1. #106
    fitguy67
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    double post...

    hmmm...while we're here...a few "sport" related things to think about...

    *competitive walking is exactly like a contest to see who can "whisper the loudest"

    *a typical "hash-house harriers" enthusiast is accurately described as a "big drinker with a small running problem"

    "the NBA should consider a major rule change next year: give each team 90 points and play the last 3 minutes"

    *the two most popular of American team sports actually have very little to do with athletic competition..it is far more helpful to think of them as "frequently interrupted legal proceedings with specialized equipment"...of American sports, only hockey and baseball have any sort of flow and in these two sports it is the players themselves (gasp!) who largely determine the game's outcome...in basketball and football, officiating is now the single largest determinant of each game's "winner"

    *if you watch at least three Australian Rugby League (the NRL) matches on a live stream once the season kicks in...you will never want to watch the NFL again...a dozen guys on each team playing a full 80 minutes, without ever "taking a knee", "calling a time out" or any of a dozen other over-manned, over-equipped pussifications of what North-Americans strangely call "Foot"ball...there is more running and tackling in 10 minutes of NRL than you'lll see in an entire three-hour NFL cockup

    *the key determinant of winning an American Football game seems to be "milking more bad Pass-Interference calls, at more crucial times than your opponent"

    *almost as bad as American Football at pissing you off is "real" Football/Soccer...where the name of the game is similarly "milking more undeserved red cards and penalty kicks than your opponents"...at least the soccer players are getting actual exercise tho'...as only about 15 minutes of a 60' minute footabll game involves, er...well, actually playing ANYthing...75% of the time the clock is running "in between" NOT during play

    _____________________

    in summary...the next time you think you are watching "sport"...ask yourself: are you watching a truly- competitive fairly-administered contest among atheletes?...or are you being "entertained" with contrived contentious horseshit designed to piss you off in an odd kind of way that makes you want us to see more?...in the vain hope that next time you'll somehow get a referee who finally sees that folding-chair being snuck into the ring...We like to think we're smarter than WWE fans...but they know the purpose of what they're watching...Do we?
    _________

    that is all
    Last edited by fitguy67; 01-07-15 at 11:20 AM.
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  2. #107
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Today's wagers:

    285769583-1 1/7/15 2:25pm $200.00 $208.00 Pending 1/7/15 7:05pm Reduced Hockey 2 Toronto Maple Leafs +104* vs Washington Capitals
    285769583-2 1/7/15 2:25pm $120.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 3 Boston Bruins/Pittsburgh Penguins Over 5 -120*
    285769583-3 1/7/15 2:25pm $143.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 4 Pittsburgh Penguins -143* vs Boston Bruins
    285769583-4 1/7/15 2:25pm $303.00 $300.00 Pending 1/7/15 9:35pm Reduced Hockey 5 Detroit Red Wings -101* vs Calgary Flames
    285769583-5 1/7/15 2:25pm $180.00 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 10:35pm Reduced Hockey 8 Anaheim Ducks -120* vs New York Rangers
    285769492-1 1/7/15 2:24pm $156.00 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 703 New Orleans Pelicans -4½ -104* vs Charlotte Hornets
    285769492-2 1/7/15 2:24pm $102.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 7:05pm Reduced Basketball 707 New York Knicks/Washington Wizards Under 187 -102*
    285769492-3 1/7/15 2:24pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 711 Memphis Grizzlies +4½ -108* vs Atlanta Hawks
    285769492-4 1/7/15 2:24pm $157.50 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 711 Memphis Grizzlies/Atlanta Hawks Under 196½ -105*
    285769492-5 1/7/15 2:24pm $162.00 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 713 Utah Jazz/Chicago Bulls Under 195½ -108*
    285769492-6 1/7/15 2:24pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 715 Detroit Pistons +9 -108* vs Dallas Mavericks
    285769492-7 1/7/15 2:24pm $108.00 $100.00 Pending 1/7/15 8:35pm Reduced Basketball 715 Detroit Pistons/Dallas Mavericks Over 211 -108*
    285769492-8 1/7/15 2:24pm $157.50 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 10:05pm Reduced Basketball 721 Oklahoma City Thunder/Sacramento Kings Under 211½ -105*
    285769492-9 1/7/15 2:24pm $321.00 $300.00 Pending 1/7/15 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 723 Indiana Pacers/Golden State Warriors Over 203 -107*
    285769492-10 1/7/15 2:24pm $153.00 $150.00 Pending 1/7/15 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 725 Los Angeles Lakers/Los Angeles Clippers Under 214½ -102*
    Points Awarded:

