higher than 7.5, too. Only looked at the time since 2013, too, but since then the over is 68-50-9 in Rockies home wins, when the total was at least 8, for a ROI of +9.5%.
    Last edited by posey; 06-01-15 at 01:16 PM.
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  23. 06-01-15 01:15 PM #23
    jjgold
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    I say one of the two definitely is going to lose
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  24. 06-01-15 01:17 PM #24
    posey
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I say one of the two definitely is going to lose
    Yeah, this could happen. I don't agree to you often, but with this one you are right.


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  25. 06-01-15 01:19 PM #25
    Ra77er
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    Ill be on NYY vs the King, pass on Kershaw.
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  26. 06-01-15 04:01 PM #26
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what is your reasoning behind that?
    your clueless and on the favs of coarse. what better reason could anyone have????


    you have never given that good a reason. there others but you wouldnt understand those..
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  27. 06-01-15 04:05 PM #27
    SteveKerrsJunk
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    Line on 5 dimes from around -220 down to -196 on kershaw...buyers beware...
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  28. 06-01-15 04:06 PM #28
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    your clueless and on the favs of coarse. what better reason could anyone have????


    you have never given that good a reason. there others but you wouldnt understand those..
    sounds like you are having a bad day. No reason to to take it out on others.

    Didn't your momma tell you if you aint got nothin nice to say , then don't say anything?

    c'mon bro your posting angry lately. Go smoke a bowl and regroup and come back when you can contribute.
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  29. 06-01-15 04:07 PM #29
    Vegas39
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2daBank View Post
    your clueless and on the favs of coarse. what better reason could anyone have????


    you have never given that good a reason. there others but you wouldnt understand those..
    could of stopped right there
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  30. 06-01-15 04:19 PM #30
    James Marques
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    Could of, indeed
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  31. 06-01-15 05:57 PM #31
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    sounds like you are having a bad day. No reason to to take it out on others.

    Didn't your momma tell you if you aint got nothin nice to say , then don't say anything?

    c'mon bro your posting angry lately. Go smoke a bowl and regroup and come back when you can contribute.
    you think that what you doing??? clogging threads with either stuff you stole or your normal own opinion not worth .01.. i saw your punk ass post telling me i need to get laid. ive been handling you like the clown you are since. not to mention you think it ok to bash good posters whenever you see fit. i know you hate it when i let everyone know what a clown you are. obviously you liked my post bout stl gm since you ran to another thread and used half of what i said. funny shit how that works..
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  32. 06-01-15 06:15 PM #32
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    what is your reasoning behind that?

    IMO Kendrick will have to hold the Dodgers to 3 runs or less to win.

    is he capable of doing that?
    Kershaw isn't pitching anywhere near the Cy Young level and his performance this year on the road has been garbage. This game is close to a coin flip.
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  33. 06-01-15 09:47 PM #33
    Big Bear
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    i can't believe i talked myself off the Dodgers today.

    Sickening feeling.

    Line jumped 20 cents right as i went to bet Dodgers and it made me pause

    oh well tomorrow is a new day
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  34. 06-01-15 09:50 PM #34
    2daBank
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    It would serve you well to not think of it like just cause doyers winning you should have bet them. Betting them at the price they were wasnt a winning long term proposition.

    Free advice, take it or leave it. Dunno why I even bother for real.
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  35. 06-02-15 06:55 AM #35
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Hitting the Juuuuuuice with Kershaw!

    It's why I like the Juuuuuice.
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