1. #1
    TonyTall
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    my prop bet of the year (nba allstar game)

    K.Love u11.5 rebounds -105

    congrats for kevin averaging 13.2 rebounds a game this season playing 36 minutes a game but this is a completely different system/scenario tonight. blake griffin is starting center that will put love on 6'8 anthony or 6'8 paul george. either way he will be playing a lot away from his own rim.

    the west has a great mix of forwards that will see time tonight. love, griffin, aldridge, howard, dirk and most importantly anthony davis the only pelican who should see at least 15 minutes. they will all be used of course and i predict 27 minutes of action for love. last year only one player on the west saw more than 30 minutes and that was durant.

    this is my prop bet of the year because i have love capped at 27 minutes and 7 rebounds

    note: in the past 5 NBA all star games combined only 3 players have pulled in more than 10 rebounds

  2. #2
    benjy
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    Interesting.

    Have you accounted for the increased pace and hence the number of shots that will be taken?

  3. #3
    iifold
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    Tailed...

  4. #4
    Rainman10
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    What site did you find that prop? 5Dimes just has O/U 12.5, but the Under 12.5 is juiced at -165

  5. #5
    trytrytry
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    this might be post of the week..well done breaking this concept for a play down..

  6. #6
    TonyTall
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    heritage, betonline, bovada

    all offer this at u11.5


    yes benjy i have. last 2 years averaged 46 total rebounds a game for the west. so lets say they get 50 rebounds today. then love would have to pull in a quarter of all rebounds to lose this bet. how will he do that when hes not even playing center (griffin,howard,davis) and very likely wont play more than 30 minutes

  7. #7
    benjy
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    Right on. Nice angle and write-up. I like it.

  8. #8
    w@lt
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    5dimes only has u 12.5 at -175. Thinking about laying some juice.

  9. #9
    broadway6
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    Smells like this is going over.

  10. #10
    Simon Gruber
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    Bovada has -140 btw. Thinking about laying 140 on it. If it hits I'll buy myself a nice dinner. If it doesn't I'll probably still buy the dinner but I won't be smiling on the way there.

  11. #11
    dlunc3
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    Quote Originally Posted by w@lt View Post
    5dimes only has u 12.5 at -175. Thinking about laying some juice.
    5d at 11.5 -150 now

  12. #12
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by broadway6 View Post
    Smells like this is going over.
    Agree. Why is it so high?

  13. #13
    TonyTall
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    5dimes has "most rebounds by any player" o11.5 -135


    loving that i am seeing anthony davis with rebs+blocks +11.5 that tells me he is expected to see 20+ minutes


    they have to give dirk his minutes, and if they want to win they play aldridge. and dwight howard will play center for a good amount. just dont see the minutes available here

  14. #14
    Simon Gruber
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    Bovada just moved it to 11 (-140)

  15. #15
    GoBlue77
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    On Blake o 21.5 myself

  16. #16
    w@lt
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    Get away from the rim Kevin!!

  17. #17
    benjy
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    Odd that Love is hanging under the rim.

    Curious where the 3 of 5 that got more than 10 rebounds were playing. It's not as if there's a ton of banging going on by the basket - either open threes or dunks for the most part - not a typical rebounding game.

  18. #18
    broadway6
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Agree. Why is it so high?

    no telling.. not watching and don't care.. just my 2 cents above

  19. #19
    face
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    it's kind of fun watching the all star game just hoping one guy doesn't get 12 rebounds

  20. #20
    TonyTall
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    Quote Originally Posted by face View Post
    it's kind of fun watching the all star game just hoping one guy doesn't get 12 rebounds

    i know its really all about the coaches. how many minutes do they play him. where does he line up ect

    5 at the half by love

    hopefully the game will be close in the 4th qtr and the pace will slow down

  21. #21
    face
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    it's also about how many scrubs for the east shoot bricks for him to rebound
    so far they've played love when the better players are on the court luckily

  22. #22
    bamaatlsu
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    Under 11.5 was -170 at my book so I took under 2.5 3pt FGs made by Love

  23. #23
    Smoke
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    Did he win yet?

  24. #24
    w@lt
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    It looks like this is going to be close. He has 7 rebounds. Hopefully he doesn't get a ton of minutes the rest of the way.

  25. #25
    w@lt
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    That's right Kevin, get outta there. Good thing there are a lot of shots being made, he's been hanging around the rim way too much for my liking.

  26. #26
    w@lt
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    Shit, he's still in.

  27. #27
    Squidder
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    Lookin good. I tailed to win 100.

  28. #28
    w@lt
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  29. #29
    w@lt
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    Nice hit, Tony!

  30. #30
    iifold
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    Nice one TonyTall...

    Wish I knew who's ghost you were...

    Adding you to the list with rm18 as people to start my betting syndicate with...
    Points Awarded:

    TonyTall gave iifold 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  31. #31
    killawookie
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    No one went over 11 reb in the whole game lol

  32. #32
    Squidder
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    Thanks for the play tony

  33. #33
    trobin31
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    Well played sir

  34. #34
    dlunc3
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    Nice hit

  35. #35
    ParlayininHTown
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    Congrats Tony.

    Try to take it easy on the drinking tonight, pal.

    Call me on the 281 line if you need to talk.

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