1. 12-16-11 03:55 PM #1
    iFrat
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    Round Robin NFL Teaser

    Seems like there is a lot of value in a 2team round robin with these teams.


    Team:
    Dec 17 NFL [303] DALLAS -1-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [306] NY GIANTS -½-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [309] NEW ORLEANS -½-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [317] TENNESSEE -½-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [319] CINCINNATI -½-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [323] NEW ENGLAND -1½-110 (B+6)
    Dec 18 NFL [328] ARIZONA -½-110 (B+6)

    For a total of 21 plays. Payouts based of how many teams cover:

    7: +2100
    6: +840
    5: -210
    4: -1050
    3: -1680
    2: -2100
    1: -2310

    My question is what is the percentage of 4 or more teams covering?
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  2. 12-16-11 04:05 PM #2
    FourLengthsClear
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    Approximately:

    4 or more cover - 87%
    5 or more cover - 65%
    6 or more cover - 32%
    All 7 cover - 8%
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  3. 12-16-11 04:30 PM #3
    milwaukee mike
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    so a 68% chance of losing money

    there is a lot more value teasing a -8 down to -2 than a -6 1/2 down to -1/2

    pretty much every one of those teams has a decent shot at losing
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