1. #1
    ACoochy
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    T20 AUS v S.A.

    South Africans are +140. Why?

    Aussies are near rock bottom in terms of confidence and form.

    Aussies completely outclassed in game 1 so why do the books think they should be favoured here?

    Want to unload on the Proteas but need to make sure I've got all angles covered.

    Cheers

  2. #2
    TheLangster
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    well, sa opened at around +100 in the first game, now they opened just a tiny bit higher at around +110 and +120

    there are a few changes in the line up for australia and they rushed maxwell back which is probably why the price difference and why bettors seem to be putting their money on australia, whether he will make a big enough difference to get the win remains to be seen

  3. #3
    sneakerhead
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    Must win for Australia here, they called back Maxwell from UAE to add batting depth. SA hadnt won any t20 in australia until the last one. Steyn missing from SA bowling, also would have liked Fauf De Plessis and Amla in the lineup. I think this is a no play for me but SA is not a bad play at the given odds.

  4. #4
    TheLangster
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    horrible odds for australia, I think the best strategy is to wait and take australia to win during the middle of the innings if they are batting second, you could get a better price cause at the current one they are a no play

  5. #5
    ACoochy
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    Thanks guys.

    I just dont see how after watching game 1 the aussies have any chance (even with maxwell in).

    They were completely dominated both with the bat and in the field.

    The pakistan drubbing is still fresh in their minds, that much is obvious (you could see it in their lack of footwork on the crease)...

    Probably going all in on the proteas here, such is the degree of confidence at +EV odds

  6. #6
    Gee
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    Coochy, line is way off, but Australia still deserve to be slight favourites IMO.

    Both teams are in pretty good form. Most of the Aussie guys aren't at rock bottom - most of them have had a pretty good preparation in the matador cup.

  7. #7
    Gee
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Thanks guys.

    I just dont see how after watching game 1 the aussies have any chance (even with maxwell in).

    They were completely dominated both with the bat and in the field.

    The pakistan drubbing is still fresh in their minds, that much is obvious (you could see it in their lack of footwork on the crease)...

    Probably going all in on the proteas here, such is the degree of confidence at +EV odds
    But Australia won the one day series vs Pakistan. None of the test players played on Weds.

  8. #8
    ACoochy
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    GEE!!!

    Welcome back from your hiatus.

    I suppose its not like aussies can play any worse.


    South Africa very disciplined side with alot of inform players

  9. #9
    thunderous
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    Easy bet....take whoever's batting second. Will be an easy chase

  10. #10
    ACoochy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gee View Post
    But Australia won the one day series vs Pakistan. None of the test players played on Weds.
    True.

    May hold off til closer to gametime b4 making a call here.

    Thanks

  11. #11
    Gee
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    GEE!!!

    Welcome back from your hiatus.

    I suppose its not like aussies can play any worse.


    South Africa very disciplined side with alot of inform players
    You too. I get bored from time to time and like to chime in on the Aussie stuff from time to time.

    I didn't think we were that bad on Weds. I think when you pick a team and Faulkner is in at #6, if you lose a few early wickets, it's hard to come back from. It then becomes really hard to defend 144, because you're trying to attack too much.

    Anyway, i'll take the $2.45 on the Saffers.

  12. #12
    ACoochy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gee View Post
    You too. I get bored from time to time and like to chime in on the Aussie stuff from time to time.

    I didn't think we were that bad on Weds. I think when you pick a team and Faulkner is in at #6, if you lose a few early wickets, it's hard to come back from. It then becomes really hard to defend 144, because you're trying to attack too much.

    Anyway, i'll take the $2.45 on the Saffers.
    Hhhmmm solid points.

    Where you getting that $2.45 from?

  13. #13
    thunderous
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Hhhmmm solid points.

    Where you getting that $2.45 from?
    2.54 on betfair right now

  14. #14
    sneakerhead
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    Gonna wait for final lineups and toss

  15. #15
    sneakerhead
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    put some money on the proteas as well, lets get it

  16. #16
    Gee
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    Quote Originally Posted by ACoochy View Post
    Hhhmmm solid points.

    Where you getting that $2.45 from?
    Pinny. Aus books were $2.2x.


    Saffers 2 down already though :/

    Was really impressed with their bowling on Weds though. Wouldn't be surprised if 150 is a winning score.

  17. #17
    sneakerhead
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    yikes two quick ones, need duminy to hang in

  18. #18
    sneakerhead
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    this one is lost, on to the next one

  19. #19
    shaunovery
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    Never really had a run for your money

  20. #20
    ACoochy
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    So thankful to get called into the office early and wasn't able to place wager.

    Apologees if anyone tailed as a result of this thread

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