1. #1
    stevenash
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    Underdog Cubs with Travis Wood will growl and bark and bite tonight at +125

    Here's the trend lately with Wood, throws three good games in a row, then stinks out the joint on the fourth game, then throws three more good games, then gets hammered again in the fourth.

    REGULAR SEASON GAMES THROUGH JUNE 25, 2014 YEAR TO DATE
    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    Jun 21 vs PIT L 5-3 4.2 4 3 3 1 3 4 5 9 99 21 45 L(7-6) - 4.55
    Jun 15 @ PHI W 3-0 8.0 3 0 0 0 3 6 7 14 112 30 79 W(7-5) - 4.48
    Jun 10 @ PIT W 7-3 6.2 9 3 3 1 2 2 10 15 102 29 44 W(6-5) - 4.95
    Jun 5 vs NYM W 7-4 5.0 4 2 2 0 5 3 6 10 92 25 49 - - 5.04
    Monthly Totals 24.1 20 8 8 2 13 15 28 48 405 105 -- 2-1 0 sv 2.96
    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    May 30 @ MIL L 11-5 2.2 10 7 7 1 1 4 6 7 62 18 13 L(5-5) - 5.15
    May 24 @ SD W 3-2 7.1 3 2 2 1 2 3 11 11 98 27 65 W(5-4) - 4.35
    May 18 vs MIL W 4-2 7.0 2 2 2 1 3 7 6 10 103 26 69 W(4-4) - 4.61
    May 12 @ STL W 17-5 6.0 5 5 4 0 3 4 3 16 94 28 45 W(3-4) - 4.91
    May 7 @ CHW L 8-3 4.0 8 8 8 1 5 3 5 11 89 24 12 L(2-4) - 4.75
    May 2 vs STL W 6-5 7.0 6 3 2 0 0 6 7 14 112 27 61 W(2-3) - 3.35
    Monthly Totals 34.0 34 27 25 4 14 27 38 69 558 150 -


    Overall numbers are right around league average, not an elite lefty, but a lefty with a nasty arsenal, when on, is as effective as any starter.

    Even with the stinker against Pittsburgh, Wood is a very tough home pitcher.
    You have to throw that start out too, he had to sit through a 2 hour plus rain delay
    2.97 ERA this season at the friendly confines, knows how to pitch at Wrigley.

    Even though Rendon, LaRoche and Werth hit LHP, the extra base hits are not there.
    The Nats have virtually zero power numbers v. LHP despite .280 overall, wind blowing in, total is 7, that speaks volumes the ball stays in the yard all night.

    Except for the aforemention three hitters, Nats line up is weak, in the 20's in all major hittitng categories.

    Woods has a solid K/9 ratio, strikes about 8 per 9, walks are the problem, not going to sugar coat it, allows less than a hit an inning, solid, walks a little more than 3 per nine, ummm not solid.
    He is what he is, a 100 pitch count starter, that pretty much is stingy in the hits allowed department, K's a lot of batters, but will walk you too.

    Here's the way I see it, if Wood has command tonight, easy winner.
    If he throws strikes, Nats don't ding him, I might sound like Captian Obvious with that, but that's the way it is.

    Fister - Nats
    It's obvious change of sceneary to the NL is the reason for the numbers he has put up.
    It's only nine starts, but the numbers don't lie.

    Still not convinced.

    He was barely ordinary starting out as a Mariner.
    He was OK in Detroit, but had all that run support.
    He never was, and never will be a strikeout artist.
    Near bottom of the list when it comes to power numbers for pitchers.
    Relies on ground balls.

    l'm still not convinced.
    I still remember this mediocre #3 or 4 guy on the Detroit staff that was there just to eat up 6 innings, save the 'pen type of guy.

    Listen, I'm not going to go on and on here.
    This is a Cub spot play at home where I can get +127 on toss up.
    You can easily make arguments as to why to play the other side.

    Like "Cubs suck, dude what is wrong with you?"
    And I'd listen.

    Like "Dude, Nats are playing good, what's wrong with you"?

    Like "Dude, Ryan Sweeny is leading off for the Cubs, you got meatloaf for brains"?
    (Sweeny is 4 for 10 couple of walks, 2 doubles off of Fister)

    You can either
    a) tail me
    b) fade me
    c) pass
    d) get a six pack, pass, just watch the game, and laugh at Nashy when the Nats score 5 in the first to sink my ticket.
    e) get a six pack, just watch the game, and curse yourself out for not tailing Nashy while shaking your head while muttering to yourself "that blowhard is a mad genius"

    Home dog says "arf arf, bow wow"

    Cubs 2*

  2. #2
    farmhouse1
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    Although cubs do have a tendency to win the first game of a series versus any team. Wood is mediocre at best and their bullpen only gets worse...

