[stevenash]

The whole world seems to like the over in this affair. Several sites I visited shows around 70 percent of the total money bet on this game is on the over.

I get it, both teams average in the 70's, but what I don't think the casual bettor is seeing is Mizzou is a rebounding machine, (second in the nation) averaging over 40 boards a game. Couple that with the fact that even though Arky does average 74 a game, it has a pretty crappy, OK pedestrian like, 43 percent shooting percentage, which is middle of the pack. My point being, if Arky doesn't hit their first shot, the way Missouri rebounds, it'll be one and done.
Also, bear in mind, Arky's 74PPG is a bit skewered, they hung 112 on Longwood, but who can't hang a 100 spot on Longwood, they scored 89 on Florida A&M early in the season too, Arky was scoring in the 80's and 90's early in the season, look at the recent past, the last five Arky has been in the 50's and 60's and low 70's. Their offensive out put has been trending downward

Both defenses are OK, not great, but not crap either.

Remember, it takes two to make an over, and I feel Arky won't hold up their end of the bargain either.

I know, this game screams 165 at first glance, I'm not buying it. I see a lot of one and dones from the Razorbacks.
Mizzou wins this, say 76-67 or something.

You don't have to tail this play, just throwing my thoughts out there.

151.5 is a big number.

[pokernut9999]

You got a winner

[dalogester]

got the under at 152 at -107 odds at 5dimes. thx for analysis

[StevenSuarez]

If I had to make a play on this game, it'd be on the UNDER. Nice analysis.

[No coincidences]

Good luck Nasher. Pinny's not moving on the 152, but some books have gone as low as 151. I like Arkansas as a side better than the total.

[Madison]

You know nash no doubt you do your work. I like your MO. Long term you might be ok. We're not that far away. GL!

[cankid]

I like it also, thought there was value, gluck

[stevenash]

You know nash no doubt you do your work. I like your MO. Long term you might be ok. We're not that far away. GL!

Thanks

[Madison]

Not real sure how it affects your bet but Miss/Pressy INability to handle pressure / to's concerns me.

[stevenash]

First half under 71.5 cashes

79.5 second half total

Books aren't letting you get a middle.

[HOT WINGS]

Might jump on this 2nd half under. Game is blowout city don't see Arkansas making any kind of run.

[HOT WINGS]

Ill bite under 79 2nd half

[stevenash]

Lovely, under bettors worst nightmare, Mizzou is in the bonus 6 minutes in the half.

Not good

[Cuse4tw]

i went big on the under 2H


dont know how i feel i doubt mizzou keeps pushing....but they could for sure

[stevenash]

Bogus touch foul underneath.
Two more free points.

What you going to do?

Under looks sunk

[Cuse4tw]

will mizzou score 100?

[Cuse4tw]

point. shaving.

[TankHankerous]

[HOT WINGS]

Arkansas with 30 fouls in the game a team that doesnt even play aggresive defense mind you. What a horrible display. Should of took my 1st half mizzo money and ran

[stevenash]

point. shaving.

I don't know about point shaving, however, I question those first five fouls called on Arky in the first 3 minutes of the second half.
Not crying, win some of these types of games, lose some of these types of games.
I was on the wrong side of a wager, no biggie, move on to tomorrow.