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  3. #108
    Dollars2Donuts
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    And here is a little peek inside my last month:

    Name:  December14.jpg
Views: 517
Size:  30.5 KB

    This is straight from 5dimes and is my last 30 days of wagering.

    This shows the total amount wagered ($66,000), the amount won ($69,000) for a new of just under $3000. It also shows the total number of wagers, 377, which works out to around 12.5 per day and is typical of EXACTLY what I have been doing for the last two years. No surprises here.....in the last 28 months I have made well over 6000 wagers.....so, just to be sure, maybe people will start to recognize that volume is not an immediate strike against the bettor.

    Once per month I will post this, just so that people can check it versus the records that FitGuy is keeping (if they need to, or like).

    BOL today everyone.
    Points Awarded:

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  4. #109
    the_mathman
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    thank you for your great tips!
    Please, ignore the envious.

    great D2D!!!!

  5. #110
    ItsMeMrMattE
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    you plan on getting back into tennis?

  6. #111
    Jayvegas420
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    You really like the pacers/warriors over.
    Even if its a huge blowout?

  7. #112
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    You really like the pacers/warriors over.
    Even if its a huge blowout?
    Especially if it is a huge blowout. Golden State absolutely blew their minds playing D last night. If thy get up 20 here both teams will be firing away. The Warriors never relax when they are up big...and Indiana can score in this scenario.

    I have the game at 115-103.
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  8. #113
    Jayvegas420
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    Ok.
    When I realized this was the lowest total set for GS in their last 20 games I thought something was fishy.
    If the Pacers show up tonight & compete I can only see that helping the over.

  9. #114
    Falco88
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    Good luck

  10. #115
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Tough. Looks like an 0-3 start for a loss of close to $500. Hopefully the rest of the night goes better. This is quite a few consecutive days that have started poorly.....then it feels as though I am clawing my way through the rest of the night trying to get it back.

  11. #116
    fitguy67
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    your observation reminds me of this little gem of an article...making the point that most of the time "winning feels just like losing"

    http://www.wunderdog.com/how-to-win-...s-betting.html

  12. #117
    dvb02
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Tough. Looks like an 0-3 start for a loss of close to $500. Hopefully the rest of the night goes better. This is quite a few consecutive days that have started poorly.....then it feels as though I am clawing my way through the rest of the night trying to get it back.
    The night is young D2D. Don't worry about it, just let it happen!

  13. #118
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Golden State shooting 14 of 39. Indiana is doing their job so far....just need GSW to pick their shit up.

    Crappy loss in OT in Pittsburgh too. Need a break or two here boys.

  14. #119
    gregmav1
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    Haha, I'll give this Ind/GS game to ya D2D. Sniped it right on the money.

  15. #120
    ridersonthestorm
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    Thank you, Dollars2Donuts, for pointing out the OVER in GSW game. That was huge.

