1. 07-14-13 05:00 PM #1
    k13
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    NFL Season Player Props

    Alfred Morris rushing yards o/u 1420.5

    Just looking at it historically, injury wise, does it not seem a bit high?

    Adrian Peterson is 1680.5 and he's only hit that twice out of six years.

    Really like the under on Morris. Just a few games missed and it will be really hard to hit that number.

    I'd probably take the under on every RB on the list though.........
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  2. 07-14-13 05:03 PM #2
    jjgold
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    Who the heck is he??

    No way that goes over

    Do you have a list of some of the bigger names??
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  3. 07-14-13 05:06 PM #3
    daneblazer
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    JJ you're rusty pal.

    I like that under on Morris
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  4. 07-14-13 05:35 PM #4
    k13
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    Dough Martin 1330.5
    Jaamal Charles 1350.5

    Dez Bryant 1300.5 over is -160....
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  5. 07-14-13 06:05 PM #5
    gryfyn1
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    Seems to optimistic, since 06 only 0ne player has rushed for 1400yrds in back to back years, that was Tomlinson in '06&'07
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  6. 07-14-13 06:08 PM #6
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by gryfyn1 View Post
    Seems to optimistic, since 06 only 0ne player has rushed for 1400yrds in back to back years, that was Tomlinson in '06&'07
    top 5 rb of all time.
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  7. 07-14-13 06:18 PM #7
    jjgold
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    Charles can go over

    He has so many big games
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  8. 07-14-13 07:33 PM #8
    GamblerSpirit
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    can you plz list the book
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  9. 07-14-13 07:47 PM #9
    rm18
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    Charles will definitely go over barring injury, should be in the 1800-1900 range
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  10. 07-14-13 08:12 PM #10
    Louisvillekid1
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    I really like the Charles over
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  11. 07-14-13 08:38 PM #11
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by GamblerSpirit View Post
    can you plz list the book
    Bet365.
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  12. 07-14-13 08:42 PM #12
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
    Charles will definitely go over barring injury, should be in the 1800-1900 range
    Rushing yards or total yards?

    No way he comes close to 1900 rushing yards.
    I'll just draft morris for my fantasy team and easy UNDER...
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  13. 07-14-13 08:47 PM #13
    daneblazer
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    1680 is so high, but would you really want to bet against AP?
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  14. 07-14-13 08:50 PM #14
    rm18
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Rushing yards or total yards?

    No way he comes close to 1900 rushing yards.
    I'll just draft morris for my fantasy team and easy UNDER...
    Yes rushing yards he got over 1500 last year coming off a blown out knee, with more good rbs on the roster like Hillis to take carries away, also they were playing from behind so they could not run as much, and they took an OL #1 overall so for all those reasons his yards will go up.
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  15. 07-14-13 08:55 PM #15
    easyliving
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    i will hammer that Alfred Morris line if I can find it at 5dimes or bovada
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  16. 07-14-13 08:56 PM #16
    Louisvillekid1
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    I don't think Alfred Morris went down 1 time on first contact...
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  17. 07-14-13 08:59 PM #17
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by daneblazer View Post
    1680 is so high, but would you really want to bet against AP?
    No.

    I'm betting against morris.

    AP is too risky with his big game potential.
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  18. 07-14-13 09:00 PM #18
    rm18
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    Morris is a bull but Roy Helu Jr healthy the coaches liked him before his injury
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  19. 07-14-13 09:00 PM #19
    daneblazer
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    I know...just sayin'

    I like the Morris under.
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  20. 07-14-13 10:31 PM #20
    MoneyLineDawg
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    Love Morris Under.....great player but will be tough to stay healthy all 16, nevermind putting up that big yardage

    What's the deal if he misses half the year or even goes down early? You win?

    If so, gotta figure almost all RB unders are +ev
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  21. 07-15-13 01:11 AM #21
    petey5
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    I think I'd go Martin, Charles and Bryant all over. Under for Morris and AP.
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  22. 07-15-13 05:33 AM #22
    bigballa
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    morris +100 the under as well.....great bet
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  23. 07-15-13 05:39 AM #23
    bigballa
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    looks like betus have similar line out 1425.5 morris -115
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  24. 07-15-13 10:45 AM #24
    easyliving
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    Does anyone know if 5dimes puts up player props like these and if they do when?
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  25. 07-15-13 08:33 PM #25
    k13
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    17% chance he gets injured.
    5% chance he gets arrested and suspended.
    6% chance he gets caught with steroids and suspended.
    2% chance he gets crashes in a car/plane.
    20% chance Shanhhan goes Shanahan, Helu and others gets in picture.
    1% chance Redskins are good and rest their players final week.
    30% chance he has a sophomore slump like most previous RB's, down year.
    4% chance Redskins start getting behind in a lot of games and throw more.


    I like my chances.
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  26. 07-15-13 10:23 PM #26
    dlunc3
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Charles can go over

    He has so many big games
    dont forget he has the most pass happy coach in the league now... could catch a ton of passes, but his rush total could suffer
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  27. 07-20-13 07:45 PM #27
    k13
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    Looking at the last few years rushing yardage leaders, this is a big number and we are in a pass happy league now.

    Should be in the 1270 range at best.
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