1. 04-09-13 06:49 PM #106
    TankHankerous
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    As soon as I win one more no run 1st inning bet, I'll be able to say my last no run 1st inning bet was a winner.

    I'm done with this stupid prop forever.

    Last edited by TankHankerous; 04-09-13 at 06:52 PM.
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  2. 04-09-13 08:52 PM #107
    easyliving
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    thats the last time I bet one of these don't know why I decided to start betting them anyway I've always considered them sucker bets and thats exactly what they are. I suggest you stay away from these 1st inning bets as well.
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  3. 04-09-13 08:54 PM #108
    TankHankerous
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    I'm thinking of no run 1st inning astros/mariners

    Chase 1 more time?

    For posterity?
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  4. 04-09-13 09:05 PM #109
    2178ice
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    Hey Hippo can you tell me your record so far I see you've been winning a lot and I would like to tail your picks just wanna know your record.Also can you tell me how this thread works. Thanks man
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  5. 04-09-13 09:09 PM #110
    TankHankerous
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    Last no run 1st of my life, no matter the outcome



    Risk Win
    (1) #53224 - HOU/SEA 1st Inn 0-0 pk (-140)E Bedard (Listed) B Maurer (Listed) $140.00 $100.00
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  6. 04-09-13 10:13 PM #111
    greenhippo
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    173829076-1 4/9/13 7:30pm $190.00 $95.00 $285.00 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 670 Los Angeles Lakers 1st Quarter -200*vs New Orleans Hornets
    173745046-1 4/9/13 2:48pm $110.00 $88.42 $198.42 Win 2 Team Parlay
    Win 4/9/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 670 Los Angeles Lakers 1st Quarter -190*vs New Orleans Hornets
    Win 4/9/13 8:30pm College Women Basketball 692 Connecticut - Women 1st Half -550*vs Louisville - Women
    173736876-1 4/9/13 1:00pm $87.50 $70.33 $157.83 Win 2 Team Parlay
    Win 4/9/13 10:35pm NBA Basketball 670 Los Angeles Lakers 1st Quarter -190*vs New Orleans Hornets
    Win 4/9/13 8:30pm College Women Basketball 692 Connecticut - Women 1st Half -550*vs Louisville - Women

    Fuking hell I was buried if I lost this one.

    9/14 games today (64%) had a score in the first. That's now two straight days where on the norm more than double the games had a score in the first than what on average happens. I didn't want to hit 2 3-game chases this early. Will have to see how things end tomorrow. At the end of the day it's the series I'm looking at winning, not every individual game. Hopefully this last one saved anyone who tailed the others.
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  7. 04-09-13 10:15 PM #112
    greenhippo
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    Quote Originally Posted by easyliving View Post
    thats the last time I bet one of these don't know why I decided to start betting them anyway I've always considered them sucker bets and thats exactly what they are. I suggest you stay away from these 1st inning bets as well.
    You're not lying, I was hoping to hit them early and work towards having enough information on my spreadsheets to make educated picks later in the season. Last couple of days have been outstanding in the number of games with scores in the first, over 60%.
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  8. 04-09-13 10:19 PM #113
    easyliving
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    You're not lying, I was hoping to hit them early and work towards having enough information on my spreadsheets to make educated picks later in the season. Last couple of days have been outstanding in the number of games with scores in the first, over 60%.
    you just might be hitting a rough patch even if you don't bet them keep the spreadsheet going and see how it does over a few weeks. a few days is nothing and it just could be variance.
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  9. 04-09-13 10:24 PM #114
    greenhippo
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    That's what I'm thinking. Will be betting to get even for tomorrows two chases and not to make a profit, too much going on in the early stages of these games these particular series. After that it will be some spot bets until my spreadsheet has enough info for it to give me some good results. Will be going back to RLs, haven't bet many of those the last 3 days for some reason.
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  10. 04-10-13 12:19 AM #115
    greenhippo
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    173914300-1 4/10/13 12:45am $550.00 $50.00 $600.00 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9670 Los Angeles Lakers -1100*vs New Orleans Hornets
    173914001-1 4/10/13 12:30am $10.78 $9.80 $20.58 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9669 New Orleans Hornets/Los Angeles Lakers Over 192½ -110*
    173912491-1 4/10/13 12:00am $11.00 $10.00 $21.00 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9670 Los Angeles Lakers -6½ -110*vs New Orleans Hornets