  3. #3
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    Although cubs do have a tendency to win the first game of a series versus any team. Wood is mediocre at best and their bullpen only gets worse...
    You can either
    a) tail me
    b) fade me
    c) pass
    d) get a six pack, pass, just watch the game, and laugh at Nashy when the Nats score 5 in the first to sink my ticket.
    e) get a six pack, just watch the game, and curse yourself out for not tailing Nashy while shaking your head while muttering to yourself "that blowhard is a mad genius"
    f) say "Although cubs do have a tendency to win the first game of a series versus any team. Wood is mediocre at best and their bullpen only gets worse..."

  4. #4
    jay89
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    small card of games, hopefully you aren't grasping for straws here. my angle is that the nats put up runs vs the travis wood in the last matchip and they are 7th ops vs left handers this year. can hardly find a reason to back the cubs offense. you have your opinions on fister but the nats are 7-2 in his starts this year.

    good luck

  5. #5
    farmhouse1
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    I'll go with F....

  6. #6
    Cappinpicks
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    gotta fade the cubs, shit teams never win look at twinks

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jay89 View Post
    small card of games, hopefully you aren't grasping for straws here. my angle is that the nats put up runs vs the travis wood in the last matchip and they are 7th ops vs left handers this year. can hardly find a reason to back the cubs offense. you have your opinions on fister but the nats are 7-2 in his starts this year.

    good luck
    I don't force plays.
    This game has been talking to me all day.

    I have never forced a baseball game in my life, there are 30 teams, there are 162 games, do the math.

    I have been know to sit out four days many times.

  8. #8
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cappinpicks View Post
    gotta fade the cubs, shit teams never win look at twinks
    All good I hear ya.

    p.s. Cubs have won 32 games though.

  9. #9
    farmhouse1
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    If the cubs put up more then 3 runs today I'll be surprised....

  10. #10
    farmhouse1
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    GL man

  11. #11
    Darkside Magick
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    Spot play for cubs here +137

  12. #12
    AchillesTG
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    I hate fading you, because you taught me a couple of lessons on the NFL.

    However, I a took WASH -127 earlier in the day. We only have a couple of thousand MLB games to play, so I am sure we will both survive, win or lose in this game.

    GL!

    How old are the Jack Russell's?

  13. #13
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Damn it Nash not what I wanted to hear lol. Hate fading you bro but I think cubs get a good fisting tonight lol. Gl

  14. #14
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Why the line movement on wash?

  15. #15
    bluetooth3
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    Also on the cubbies....going to be a grind of a game

    BOL to us!

  16. #16
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by farmhouse1 View Post
    If the cubs put up more then 3 runs today I'll be surprised....
    Surprised?

  17. #17
    stevenash
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    After the sixth I said to myself proudly "Wood did exactly what I thought he would do,go six strong, keep Cubs in game, turn it over to 'pen for final three, cash nice doggy ticket"

    Get up, go to the refrigerator, putz around the kitchen for a couple of minutes, come back, and I see Wood starting the seventh.
    I'm like "NOOO NOOO NOOO, WHY WHY WHY?"
    Said to myself "this does not end well" I've hit my last seven straight, with a push on a total, so I shouldn't bitch.

    BUT WHY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  18. #18
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    After the sixth I said to myself proudly "Wood did exactly what I thought he would do,go six strong, keep Cubs in game, turn it over to 'pen for final three, cash nice doggy ticket"

    Get up, go to the refrigerator, putz around the kitchen for a couple of minutes, come back, and I see Wood starting the seventh.
    I'm like "NOOO NOOO NOOO, WHY WHY WHY?"
    Said to myself "this does not end well" I've hit my last seven straight, with a push on a total, so I shouldn't bitch.

    BUT WHY !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    The Cubs have no manager. Again. Still.

  19. #19
    jay89
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    tie ball game, fog settling in, should be an entertaining end

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Two shots here in the seventh to seal the deal.
    First and second, one down.
    Let's see what the lovable losers got it them?

  21. #21
    Darkside Magick
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    Cash it

  22. #22
    ZIPPER HEAD
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    Will never fade you again you bastard. Good call

  23. #23
    bluetooth3
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    Beers for us!

    BOL on future games!

  24. #24
    erocking
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    no locks in gambling, Nash git r done.

  25. #25
    Al Masters
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Here's the trend lately with Wood, throws three good games in a row, then stinks out the joint on the fourth game, then throws three more good games, then gets hammered again in the fourth.

