1. 10-07-11 03:16 PM #71
    toddorts
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    Not only that, but a focus on winning percentages is a bit amateur. Unless you're only betting on -110 lines, then focusing on a winning percentages really doesn't make any sense. If someone is always betting dogs, he may have a winning percentage of 45% and still be far more profitable than the guy hitting 58% on -110 plays.
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  2. 10-07-11 03:25 PM #72
    benjy
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    ^ Very true.
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  3. 10-07-11 03:37 PM #73
    crustyme
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    Quote Originally Posted by toddorts View Post
    Not only that, but a focus on winning percentages is a bit amateur. Unless you're only betting on -110 lines, then focusing on a winning percentages really doesn't make any sense. If someone is always betting dogs, he may have a winning percentage of 45% and still be far more profitable than the guy hitting 58% on -110 plays.

    without his chaser bets (30x, 10x), he'd be 2k in the red, you moron. so % does matter when you're always in chase mode to escape out of the red.

    this is a typical tout move to try and erase a losing week/month/season. brandon lang does this practically every week.

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  4. 10-07-11 04:00 PM #74
    UpsetSpecial09
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    People that bet for a LONG time go thru streaks, end of f'n story! This is exactly why you don't chase, go on tilt, etc. Some people here are only betting for action or only play $5 a game, those that actually want to make $ know that it is a MARATHON, NOT A SPRINT! $ MANAGEMENT IS THE #1 RULE!

    I don't follow anyone, I use ideas and opinions to look for other angels and do more research, if you just blindly fade or follow in the end you WILL lose! It seems like both Lakerboy and Paco take a lot of BS from people on here but they also post a lot of plays. If you really like LB is just a moron who dosen't know how to cap, then YOU are the moron! Go back and look at how much $ he helped people make in the NBA 2 years ago, the guy was on fire.


    One other thing, VERY HEAVY FAVORITES DO LOSE SOMETIMES! Going all in at -1400 on Boise State or any team is just asking for trouble! All is takes is one lose and most people will take a huge hit to the bankroll. Ive seen it happen so many times and people just never learn! Putting a heavy favorite like that in a parlay can also be trouble, lets say you have a 4 team parlay and its 100 to pay 350, (just using round #'s), and you choose to add a real heavy fav to make it 100 to pay 395, is this really worth the added risk, why not just do a 3 teamer and hope for the best. Most of the time heavy favorites do win, but I learned my lesson about doing that a long time ago and won't make that mistake again.

    How could the Yankees lose last night, how could the Lakers play so poorly in the playoffs last year, etc. These things happen, be smart, not greedy, that how you win!
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  5. 10-07-11 04:00 PM #75
    k13
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    bet365 still has cards +1500 to win all, good odds given the situation and compared to every other book
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  6. 10-07-11 04:22 PM #76
    phillybadboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    bet365 still has cards +1500 to win all, good odds given the situation and compared to every other book
    k13=sbr'sharp'
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  7. 10-07-11 04:26 PM #77
    No coincidences
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    Quote Originally Posted by Love The Action View Post
    Wow...with all the stupidity in this thread, it amazes me that some of you can actually function in society...

    One guy says carp sucks because of one bad start, but fails to mention his WAR of 5, SIERA of 3.5, GB/FB of 1.59, K% of 19.2%, BABIP over .3 (showing some bad luck) and xFIP of 2.96 over the last 2 months which means he has been better than doc over that same period.

    Another guy says he wins all the time, except that he can't win all the time, but still wins $40k plays.

    Unreal...nothing but fuking mongoloids with no clue up in here
    Couldn't have said it better, LTA. Outstanding post.

    You guys are a bunch of fvcking idiots. Carp may get hit tonight, but he was outstanding down the stretch and Philly's offense is struggling. Do you fools even watch these games?
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  8. 10-07-11 04:28 PM #78
    BigDofBA
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    I'm a huge Cardinals fan and this would be a sweet victory.

    It's going to be tough for the Cards to win but I think they've actually been the better team this series. They let game 3 get away or it would be over.
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  9. 10-07-11 04:35 PM #79
    BetterBizness
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Tough game, I am laying off

    Best of luck
    WORST Degenerate EVER!
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  10. 10-07-11 04:38 PM #80
    PAULYPOKER
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    Carpenter is the Cards best answer for Halladay......
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  11. 10-07-11 04:59 PM #81
    brahmabull117
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    fakerboy gonna be wrong again




    quick, go all in on the phillies!!





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  12. 10-07-11 05:01 PM #82
    Tech N9ne
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    Quote Originally Posted by crustyme View Post
    without his chaser bets (30x, 10x), he'd be 2k in the red, you moron. so % does matter when you're always in chase mode to escape out of the red.

    this is a typical tout move to try and erase a losing week/month/season. brandon lang does this practically every week.

    LB is tryin to go tout
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  13. 10-07-11 05:02 PM #83
    SaintsFan
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    Giving you guys ample time to fade me here. You got all day to get your phils bets in. I would suggest waiting a bit as the price might drop so you can lay a little less juice.
    Thanks lakerboi im on Philly now
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  14. 10-07-11 05:02 PM #84
    benjy
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    fakerboy gonna be wrong again

    quick, go all in on the phillies!!

    Suggesting that anyone go all-in one any one bet completely undermines any credibility that you have.
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  15. 10-07-11 05:09 PM #85
    Mikail
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    Excellent value today with the Cardinals +165 with Carpenter. Halladay is human and we all remember what happened in game 1 1st inning. I still believe the Phillies will prevail at home tonight and the homer in me has me on the Phillies ML tonight.
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  16. 10-07-11 05:35 PM #86
    hels
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    This just confirms my Phillies play. Betting against Halladay in a situation like this is -EV. it's either Philly or a no play if you are a smart capper.
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  17. 10-07-11 05:41 PM #87
    DrStale
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    Be very surprised if either pitcher gives up more than 2. Under 7 for me.
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  18. 10-07-11 07:15 PM #88
    7secondsOrLess
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    I have won 8 of my last 11 bets.
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  19. 10-07-11 10:10 PM #89
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tech N9ne View Post
    no your like 1-18 its been confirmed

    Thanks 4 the fade. Phills easy
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  20. 10-07-11 10:16 PM #90
    tanner40
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    Nice call
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  21. 10-07-11 10:17 PM #91
    lakerboy
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    Thanks tanner.
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  22. 10-07-11 10:18 PM #92
    BettingWizard
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    Quote Originally Posted by brahmabull117 View Post
    fakerboy gonna be wrong again




    quick, go all in on the phillies!!





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  23. 10-07-11 10:31 PM #93
    dontbuythehook
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    brahmabull saved lakerboy here. if he said go cards 100% all of those hits are homeruns
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  24. 10-07-11 10:31 PM #94
    Cougar Bait
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    Nice hit LB, was on it as well
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  25. 10-07-11 10:35 PM #95
    ZetaPsi808
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    yeah i nailed this one too. nice call LB!
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  26. 10-07-11 10:36 PM #96
    lakerboy
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    Just a value bet.
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  27. 10-07-11 11:39 PM #97
    Avenger
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    Good job LB!
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  28. 10-07-11 11:54 PM #98
    Ricki Roma
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    I guess lakerboi is back and will get hot now
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  29. 10-08-11 12:13 AM #99
    GunShard
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    Nice bet.
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  30. 10-08-11 12:35 AM #100
    Tech N9ne
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    Nice Air bet

    After going 1-19 last 20 posted plays you deserve it

    Congrats LB
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  31. 10-08-11 12:50 AM #101
    PickSix
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    nice hit!!!!!!
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  32. 10-08-11 01:18 AM #102
    InTheDrink
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    Quote Originally Posted by InTheDrink View Post
    guys throw 60-70 pitches in warmup...the process of starting a game is taxing on a guys arm too....that's why cc and verlander couldn't just come right back and pitch after the washout....and you notice that neither of them pitched well the rest of the series anyway...not to mention that carpenter is olderr than those guys....i suspect he's still affected by the CG he pitched in the clincher...and agreed on the rest of your post

    he's far from the ace that he once was...most guys on here think he's still there...why? because theyre clueless

    i wont say its not worth taking a flyer on the cards if guys think they can get to doc like they did in G1 but to think carp can outduel doc is a joke
    I was hoping what I typed tonight but fuk tonight hurt

    I hit the tiger series and hit the brewers toda but I didn't even bet on this and it hurt more than the rest. Sad thing is after the struggles late in the season this offensive drought isn't that surprising. I had hoped hunter would have made more of a difference.

    Congrats card backers
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  33. 10-08-11 08:41 AM #103
    jjgold
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    Ok Lakerboy might be back in a groove

    Good Call
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  34. 10-08-11 10:15 AM #104
    Love The Action
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  35. 10-08-11 10:35 AM #105
    JR007
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    Thanks LB...I "needed" that one.......
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