Brewers with Gallardo +180 over Nationals tonight has been talking to me all day (so to speak)
Gallardo has more than good enough stuff to silence the overrated Nats bats.
You don't think the National bats are overrated???
Nats bats are:
Almost dead last (28th ranked) in runs scored, 28th ranked in batting average, 29th ranked in on base percentange, and 20th ranked in slugging.
Like I mentioned, Gallardo has very good stuff, his only problem is he's inconsistent.
He was good in April, butt ugly in May, and pitching a lot better in June.
Throw out the last start against the Cubbies, the three previous starts he had Gallardo allowed zero earned runs.
22 consecutive innings of uneared run baseball up until his last start suggests to me he may have found his form.
Nationals have trouble with Gallardo:
WASHINGTON NATIONALS CAREER STATISTICS VS. YOVANI GALLARDO BATTER AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO AVG OBP SLG OPS Roger Bernadina 5 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 Ian Desmond 10 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 .200 .273 .300 .573 Danny Espinosa 10 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 .200 .273 .600 .873 Bryce Harper 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .167 .167 .167 .333 Adam LaRoche 24 8 2 0 2 5 3 7 .333 .407 .667 1.074 Stephen Lombardozzi 3 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 .333 .333 1.000 1.333 Wilson Ramos 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 Denard Span 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 .000 .000 .000 .000 Kurt Suzuki 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 Chad Tracy 4 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 Jayson Werth 11 2 0 0 0 1 0 4 .182 .167 .182 .348 Ryan Zimmerman 8 2 0 0 1 4 3 4 .250 .455 .625 1.080 Totals 100 22 4 1 4 17 9 27 .220 .282 .400 .682
Take Bernadina out of the equation who is not starting, that .220 average goes to about .212
Bryce Harper is back, how sharp can he be tonight, he has missed 31 games, figure he needs about a week to get back to 100 percent game day ready.
Nobody is saying Zimmerman is horse crap, he is not, I am not ignoring the 11-3 start, but -205 on Zimmy backed by a team that can't score much, whose opponent is very capable of matching him pitch for pitch is whack.
And as long as ESPN and others keep sucking the Nationals and Davey Johnson, and everything else National roosters, the lines will always be inflated.
Segura, the other Car-Go, A-Ram, and LuCroy 2-5 in the order can touch Zimmy up.
Listen guys, I'm not here yelling this -330 game is the lock of the century bet your next new born kind on this, I am not even saying the Brewers are a stone cold lock.
I'm not here to tell you to play, pass, or fade, I am saying this doggy just might both bark and bite tonight.
I am saying +180 on Gallardo tonight, in this spot, is worth a .5 or 1* play.