  16. #121
    fitguy67
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    previous (d.004/tJ06) ytd: 19-17, +$289

    today (d.005/wJ07) changes: 8-6-1, +$511

    new ytd: 27-23, +$800

    all's well that end's well...bringing us to 8 units flat in just 5 days

    today's play-by-play breakdown


    mkt
    type
    play
    risk
    target
    grade
    net
    289
    h s tor 200 200 L -200 89
    h t bos/pit,o 5 120 100 P 89
    h s pit 143 100 L -143 -54
    h s det 303 300 W 300 246
    h s ana 180 150 L -180 66
    b s nor-4.5 156 150 L -156 -90
    b s nyk/was,u 187 102 100 L -102 -192
    b s mem+4.5 108 100 L -108 -300
    b t mem/atl,u 196.5 157.5 150 W 150 -150
    b t uta/chi,u 195.5 162 150 W 150 0
    b s det+9 108 100 W 100 100
    b t det/dal,o 211 108 100 W 100 200
    b s okc/sac,u 211.5 157.5 150 W 150 350
    b t ind/gsw,o 203 321 300 W 300 650
    b t lal/lac,u 214.5 153 150 W 150 800
    Last edited by fitguy67; 01-08-15 at 12:08 AM.
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  17. #122
    ridersonthestorm
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    Go Rangers (sorry Dollars2Donuts, I see you made the opposite decision). If only NYorkers win, they along with GSW/Indiana will save my sorry arse for today.

  18. #123
    ridersonthestorm
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    I have the game at 115-103.
    Simply awesome, man. A nine-darter.

  19. #124
    Up
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    Quote Originally Posted by fitguy67 View Post
    previous (d.004/tJ06) ytd: 19-17, +$289

    today (d.005/wJ07) changes: 8-6-1, +$511

    new ytd: 27-23, +$800

    all's well that end's well...bringing us to 8 units flat in just 5 days

    today's play-by-play breakdown


    mkt
    type
    play
    risk
    target
    grade
    net
    289
    h s tor 200 200 L -200 89
    h t bos/pit,o 5 120 100 P 89
    h s pit 143 100 L -143 -54
    h s det 303 300 W 300 246
    h s ana 180 150 L -180 66
    b s nor-4.5 156 150 L -156 -90
    b s nyk/was,u 187 102 100 L -102 -192
    b s mem+4.5 108 100 L -108 -300
    b t mem/atl,u 196.5 157.5 150 W 150 -150
    b t uta/chi,u 195.5 162 150 W 150 0
    b s det+9 108 100 W 100 100
    b t det/dal,o 211 108 100 W 100 200
    b s okc/sac,u 211.5 157.5 150 W 150 350
    b t ind/gsw,o 203 321 300 W 300 650
    b t lal/lac,u 214.5 153 150 W 150 800
    Det/Dal o211 was a loss, not a win.
    Points Awarded:

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  20. #125
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by Up View Post
    Det/Dal o211 was a loss, not a win.
    Yep, FitGuy, need to correct this. That changes the results for today quite a bit...only + $300 or something.

    Tomorrow's early wagers:

    285910611-1 1/8/15 5:49am $154.50 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 7:35pm Reduced Basketball 501 Charlotte Hornets/Toronto Raptors Over 200½ -103*
    285910611-2 1/8/15 5:49am $153.00 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 10:35pm Reduced Basketball 505 Miami Heat/Portland Trail Blazers Under 197 -102*
    285910611-3 1/8/15 5:49am $310.00 $200.00 Pending 1/8/15 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 60 St. Louis Blues -155* vs San Jose Sharks
    285910611-4 1/8/15 5:49am $165.00 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 8:05pm Reduced Hockey 61 Dallas Stars/Nashville Predators Under 5½ -110*
    285910611-5 1/8/15 5:49am $119.00 $100.00 Pending 1/8/15 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 63 Winnipeg Jets -119* vs Arizona Coyotes
    285910611-6 1/8/15 5:49am $140.00 $100.00 Pending 1/8/15 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 63 Winnipeg Jets/Arizona Coyotes Over 5 -140*
    285910611-7 1/8/15 5:49am $202.50 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 66 Colorado Avalanche -135* vs Ottawa Senators
    285910611-8 1/8/15 5:49am $165.00 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 9:05pm Reduced Hockey 65 Ottawa Senators/Colorado Avalanche Under 5½ -110*
    285910611-9 1/8/15 5:49am $100.00 $150.00 Pending 1/8/15 10:05pm Reduced Hockey 67 Florida Panthers +150* vs Vancouver Canucks

