1. #1
    Capybara
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    Let's talk MLB regular season wins O/U's!

    Two I'm liking a lot are:

    MIA over 81.5

    HOU over 75.5

    What do you guys like, and what kind of units do you usually throw on these?

  2. #2
    Capybara
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    Mods, please cross-post this in the MLB forum, thanks!

  3. #3
    Capybara
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    No one betting these?

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    I lean toward that Over with Astros but not enough to bet. I think Marlins is too close to call.

  5. #5
    EXhoosier10
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    I have all my future bets in my MLB FUTURES post

  6. #6
    seaborneq
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    Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5

  7. #7
    broadway6
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    not betting any, but like Cards Under and Angels Under

  8. #8
    Capybara
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I lean toward that Over with Astros but not enough to bet. I think Marlins is too close to call.
    Thanks, LT. I really like both of these.

    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    I have all my future bets in my MLB FUTURES post
    Hmm, okay, will take a look.

    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5
    Disagree on Rays, but def agree on Oak. Tough calls for me on the other two.

    Quote Originally Posted by broadway6 View Post
    not betting any, but like Cards Under and Angels Under
    Hmm... perhaps... like the Angels one more.

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    I like over in Miami

  10. #10
    lakerboy
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    Angels under lock.

  11. #11
    Jeff_Black
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    So far have got the following:

    - Phillies under 69.5 wins
    - Cubs under 82.5 wins
    - Rangers under 79.5 wins (before Yu Darvish was ruled out for the season)
    - White Sox over 81.5 wins

  12. #12
    A4K
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    I hate these bets. Book gets to lock up my money for 6 months? I can find better investments for my capital.

  13. #13
    BennyBigNuts
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    Royals over 79.5
    Lock of the MLB season

    Astros under looks like a steal also but I passed on them

  14. #14
    stevegreazy
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    braves under

  15. #15
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by A4K View Post
    I hate these bets. Book gets to lock up my money for 6 months? I can find better investments for my capital.
    If you're being 100% if you're br on any given day, you're going to go broke anyway. Tying up 5-10% of your money on futures that, you find an edge on is not a bad investment assuming you plan to actually make money gambling

  16. #16
    Deep_Rest
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    Love Rays under 79.5, Giants under 84, Oakland over 81.5 and Baltimore over 82.5
    I shipped some on TB under 78.5...where'd you get 79.5?

    MIA is tough...if either Jose Fernandez or Giancarlo go down, it's all over baby! Too much variance with that team I'd say. Also, Giancarlo will be playing his first whole season after signing that monster contract last year. I'd like to think Giancarlo has enough heart to give it his all...but the simple fact is players tend to suck after they get paid.

  17. #17
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deep_Rest View Post
    I shipped some on TB under 78.5...where'd you get 79.5?

    MIA is tough...if either Jose Fernandez or Giancarlo go down, it's all over baby! Too much variance with that team I'd say. Also, Giancarlo will be playing his first whole season after signing that monster contract last year. I'd like to think Giancarlo has enough heart to give it his all...but the simple fact is players tend to suck after they get paid.
    I didn't want to play two teams in the same division, so I played this wager and dropped Rays.

    4/5/15 8:40am $100.00 $445.93 Pending 3 Team Parlay
    Pending 4/6/15 3:10pm Props Baseball 26005 BAL regular season wins over 82½ -130* vs BAL regular season wins under 82½ (Fixed Price)
    Pending 4/6/15 4:10pm Props Baseball 26043 PIT regular season wins over 85 -125* vs PIT regular season wins under 85 (Fixed Price)
    Pending 4/6/15 10:10pm Props Baseball 26048 SFO regular season wins under 84 -140* vs SFO regular season wins over 84 (Fixed Price)

    Basically Baltimore over 82.5, Pittsburgh over 85, and Giants under 84

  18. #18
    Capybara
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    Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

    No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.

  19. #19
    ronald
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Two I'm liking a lot are:

    MIA over 81.5

    HOU over 75.5

    What do you guys like, and what kind of units do you usually throw on these?
    You're a year too late.

    Had MIA and HOU OVERS last year.


  20. #20
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

    No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.
    Tons of variance in team wins over a season. Probably safe to keep things max 2u, mostly 1u or under

  21. #21
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by Capybara View Post
    Never thought about doing a parlay, good luck Seaborne...

    No one has answered yet about what kind of units you throw on these props and futures... I'm curious.
    No more than two units because you are letting the books hold your money a long time for better odds

  22. #22
    EXhoosier10
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    Quote Originally Posted by seaborneq View Post
    No more than two units because you are letting the books hold your money a long time for better odds
    A great bettor makes ~10-25% profit per year. If you have, say, a 5% edge, putting a smallish fraction of your br for a 5% profit (on average) over 6 months is not a bad investment.

  23. #23
    seaborneq
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    Quote Originally Posted by EXhoosier10 View Post
    A great bettor makes ~10-25% profit per year. If you have, say, a 5% edge, putting a smallish fraction of your br for a 5% profit (on average) over 6 months is not a bad investment.

    you are correct. but I didn't want anybody to think that they should put 35% of their bankroll on it. LOL

  24. #24
    Ra77er
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    Yea 35% rule is in effect. I don't know about 34% and below but things happen at 35% everytime.

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