    Question: Was that first bet worth the risk? I took it at the 1:38 mark with Lakers up 96-88. I know crazier things have happened in the NBA but that bet seemed like an easy $50. Would most people throw it down for an easy score or is the risk not worth it?
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  11. 04-10-13 12:52 AM #116
    easyliving
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    173914300-1 4/10/13 12:45am $550.00 $50.00 $600.00 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9670 Los Angeles Lakers -1100*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> New Orleans Hornets
    173914001-1 4/10/13 12:30am $10.78 $9.80 $20.58 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9669 New Orleans Hornets/Los Angeles Lakers Over 192½ -110*
    173912491-1 4/10/13 12:00am $11.00 $10.00 $21.00 Win 4/9/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9670 Los Angeles Lakers -6½ -110*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> New Orleans Hornets

    Question: Was that first bet worth the risk? I took it at the 1:38 mark with Lakers up 96-88. I know crazier things have happened in the NBA but that bet seemed like an easy $50. Would most people throw it down for an easy score or is the risk not worth it?
    usually i would say its not worth it but in such situation where the hornets got nothing to play for and lakers playing for a playoff spot its easy money and definitely worth it.
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  12. 04-10-13 11:53 AM #117
    greenhippo
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    MLB Chase:

    Game 1: 13-3-1
    Game 2: 1-2
    Game 3: 0-0

    MLB spots plays: 0-1

    NBA: 2-1

    NCAAB: 1-0

    Other: 1-0
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  13. 04-10-13 12:06 PM #118
    greenhippo
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2178ice View Post
    Hey Hippo can you tell me your record so far I see you've been winning a lot and I would like to tail your picks just wanna know your record.Also can you tell me how this thread works. Thanks man
    Record is in the post before this one. I typically do a 3 game series chase on the RL or 1st inning no score prop bets. Last two days have been a test of patience, 17 out of the last 25 games have had a score in the first inning. That's a 68% clip, on norm we're looking at just under 30%. As easyliving pointed out, it's probably variance and will correct itself at some point (I'm hoping today!) I can only imagine the money to have been made betting Yes on these prop bets the last two days. I did myself and I guess anyone else who has followed this or the first thread a disservice by not making any RL bets, all of my losses have been on the prop bets and the RL bets I've made have come back all winners so far. Probably a lack of concentration on my part (looking for that quick win instead of the smarter plays) one which I'll try and work on throughout the season. BR management has killed me each and everytime in the past, in all though I'm up over 40% of my starting roll since baseball's opening day with every bet here or not accounted for.

    I'm always up for explanation or debate on what I should or shouldn't be looking for. I don't want anyone thinking because it's my thread they shouldn't be sharing their thoughts or opinions on how to better myself in the long run.
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  14. 04-10-13 12:28 PM #119
    greenhippo
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    Game 3 Chases

    No Score 1st inning Houston/Seattle
    No Score 1st inning Pitt/Arizona

    Spots plays

    Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5
    Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5


    Both of the game 3 chases are for this time to break even and not end up a unit ahead. Last couple of days has been an ass kicking to anyone who bets No in these situations, it's still very early in the season and there will be time soon enough to get back on track with these bets.

    Arizona started red hot at 5-1 and even prompted a few threads on here giving them some attention, they answered this by promptly losing two straight at home to Pittsburgh who came in with the worst offense in baseball (even worse than the Astros at the time) A team that has the potential of Arizona can't be swept at home by the Bucs. If Miley can go on the road and hold the Brewers' bats at bay, 6 innings 1ER 8ks, he should be able to control the Pitt bats. I don't see an issue with Arizona plating some runs with Sanchez hardly an ace of a pitcher. With the RL only at +110 it looks like the odds makers think the same.