    REGULAR SEASON GAMES THROUGH JUNE 25, 2014 YEAR TO DATE
    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    Jun 21 vs PIT L 5-3 4.2 4 3 3 1 3 4 5 9 99 21 45 L(7-6) - 4.55
    Jun 15 @ PHI W 3-0 8.0 3 3 6 7 14 112 30 79 W(7-5) - 4.48
    Jun 10 @ PIT W 7-3 6.2 9 3 3 1 2 2 10 15 102 29 44 W(6-5) - 4.95
    Jun 5 vs NYM W 7-4 5.0 4 2 2 5 3 6 10 92 25 49 - - 5.04
    Monthly Totals 24.1 20 8 8 2 13 15 28 48 405 105 -- 2-1 0 sv 2.96
    DATE OPPONENT RESULT IP H R ER HR BB SO GB FB Pit BF GSc Dec. Rel. ERA
    May 30 @ MIL L 11-5 2.2 10 7 7 1 1 4 6 7 62 18 13 L(5-5) - 5.15
    May 24 @ SD W 3-2 7.1 3 2 2 1 2 3 11 11 98 27 65 W(5-4) - 4.35
    May 18 vs MIL W 4-2 7.0 2 2 2 1 3 7 6 10 103 26 69 W(4-4) - 4.61
    May 12 @ STL W 17-5 6.0 5 5 4 3 4 3 16 94 28 45 W(3-4) - 4.91
    May 7 @ CHW L 8-3 4.0 8 8 8 1 5 3 5 11 89 24 12 L(2-4) - 4.75
    May 2 vs STL W 6-5 7.0 6 3 2 6 7 14 112 27 61 W(2-3) - 3.35
    Monthly Totals 34.0 34 27 25 4 14 27 38 69 558 150 -


    Overall numbers are right around league average, not an elite lefty, but a lefty with a nasty arsenal, when on, is as effective as any starter.

    Even with the stinker against Pittsburgh, Wood is a very tough home pitcher.
    You have to throw that start out too, he had to sit through a 2 hour plus rain delay
    2.97 ERA this season at the friendly confines, knows how to pitch at Wrigley.

    Even though Rendon, LaRoche and Werth hit LHP, the extra base hits are not there.
    The Nats have virtually zero power numbers v. LHP despite .280 overall, wind blowing in, total is 7, that speaks volumes the ball stays in the yard all night.

    Except for the aforemention three hitters, Nats line up is weak, in the 20's in all major hittitng categories.

    Woods has a solid K/9 ratio, strikes about 8 per 9, walks are the problem, not going to sugar coat it, allows less than a hit an inning, solid, walks a little more than 3 per nine, ummm not solid.
    He is what he is, a 100 pitch count starter, that pretty much is stingy in the hits allowed department, K's a lot of batters, but will walk you too.

    Here's the way I see it, if Wood has command tonight, easy winner.
    If he throws strikes, Nats don't ding him, I might sound like Captian Obvious with that, but that's the way it is.

    Fister - Nats
    It's obvious change of sceneary to the NL is the reason for the numbers he has put up.
    It's only nine starts, but the numbers don't lie.

    Still not convinced.

    He was barely ordinary starting out as a Mariner.
    He was OK in Detroit, but had all that run support.
    He never was, and never will be a strikeout artist.
    Near bottom of the list when it comes to power numbers for pitchers.
    Relies on ground balls.

    l'm still not convinced.
    I still remember this mediocre #3 or 4 guy on the Detroit staff that was there just to eat up 6 innings, save the 'pen type of guy.

    Listen, I'm not going to go on and on here.
    This is a Cub spot play at home where I can get +127 on toss up.
    You can easily make arguments as to why to play the other side.

    Like "Cubs suck, dude what is wrong with you?"
    And I'd listen.

    Like "Dude, Nats are playing good, what's wrong with you"?

    Like "Dude, Ryan Sweeny is leading off for the Cubs, you got meatloaf for brains"?
    (Sweeny is 4 for 10 couple of walks, 2 doubles off of Fister)

    Well done Stevenash.

  26. #26
    Down_Goes Bookie
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    You're a mad genius Nash. I saw that .280+ Washington average vs LHP when capping this game and ruled out the Cubbies on that alone. Great pick.

  27. #27
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Down_Goes Bookie View Post
    You're a mad genius Nash. I saw that .280+ Washington average vs LHP when capping this game and ruled out the Cubbies on that alone. Great pick.
    But it was a singles only, no power, weak ass .280 which is nothing at all.

  28. #28
    AchillesTG
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    I am 0-3 fading you, you'd think I might learn!

    Well done!

  29. #29
    stevenash
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    ^
    Thank you sir.
    Don't let some dopey internet guy get you off your play though, when I get cold, it's Arctic cold, so don't auto tail me by no means.
    I'm good at baseball, but there is a reason why I go to work every day.

  30. #30
    Darkside Magick
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    Like cubs again today

  31. #31
    sballen
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    Quote Originally Posted by Darkside Magick View Post
    Like cubs again today
    I don't see Nat's losing again. Gotta go w them ML.

  32. #32
    WWWBUKTN
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    You like anything today SteveNash or did you post and I'm missing it. Nice play last night, I rode your coat tails to an entertaining victory and that's coming from a guy who bleeds White Sox Black. Thanks and after looking at your breakdown I kind of shrugged my shoulders and thought, "penetrate, looks like he's done his homework here I'm good with that." Thanks again.

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