  21. #126
    FreddDS
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    I was all over that IND/GSW Over yesterday, and you solidified my confidence in it. Huge win! Thank you, keep it up D2D!
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  22. #127
    fitguy67
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    thanks for the correction

    that's why i post breakdowns like that...not in naked "W-L, U" format...despite the extra work, it's far more conducive to noticing and correcting errors in real time, keeping the thread's record accurate

    the reports i blast out at night are always a tentative version, giving everyone a chance to check their accuracy...

    __________________

    previous (d.004/tJ06) ytd: 19-17, +$289

    changes since previous: 7-7-1, +$303

    new
    (d.005/wJ07) ytd: 26-24, +$592

    all's well that end's well...bringing us to almost 6 units in just 5 days

    d.005's play-by-play breakdown

    play
    risk
    target
    grade
    $change
    289
    tor 200 200 L -200 89
    bos/pit,o 5 120 100 P 89
    pit 143 100 L -143 -54
    det 303 300 W 300 246
    ana 180 150 L -180 66
    nor-4.5 156 150 L -156 -90
    nyk/was,u 187 102 100 L -102 -192
    mem+4.5 108 100 L -108 -300
    mem/atl,u 196.5 157.5 150 W 150 -150
    uta/chi,u 195.5 162 150 W 150 0
    det+9 108 100 W 100 100
    det/dal,o 211 108 100 L -108 -8
    okc/sac,u 211.5 157.5 150 W 150 142
    ind/gsw,o 203 321 300 W 300 442
    lal/lac,u 214.5 153 150 W 150 592

    Last edited by fitguy67; 01-08-15 at 09:19 AM.

  23. #128
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Ok. Doubling up on the Raptors over.

    The line has fallen to 199 at 5dimes. Same bet as before, will post ticket when I can.

    At 199 this is a great line.....I have the game at 113-99 Toronto. Toronto has been slumping, they will cle out tonight firing. Charlotte's perimeter defenders are not going to defend well here. I bet we see 13-15 3 pointers from Toronto's O and this is the kind of game that Lou Williams and Terrence Ross will combine for 45 points.

    GL tonight everyone.

  24. #129
    gregmav1
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Ok. Doubling up on the Raptors over.

    The line has fallen to 199 at 5dimes. Same bet as before, will post ticket when I can.

    At 199 this is a great line.....I have the game at 113-99 Toronto. Toronto has been slumping, they will cle out tonight firing. Charlotte's perimeter defenders are not going to defend well here. I bet we see 13-15 3 pointers from Toronto's O and this is the kind of game that Lou Williams and Terrence Ross will combine for 45 points.

    GL tonight everyone.
    i'm seeing about your same score but more like 113-95. wasn't sure if i wanted to take the over or raps -12.5... took the raps, but i bet if that wins then the over wins, probably should have just taken the over too. oh well

  25. #130
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts View Post
    Ok. Doubling up on the Raptors over.

    The line has fallen to 199 at 5dimes. Same bet as before, will post ticket when I can.

    At 199 this is a great line.....I have the game at 113-99 Toronto. Toronto has been slumping, they will cle out tonight firing. Charlotte's perimeter defenders are not going to defend well here. I bet we see 13-15 3 pointers from Toronto's O and this is the kind of game that Lou Williams and Terrence Ross will combine for 45 points.

    GL tonight everyone.
    Why not take the Raptors TT over then?

  26. #131
    flying lotus
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    Good to see you back D2D. You said double up, that mean you are on it for $300?