    Dodgers is more a case of a bounceback after losing yesterday to the then 1-win Padres. I couldn't name you two of San Diego's starters, the Dodgers probably can't either. Sults looked good at holding the Mets to no runs on the road but I think he takes a hard-luck loss tonight, could even see the bullpen losing it for the kid.
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  15. 04-10-13 01:41 PM #120
    ghislaine
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    Going for the ! I never chase, just always flat bet everything, but have faith in You, You can turn it around and make some again
    Let's see if You can keep hitting straight bets as hot as You started ! BOL tonight man and thanks for picks.
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  16. 04-10-13 02:12 PM #121
    shabang
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    i'd have to say although I love doing what you did, it's prob not worth it. Ya never know what can happen at the end, especially when they start fouling like crazy.
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  17. 04-10-13 02:58 PM #122
    greenhippo
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    Balk and a throwing error.....if there's any consolation at least it was Arizona putting up the run this time.
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  18. 04-10-13 03:04 PM #123
    ghislaine
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    Yup, there goes
    But hey, still three to go and liking the Dbacks rhytm here !
    Need Barcelona to pick it up too, big bet riding there on Champions League soccer....
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  19. 04-10-13 03:40 PM #124
    greenhippo
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    Looking like we'll still be perfect on the RLs going into tonight. Probably a big enough kick in the pants that I need to stick with more of a capping aspect
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  20. 04-10-13 03:51 PM #125
    2178ice
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    Record is in the post before this one. I typically do a 3 game series chase on the RL or 1st inning no score prop bets. Last two days have been a test of patience, 17 out of the last 25 games have had a score in the first inning. That's a 68% clip, on norm we're looking at just under 30%. As easyliving pointed out, it's probably variance and will correct itself at some point (I'm hoping today!) I can only imagine the money to have been made betting Yes on these prop bets the last two days. I did myself and I guess anyone else who has followed this or the first thread a disservice by not making any RL bets, all of my losses have been on the prop bets and the RL bets I've made have come back all winners so far. Probably a lack of concentration on my part (looking for that quick win instead of the smarter plays) one which I'll try and work on throughout the season. BR management has killed me each and everytime in the past, in all though I'm up over 40% of my starting roll since baseball's opening day with every bet here or not accounted for.

    I'm always up for explanation or debate on what I should or shouldn't be looking for. I don't want anyone thinking because it's my thread they shouldn't be sharing their thoughts or opinions on how to better myself in the long run.
    Awesome Hippo thank you so much for explaining all of this to me. I will be tailing your picks from now on. So should I wait until Game 1 Chases and can I just start on the run line bets right now??? Thanks man greatly appreciated!
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  21. 04-10-13 05:14 PM #126
    greenhippo
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    Run line for the Arizona/Pitt and LA/SDP are spot plays so I'm not chasing either
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  22. 04-11-13 12:15 AM #127
    greenhippo
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    174078945-1 4/11/13 12:41am $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9719 San Antonio Spurs +11½ -115*vs Denver Nuggets
    174065063-1 4/10/13 11:28pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Loss 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9720 Denver Nuggets 1st Half -1½ -105*vs San Antonio Spurs
    174064967-1 4/10/13 11:27pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9720 Denver Nuggets -3 -110*vs San Antonio Spurs
    174060690-1 4/10/13 11:09pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9719 San Antonio Spurs/Denver Nuggets 1st Half Under 79½ -115*
    174057207-1 4/10/13 10:58pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9719 San Antonio Spurs 1st Quarter -2000* vs Denver Nuggets
    174053970-1 4/10/13 10:46pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9719 San Antonio Spurs/Denver Nuggets Under 199½ -110*
    174045866-1 4/10/13 10:11pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/10/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9709 Brooklyn Nets/Boston Celtics Under 195½ +100*

    I highly recommend Live betting if it's an option where you play at. So many instances to make real quick $.

