1. 10-15-13 11:35 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    UL Lafayette +4.5 over Western Kentucky Tuesday

    This line is available at DSI. These teams are almost mirror images of each other at every position except the most important one...QB. I think the underdog Ragin' Cajuns have the edge there, which should make all the difference ATS with an outright upset not impossible. Although both quarterbacks are juniors, Broadway has more experience after starting last year. He is completing 65.6 percent of his passes while averaging an excellent 8.8 yards per attempt, suggesting that he is not padding that percentage with a bunch of rinky-dinky passes, and he has 10 touchdown passes vs. four interceptions with four more touchdowns on the ground. The Hilltoppers' Doughty is in his first year as a starter, he is a pure pocket passer that is not very nimble and he has an ugly ratio of 10 interceptions vs. seven TD passes. His 7.4 yards per attempt is decent, but still 1.4 yards per pass less than Broadway.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-15-13 11:41 AM #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Well, this line WAS available when I started my writeup. ULL hammered to +3 at a ton of places. Try to get +3.5 at -120 or less if you can.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-15-13 11:42 AM #3
    Louisvillekid1
    LAMAR MVP!
    Louisvillekid1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-07
    Posts: 52,044
    Betpoints: 553

    I agree
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 10-15-13 11:49 AM #4
    ZINISTER
    ZINISTER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-12
    Posts: 1,651
    Betpoints: 4786

    LT you saved me some money this past weekend on some of my NMSU,Wyoming etc. I left em alone and picked other losers. lol The WKU QB the last 3 games has been turning the ball over and acceptable amount. Just feel the Hilltoppers can come up with some stops in this one and I think they are coming off a bye week. The RB for the Tops is a chain mover with this defense that will struggle to stop him once they establish some passing early. Not expecting you to change your mind just maybe proceed with a bit of caution.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-15-13 12:09 PM #5
    TonyTall
    sober 8/18
    TonyTall's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-13
    Posts: 3,551
    Betpoints: 769

    broadway +29.5 (doughy) at bovada

    juicy but gotta be a winner
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-15-13 12:22 PM #6
    booksbroker
    booksbroker's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-19-13
    Posts: 553
    Betpoints: 554

    Ugh line at +3 now...going wait if it will move to +3.5..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-15-13 12:53 PM #7
    Melda
    Melda's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-11
    Posts: 1,028
    Betpoints: 4169

    wow lined dropped to 3 after being at 4.5 ..... hmmm, after looking at it a little more, I am starting to lean WKU now....

    ...or perhaps the over sounds like the best play..

    Both teams seem fully capable of putting up 30 a piece and the defenses are pretty incapable of stopping that. 2 Great offensive weapons on both sides of the O ball.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: usmail
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  8. 10-15-13 01:00 PM #8
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Teams like this are very inconsistent it is hard to handicap them
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-15-13 01:02 PM #9
    hankcream
    hankcream's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-10
    Posts: 2,048
    Betpoints: 5458

    The under hits at about 75% on these Tuesday night games. These teams both appear to have potent offenses but early week games like this put these college kids out of sink. Playing it safe under 63 -105(5Dimes) 1 unit for me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-15-13 01:04 PM #10
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    you guys told us to bet Navy against WKU too...

    how much money yall gotta lose before you stop fading the cash train
    that is Bobby Fukkin Petrino
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-15-13 01:17 PM #11
    Brutus84
    Brutus84's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-11
    Posts: 5,188
    Betpoints: 402

    People think these teams are about even. WKU is 5x better. Wtf are people thinking
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-15-13 01:18 PM #12
    booksbroker
    booksbroker's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-19-13
    Posts: 553
    Betpoints: 554

    Hmm line is +3 now, perfect for a +7 teaser TRAP?? WKU win by 10+??? Look fishy now.
    Last edited by booksbroker; 10-15-13 at 01:29 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-15-13 01:23 PM #13
    Overbettor
    Overbettor's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-11
    Posts: 951
    Betpoints: 374

    Quote Originally Posted by hankcream View Post
    The under hits at about 75% on these Tuesday night games. These teams both appear to have potent offenses but early week games like this put these college kids out of sink. Playing it safe under 63 -105(5Dimes) 1 unit for me
    What about the tuesday night mac games? Those games go over just about every damn time it seems
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-15-13 01:27 PM #14
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,290
    Betpoints: 22206

    RAS put a play out on ULL thats why the line dropped
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-15-13 01:37 PM #15
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18710

    I like WKU here
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-15-13 02:06 PM #16
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    I like WKU here
    smart man.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 10-15-13 02:09 PM #17
    booksbroker
    booksbroker's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-19-13
    Posts: 553
    Betpoints: 554

    WKU -3 and UNDER 63 here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-15-13 03:08 PM #18
    Microbetter
    Microbetter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-13
    Posts: 589
    Betpoints: 13606

    5 of doughy's picks were in one game vs Tennesee. If you throw out that one freakish day, he's not that bad.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-15-13 03:13 PM #19
    Melda
    Melda's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-11
    Posts: 1,028
    Betpoints: 4169

    Quote Originally Posted by Microbetter View Post
    5 of doughy's picks were in one game vs Tennesee. If you throw out that one freakish day, he's not that bad.