    I see it at 197.5 now

  27. #132
    fitguy67
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    tonight's "sweating with the betting" program

    mkt
    type play risk target start-time size price
    b t cha/tor,o 200.5 154.5 150 1935 1.5 -103
    b t cha/tor,o 199 154.5 150 1935 1.5 -103
    b t mia/por,u 197 153 150 2235 1.5 -102
    h s stl 310 200 2005 2 -155
    h t dal/nas,u 5.5 165 150 2005 1.5 -110
    h s win 119 100 2105 1 -119
    h t win/arz,o 5 140 100 2105 1 -140
    h s col 202.5 150 2105 1.5 -135
    h t ott/col,u 5.5 165 150 2105 1.5 -110
    h s fla 100 150 2205 1.5 150

    note: I've added the second play on the cha/tor, over (which continued to "sweeten the terms" of the proposition for over-backers...i hit it at 197.5, -105 at 19:04, about 90minutes after D posted the "double up" on it...so o199,-105 seems fair for the record)
    __________________

    D, i'm going to assume that anybody following this thread will be "staying tuned"...so any non-live (ie. all pre-game/pre-period )plays that you post a time-stamped ticket for will get included in this thread record...

    as for live plays...you can post them and you (or a designated "someone"--but not me) can track them...but they will not be part of this officical thread record...as they tend to open a contentious "can of worms" as, particularly later in the game, the prices swing so wildly as to make the concept of "tailing" them meaningless

    live plays you want to report you hit...are entirely "off the record" that i'm carefully keeping here..if someone wants to try and follow along, they (as you) are "on their own"...go ahead, set up a separate tally of how they fare, but as a side-tally...not to be included in the offidial recor...

    the thread record i keep will be for 100% undeniably do-able (non-live) plays posted before the window for that play closes at 5d...pre-game/pre-period/pre-OT/pre-shootout all ok..."in-play" is not...
    _____________

    i do this to keep you from having to deal with silly squabbles over the do-ability of live plays you post that win (somehow, nobody ever whined about the ones that lost!)

    ...non-live plays posted shortly after execution and before "window closing" times are crystal-clear useful to the tail-gater...the same can not be said with any degree of reliability for live plays, even the ones read just a few mnutes after someone posted their time-stamped ticket

    ________________

    you are certainly free to post'em.tho' if so inclined..and if you do, i may even follow them...but including them on a season-long thread like this is a major-league headache that just ain't worth it...and i've decided to keep this record 100% accurate/defensible from allegations of "padding"
    Last edited by fitguy67; 01-08-15 at 08:20 PM.

  28. #133
    gregmav1
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    Unless I'm mistaken it seems you're counting LA/LAC twice, you counted it last night and are putting it in today's wagers.

  29. #134
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Quote Originally Posted by flying lotus View Post
    Good to see you back D2D. You said double up, that mean you are on it for $300?

    I see it at 197.5 now
    currently driving on the highway. Hit it again.

  30. #135
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by gregmav1 View Post
    Unless I'm mistaken it seems you're counting LA/LAC twice, you counted it last night and are putting it in today's wagers.
    nah...u just caught the bottom row of the prev day, that i always copy to the post, then edit to replace with the column headings...should have only been visible for a while, er maybe longer today cuz i got carried away writing under the table 'bout how i wasn't gonna let disputable live plays muck up the record-keeping in this thread

  31. #136
    ridersonthestorm
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    All they need is "do the Orlando" and score dozens of points in the last minute.

    Nevermind, there is always tomorrow.
    Last edited by ridersonthestorm; 01-08-15 at 08:48 PM.

  32. #137
    dalogester
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    Raptors fuckinf suck

  33. #138
    NYSportsGuy210
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    I like your Avalanche bet and think Miami loses but by less than nine points tonight.

  34. #139
    ridersonthestorm
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    Quote Originally Posted by dalogester View Post
    Raptors fuckinf suck
    Toronto Craptors

  35. #140
    madeinchin4
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    Quote Originally Posted by ridersonthestorm View Post
    Toronto Craptors
    Hoping for OT

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