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  23. 04-11-13 12:30 AM #128
    greenhippo
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    Hope the god damn Dodgers lose now. Fukkin hell. Lose a damn bet on a balk, a throwing error and a passed ball. Unfukkinreal.
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  24. 04-11-13 12:34 AM #129
    greenhippo
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    Fukkin dogshit
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  25. 04-11-13 12:35 AM #130
    greenhippo
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    MLB Chase:

    Game 1: 13-3-1
    Game 2: 1-2
    Game 3: 1-1

    MLB spots plays: 1-2

    NBA: 2-1

    NCAAB: 1-0

    Other: 1-0
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  26. 04-11-13 12:11 PM #131
    greenhippo
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    Hardluck 3 losses the previous 3 days, will see if it's on our side today. Going with something new here, after reading The Giant's comment the other day about taking both sides at +$ I'm going to try this for today. This will be a high risk proposition so tailing this time might not be the best option. That being said this is what I'm going with today


    Mariners RL (+140)
    Rangers ML (+146)

    Our bet is that the outcome of this game is not a 1-run Mariners win. They can win by anything more than 1 OR lose by ANY score and we come out at least .40 ahead. I'm going to start off betting half on each so it wont turn into anything crazy.
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  27. 04-11-13 12:14 PM #132
    boeing power
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    Terrible idea hippo.

    -ev.
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  28. 04-11-13 12:17 PM #133
    greenhippo
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    Unluckily I take boeing's word to mean something so will probably take these bets off the board after today. Don't want to risk fukkin someone over.
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  29. 04-11-13 02:17 PM #134
    shooms79
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    yeah..thats not the way to bet long term. say +.40 but if it does end a 1 run game, u will be -2 units. u would have to win 5x at +.40 to make up 1 loss.
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  30. 04-11-13 03:56 PM #135
    greenhippo
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    Angels ML

    Trying to avoid the sweep at home, the juice -126 isn't bad in this spot.
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  31. 04-11-13 07:36 PM #136
    greenhippo
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    Bulls live looks good at +280
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  32. 04-11-13 07:44 PM #137
    Frisco
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    Quote Originally Posted by greenhippo View Post
    Bulls live looks good at +280
    You missed them @ +700. I put a small play on that and a unit on them +14.5
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  33. 04-11-13 08:30 PM #138
    greenhippo
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    174173800-1 4/11/13 8:45pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9502 Chicago Bulls 1st Half Over 47 -115* vs New York Knicks
    174172450-1 4/11/13 8:29pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9502 Chicago Bulls 1st Quarter +14½ +110* vs New York Knicks


    Was able to come out with these little nuggets. I mentioned it before in this thread, Live betting is an almost must for some very easy money. I'm going to post all of my Live bets starting the first day of baseball season, very easy to pick your spots.
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  34. 04-11-13 11:53 PM #139
    greenhippo
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    174218244-1 4/12/13 12:16am $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9503 Oklahoma City Thunder 3rd Quarter -4½ -120* vs Golden State Warriors
    174208509-1 4/11/13 11:14pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 10:35pm Live In-Play Basketball 9503 Oklahoma City Thunder/Golden State Warriors 1st Half Over 109½ -115*
    174197863-1 4/11/13 10:32pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Loss 4/11/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9501 New York Knicks +380* vs Chicago Bulls
    174180114-1 4/11/13 9:25pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 8:05pm NBA Basketball 501 New York Knicks/Chicago Bulls 3rd Quarter Over 48 -110*
    174173800-1 4/11/13 8:45pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9502 Chicago Bulls 1st Half Over 47 -115* vs New York Knicks
    174172450-1 4/11/13 8:29pm $.00 $.00 $.00 Win 4/11/13 8:05pm Live In-Play Basketball 9502 Chicago Bulls 1st Quarter +14½ +110* vs New York Knicks

    I also have Golden State live over 102, so we'll see how that one pans out. Overall a good night.
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  35. 04-11-13 11:58 PM #140
    greenhippo
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    And now Warriors +17 at even money
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