1. 02-06-12 07:18 PM #71
    RyanLeafOfBets
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    Okay, so this is going over... Can Mizzou please win by 5?
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  2. 02-06-12 07:58 PM #72
    RonPaul2008
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    +5.5 is looking good barring overtime.
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  3. 02-06-12 07:59 PM #73
    RonPaul2008
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    Foul...nice.
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  4. 02-06-12 08:00 PM #74
    BIGDAY
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Fukkkkk it!

    Hammered the ML!!!!

    Pounded her so hard she's gonna be sore.


    Dang that feels good!
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  5. 02-06-12 08:01 PM #75
    No coincidences
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    Nice hit on the total LTA.
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  6. 02-06-12 08:02 PM #76
    RyanLeafOfBets
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    hahah love how the under hit. Too bad I had Mizzou -4.5; either way, I'll take +187 on game.
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  7. 02-06-12 08:02 PM #77
    KushMoney
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    Nice Job. Great POD LTA
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  8. 02-06-12 08:03 PM #78
    RoadDog
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    I told you so
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  9. 02-06-12 08:07 PM #79
    pokernut9999
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  10. 02-06-12 08:21 PM #80
    MJT1212
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    Good Job LT and Thanks!
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  11. 02-06-12 08:47 PM #81
    FilletMaster
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    "HUUUUGE on that MIzzou ML" ... grats all fellow ML'ers and Unders
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  12. 02-06-12 10:17 PM #82
    FourLengthsClear
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    To collect more juice? Seems pretty simple to me.

    They move the line eventually -- just delay it if they're confident on a side and bets are going in the other direction. They'll push the juice overnight to -140, -145, -150 and even more than that.
    That doesn't square on a few counts.

    A player looking to play the under isn't going view a bet at -138 in the same way as -108. A reduced perceived edge will generally mean a reduced wager size or no play.

    At the time of moving to U146 @-138 Pinny had by far the best line/odds on the over (O146 +118) and there were far better offers on the under.

    When books juice lines this way it is generally an effort to attract money on the other side.
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  13. 02-06-12 10:25 PM #83
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by FourLengthsClear View Post
    That doesn't square on a few counts.

    A player looking to play the under isn't going view a bet at -138 in the same way as -108. A reduced perceived edge will generally mean a reduced wager size or no play.

    At the time of moving to U146 @-138 Pinny had by far the best line/odds on the over (O146 +118) and there were far better offers on the under.

    When books juice lines this way it is generally an effort to attract money on the other side.
    Again, I don't know how or if it works for totals, but I've been playing the other side of heavily juiced Pinny sides for quite some time now and cashing at around a 70% clip. Maybe I'm just picking the right spots, or maybe I've just been lucky and missed the ones that didn't cash. I can't tell you for sure.
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  14. 02-07-12 11:43 AM #84
    Jaug
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    There is lots of talk about -5 being a fishy line, but remember that Mizzou had a letdown loss at Oklahoma State after winning at Baylor, and the Tigers' big win over Kansas Saturday could leave them flat tonight, especially after beating Oklahoma 87-49 at home in the first meeting. Now Missouri could still win by double-digits while sleepwalking, but the play I love here is UNDER 145.5 Notice the first meeting only produced 136 points with Missouri playing at their best. They may drop to the mid-70s tonight, and I don't think that Oklahoma will improve THAT much at home because I frankly don't think they are that good. There is also a real chance of Sooners slowing the pace down to give themselves best chance at an upset. They rank 166th in tempo rating.
    Well done
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