    Theyre RB is an absolute beast too. I liked ULL at the beginning of the day but I switched over to WKU


    especially with that line movement.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-15-13 03:16 PM #20
    El_Zilcho
    El_Zilcho's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-13
    Posts: 74
    Betpoints: 158

    If Petrino had a hot blonde in the sack this weekend, take WKU.
    Points Awarded:

    Bengals28 gave El_Zilcho 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-15-13 03:20 PM #21
    Jaug
    1 in 2.7 mill
    Jaug's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-09
    Posts: 3,086
    Betpoints: 2977

    Took Lafayette +3.5 -114. Counting on ya here LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-15-13 03:46 PM #22
    TonyTall
    sober 8/18
    TonyTall's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-13
    Posts: 3,551
    Betpoints: 769

    Quote Originally Posted by El_Zilcho View Post
    If Petrino had a hot blonde in the sack this weekend, take WKU.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-15-13 04:31 PM #23
    TheMLBKing
    TheMLBKing's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-13
    Posts: 1,129
    Betpoints: 0

    another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-15-13 04:37 PM #24
    jayc88
    Update your status
    jayc88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-07
    Posts: 6,785
    Betpoints: 1151

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMLBKing View Post
    another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
    Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-15-13 04:41 PM #25
    greenhippo
    greenhippo's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-12
    Posts: 9,091
    Betpoints: 723

    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
    Coming from the guy with the luke warm jab at me when I said Oregon would win by 20+ this past weekend. How much did they win by?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-15-13 04:43 PM #26
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    Yes , easy money if you got this at -4.5 and fair line is much closer to 3 lol
    not sure how you figure that. The CURRENT LINE may be 3 or 3.5 but that doesn't make it the fair line. WKU is obviously the better team IMO. As long as WKU can run the football and take the pressure off Doughty, they win easily. In the losses, he was forced to throw WAY TOO OFTEN. I personally got WKU at -3 (-110)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-15-13 04:47 PM #27
    jayc88
    Update your status
    jayc88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-07
    Posts: 6,785
    Betpoints: 1151

    If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-15-13 04:49 PM #28
    jayc88
    Update your status
    jayc88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-07
    Posts: 6,785
    Betpoints: 1151

    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    Coming from the guy with the luke warm jab at me when I said Oregon would win by 20+ this past weekend. How much did they win by?
    Congrats if you won on oregon;
    But dont remember talking to you before
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-15-13 04:51 PM #29
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
    I understand but don't make the CURRENT LINE out to be perfectly efficient
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-15-13 04:56 PM #30
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMLBKing View Post
    another easy fade. thanks LT. Fading you has been the easiest betting decision of my life.
    Then you have basically lost juice in CFB and gotten killed in NFL so far this year.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 10-15-13 05:04 PM #31
    pinnacle420
    THE LOCALS WORST NIGHTMARE
    pinnacle420's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 6,254
    Betpoints: 1913

    sorry LT but at -3.. im rolling on the home team here.. good luck though
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 10-15-13 05:20 PM #32
    Iwinyourmoney
    IWIN.........IN!
    Iwinyourmoney's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-18-07
    Posts: 18,368
    Betpoints: 733

    Taking Louisiana -6.5 +283
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 10-15-13 05:21 PM #33
    Louisvillekid1
    LAMAR MVP!
    Louisvillekid1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-07
    Posts: 52,044
    Betpoints: 553

    U LA LA and Broadway
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 10-15-13 05:26 PM #34
    TheMLBKing
    TheMLBKing's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-13
    Posts: 1,129
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by jayc88 View Post
    If you dont understand that its a bad move to blindly fade someone at -4.5 and the line moves to -3 afterwards, then i dont know what to say
    When I saw this thread, it was -3. The more important part is to just fade whatever SIDE LT Profits is on.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 10-15-13 05:26 PM #35
    TheMLBKing
    TheMLBKing's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-13
    Posts: 1,129
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Then you have basically lost juice in CFB and gotten killed in NFL so far this year.
    And cleaned outttttttttttt in MLB this year.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
1234 ... Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »