[brahmabull117]

playing way too many on a daily basis



there's really only 1 or 2 games on any given day that look like a sure thing (or as much of a sure thing as possible in gambling). There is only 1-2 games where everything is aligned properly for one team to be a clear favorite to cover the spread. Last night was Denver and GSW (i made threads on both games), tonight is nyk and lac


there's way too many guys on this site who play 5 or 6 games ( trying to be smart and 'minimize risk') a day and that is just plain stupid


80-90% of games are handicapped near perfectly by Vegas. You're not gonna make any money trying to outsmart vegas on that many games daily

[jjgold]

Yes so true but it is boring

I like at least 5 games per night and hope my action lasts until like 12:30AM

I love when guys say they have edges on 10 games

[ApricotSinner32]

Reason why 99% of gamblers lose is money management flaws and poor math skills. People think the phillies -110 tonight had a 80% chance of winning. Dumb fuks.

[brahmabull117]

Yes so true but it is boring

I like at least 5 games per night and hope my action lasts until like 12:30AM

I love when guys say they have edges on 10 games

5 games a night is stupid


do you like losing money?


the only sport to play more than 1 or 2 games is football, but even there you can only find maybe 3 good games on a weekly basis

[brahmabull117]

Reason why 99% of gamblers lose is money management flaws and poor math skills. People think the phillies -110 tonight had a 80% chance of winning. Dumb fuks.

that's reason 1B



playing too many games is reason 1A

[THE HITMAN]

I pretty much disagree. 5 games in a given night is not out of the question. There's a winner in each of those games.
The main reason most folks lose is not realizing that this hobby of ours is a marathon, not a sprint. Next up are and poor money management & math skills, poor disipline, trying to pay bills with a ball game and chasing.

I don't have time to elaborate tonight, but I have been doing this a lonnnnnng time. I made my first wager when I was 8 years old, so, I have been playing full time since most of you were still swimming around in your father's testicles. I didn't truly learn to play and win until after 15-20 years or so.
Some days one or two are aligned, true. But, some other days it's more, sometimes alot more, depending on one's capping perspective. Some days there aren't any that strike one's fancy. But, let me add that it is not out of the norm for me to wager on 300-400 or so sames during a successful baseball or basketball season. And, believe me, I make it work.
Brahma, everyone's strategies are different and there is more than one that works.
It doesn't necessarily mean someone is stupid for applying one of those other strategies, they are just different, that's all.
But, hey, GL to you in however you play.

[JohnGalt2341]

5 games a night is stupid do you like losing money? the only sport to play more than 1 or 2 games is football, but even there you can only find maybe 3 good games on a weekly basis

I don't necessarily agree with you. It really depends if you know what your edge is. For instance, in the game Roulette the House has a very small edge. The reason why they still make a fortune on Roulette is because of the volume of bets they take in. I've made well over a thousand NBA prop bets this season. Most of those bets were less than $100 bets. I've gotten 59% correct which is less than a 6% edge being that most of those bets were at approximately -115. Yet I've still made over 10K on NBA player props this season. Here's a better example: If I was rolling a 20 sided Die and I agreed that if it came up 1 to 11 you would Win but it came up 12 to 20 I would Win. Here's the catch, you have to bet $11 to Win $10(-110). Would you do it? You'd be foolish not to. In fact if you were smart you would do as many rolls as you possibly could as long as I was making this offer. The reason why is, you will win 55% of the time. And even if you are paying -110 you will still have a 2.62% edge. Now most gamblers probably don't know their edge so maybe it IS foolish. But if you DO know your edge then there is nothing wrong with making a bunch of bets.

[brahmabull117]

I pretty much disagree. 5 games in a given night is not out of the question. There's a winner in each of those games.
The main reason most folks lose is not realizing that this hobby of ours is a marathon, not a sprint. Next up are and poor money management & math skills, poor disipline, trying to pay bills with a ball game and chasing.

I don't have time to elaborate tonight, but I have been doing this a lonnnnnng time. I made my first wager when I was 8 years old, so, I have been playing full time since most of you were still swimming around in your father's testicles. I didn't truly learn to play and win until after 15-20 years or so.
Some days one or two are aligned, true. But, some other days it's more, sometimes alot more, depending on one's capping perspective. Some days there aren't any that strike one's fancy. But, let me add that it is not out of the norm for me to wager on 300-400 or so sames during a successful baseball or basketball season. And, believe me, I make it work.
Brahma, everyone's strategies are different and there is more than one that works.
It doesn't necessarily mean someone is stupid for applying one of those other strategies, they are just different, that's all.
But, hey, GL to you in however you play.

here is the basic way i see it



winning percentage is what it's all about. too many people play a lot of units on several games when they would be much better off putting all their units on 1 or 2 games daily




for me, i hit around 66-70% ATS but i play very few games. I make a ton more money just betting huge amounts on 1 or 2 games a day cause i know the chance of those games hitting is very high

[wiffle]

lol player's talk

[JohnGalt2341]

here is the basic way i see it winning percentage is what it's all about. too many people play a lot of units on several games when they would be much better off putting all their units on 1 or 2 games daily for me, i hit around 66-70% ATS but i play very few games. I make a ton more money just betting huge amounts on 1 or 2 games a day cause i know the chance of those games hitting is very high

If you truly hit 66 to 70% of your ATS plays then you are a gambling God without a doubt. However, you'd probably make way more money making WAY more bets at smaller amounts and hitting only 57%.

Today is April 8th. I'm just curious, by your estimation how long do you think it will take you to make 100 plays from this date? I'd like to make a wager with you that you don't hit 60% ATS or O/U after 100 plays. Are you up for it? You can make less than 5 plays a week for all I care. I got all the time in the world. Just as long as you post all your plays.

[brahmabull117]

However, you'd probably make way more money making WAY more bets at smaller amounts and hitting only 57%.

see this crap is exactly what i'm talking aout


that is pure nonsense


lets say for example, you have 4500 dollars to bet


if you bet 9 games at 500 dollars each and win 6 out of 9, that is around 1500 dollars you're winning


if you bet 18 games at 250 dollars each and only win 10 out of 18, you're only winning around 500 dollars




winning percentage>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>all

[BettingWizard]

you're not going to hit 6 out of 9 long-term. I do agree though a lot of people would be better off just laying extra dough on the one game they really like

[slatter]

Sounds like all you guys are "instinct bettors" and not anyone who has spent any legitimate time creating a model. Once you have a model established, if all 10 games' lines are off by a few points, you bet them.

[JohnGalt2341]

see this crap is exactly what i'm talking aout that is pure nonsense lets say for example, you have 4500 dollars to bet if you bet 9 games at 500 dollars each and win 6 out of 9, that is around 1500 dollars you're winning if you bet 18 games at 250 dollars each and only win 10 out of 18, you're only winning around 500 dollars winning percentage>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>all

Couple of things here, if you are making $500 wagers at -110 and you Win 6 out of 9... your profit is $1227.27. Where did you come up with $1500? Even if you are betting $550 at -110 and you won 6 out of 9 your profit would still only be $1350.

Secondly, I don't believe there is a Handicapper on the planet that consistently hits 6 out of 9. AND 10 out of 18 is not 57%. It's 55.5% repeating. Lets say you made 70 plays at $250 and you hit 57%. That would be 40 wins and 30 losses. Your profit would be approximately $1600. That might not seem like a lot of money for the number of plays you made but it can realistically be achieved if you are REALLY good. I would worship any Capper that can consistently hit 60% ATS or O/U. Especially if they were giving me their picks. It's incredibly rare. I don't think you can do it, nor do I think very many people(if any) on this board can do it. I'll gladly bet anyone on this board that they won't Win AT LEAST 60 out of their next 100 bets ATS or O/U.

[LLXC]

Sounds like all you guys are "instinct bettors" and not anyone who has spent any legitimate time creating a model. Once you have a model established, if all 10 games' lines are off by a few points, you bet them.

Yup, all about finding value. Some days you have huge cards, some days you have empty ones.

[chemicalbrother]

5 games a night is stupid


do you like losing money?

apparently he does. he's been doing it pretty consistently for quite a while now.

[frostno98]

playing way too many on a daily basis



there's really only 1 or 2 games on any given day that look like a sure thing (or as much of a sure thing as possible in gambling). There is only 1-2 games where everything is aligned properly for one team to be a clear favorite to cover the spread. Last night was Denver and GSW (i made threads on both games), tonight is nyk and lac


there's way too many guys on this site who play 5 or 6 games ( trying to be smart and 'minimize risk') a day and that is just plain stupid


80-90% of games are handicapped near perfectly by Vegas. You're not gonna make any money trying to outsmart vegas on that many games daily

And who da F....k are you, Chris Money Maker

[THE HITMAN]

This could go on forever, especially with some of the stats thrown around that don't add up.
But, when talking about value.............what's value to one may not be to another. Value, like beauty, is in the eyes of the beholder.

[noties]

laying large ml wagers

[madrabbit]

playing way too many on a daily basis



there's really only 1 or 2 games on any given day that look like a sure thing (or as much of a sure thing as possible in gambling). There is only 1-2 games where everything is aligned properly for one team to be a clear favorite to cover the spread. Last night was Denver and GSW (i made threads on both games), tonight is nyk and lac


there's way too many guys on this site who play 5 or 6 games ( trying to be smart and 'minimize risk') a day and that is just plain stupid


80-90% of games are handicapped near perfectly by Vegas. You're not gonna make any money trying to outsmart vegas on that many games daily

exactly. Good post.

[Regul8er]

Chasing without question. We all do it, and it barries us all at one point in time or another.

[adlai]

no such thing as a sure thing.

[jjgold]

Even spot betting your going to go on a 3-11 type run and get burried

No matter what strategy you use eventually you will be in red

[C-Gold]

Chasing without question. We all do it, and it barries us all at one point in time or another.

I've been chasing and getting by but I'm worried I'm going to get burried.

You know what my problem is. I bet on a few games and it seems like I always LOSE the first game I bet on. There are games at 7PM, 8PM and 9PM and I feel like I always start out behind and have to win the other games. It's freaking annoying. I'd rather start out good, play with house money, feel good and piss it away than start out losing, feel bad and have to win my money back.

[Tech N9ne]

see this crap is exactly what i'm talking aout


that is pure nonsense


lets say for example, you have 4500 dollars to bet


if you bet 9 games at 500 dollars each and win 6 out of 9, that is around 1500 dollars you're winning


if you bet 18 games at 250 dollars each and only win 10 out of 18, you're only winning around 500 dollars




winning percentage>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> >>>all

[ShogunRua]

So many brahma gems over the months...impossible to keep track of them all.

[Full Time Hobo]

see this crap is exactly what i'm talking aout that is pure nonsense lets say for example, you have 4500 dollars to bet if you bet 9 games at 500 dollars each and win 6 out of 9, that is around 1500 dollars you're winning if you bet 18 games at 250 dollars each and only win 10 out of 18, you're only winning around 500 dollars winning percentage>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>all

You should only bet games you have an edge on.

[Tech N9ne]

So many brahma gems over the months...impossible to keep track of them all.

never gets old..
Will always be there for a good laugh

[mh217]

you will never know when your wins will come, or your losses...so do your handicapping and bet everything that looks good to you...if you like a bunch of games, bet a bunch of games..if you like a couple, bet a couple...just try to avoid playing stuff that is super chalky...i really feel bad for the people that think parlaying huge moneylines is the way to go or that teasers will make you money.....those are sucker bets...smarten up and learn how to get your edges by betting quarters and halves.. dont be scared to bet those kinds of plays if they figure...

[sideloaded]

bull you're a fuking hamburger

[big0mar]

I've made well over 30 bets on some days

Thousands of games played daily around the world

Expand your horizons

[mh217]

I've made well over 30 bets on some days Thousands of games played daily around the world Expand your horizons

amen to that .. i dominate jap soccer!!

[Tech N9ne]

Brahama will never learn

He's too busy jerking off on the rocks chest

[ShogunRua]

for me, i hit around 66-70% ATS but i play very few games. I make a ton more money just betting huge amounts on 1 or 2 games a day cause i know the chance of those games hitting is very high

[warriorfan707]

Biggest mistake guys make in gambling is reading these fukkin forums and letting someone elses stupid ass opinion sway them