1. 03-29-11 12:43 PM #71
    blowseq
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    good luck today!! and if JJ wants to meet you, then meet him
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  2. 03-29-11 12:44 PM #72
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by blowseq View Post
    good luck today!! and if JJ wants to meet you, then meet him

    I dont understand why or what for?

    Thanks
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  3. 03-29-11 12:45 PM #73
    DR225
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    You need to stop making so many picks man. Just go with your strongest 2-3 plays. It's not a coincidence that your record became progressively worse the more plays you added. Anyway, bol and I hope all of them cash.
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  4. 03-29-11 12:45 PM #74
    scarface2738
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    lol thanks!
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  5. 03-29-11 12:50 PM #75
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    You need to stop making so many picks man. Just go with your strongest 2-3 plays. It's not a coincidence that your record became progressively worse the more plays you added. Anyway, bol and I hope all of them cash.

    I have tried that before, and usually my strong plays are the ones i get unlucky with.. I have had one losing day in 5 days 4-5-1 (thats not bad). If i would have only made 2-3 plays i would probably have at least 2 losing days, and a lower record.
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  6. 03-29-11 01:26 PM #76
    actiondan
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    Let us know how the meeting goes
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  7. 03-29-11 01:42 PM #77
    Smalo89
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    gl dmavs on your plays today
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  8. 03-29-11 02:06 PM #78
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by actiondan View Post
    Let us know how the meeting goes

    What are his meetings usually about?
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  9. 03-29-11 04:08 PM #79
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by DR225 View Post
    You need to stop making so many picks man. Just go with your strongest 2-3 plays. It's not a coincidence that your record became progressively worse the more plays you added. Anyway, bol and I hope all of them cash.
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  10. 03-29-11 04:15 PM #80
    DMAVS
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    Dont worry guys, I will also be posting 1st half line, quarter lines, and halftime lines

    Just to show that the amount of picks dont matter
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  11. 03-29-11 04:25 PM #81
    DMAVS
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    First half picks!!

    Miami -8
    under 101
    New Jersey +4
    under 103
    Golden State +6 1/2
    over 110 1/2
    Phoenix -1/2
    over 108 1/2
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  12. 03-29-11 06:59 PM #82
    DMAVS
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    Halftime picks:

    Wichita state vs wichita state under 77
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  13. 03-29-11 07:05 PM #83
    DMAVS
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    Miami -8
    under 101
    New Jersey +4
    under 103
    Golden State +6 1/2
    over 110 1/2
    Phoenix -1/2
    over 108 1/2
    Last edited by DMAVS; 03-29-11 at 10:13 PM.
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  14. 03-29-11 07:06 PM #84
    DMAVS
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    2h new jersey -1
    under 100
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  15. 03-29-11 07:15 PM #85
    DMAVS
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    2h miami -13
    over 97 1/2
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  16. 03-29-11 08:00 PM #86
    DMAVS
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    Wichita state vs wichita state under 77
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  17. 03-29-11 08:04 PM #87
    DMAVS
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    2h new jersey -1
    under 100
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  18. 03-29-11 08:08 PM #88
    DMAVS
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    Miami -13
    under 197 1/2
    new jersey +7
    under 203 1/2
    golden state +11
    over 214 1/2
    phoenix -1
    over 214 1/2
    wichita state -2 1/2
    under 144
    alabama -2 1/2
    under 143 1/2
    Last edited by DMAVS; 03-29-11 at 10:28 PM.
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  19. 03-29-11 08:14 PM #89
    DMAVS
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    2h GOLDEN STATE +4
    over 104
    Last edited by DMAVS; 03-29-11 at 09:37 PM.
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  20. 03-29-11 09:07 PM #90
    DMAVS
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    2h miami -13
    over 97 1/2
    Last edited by DMAVS; 03-29-11 at 09:38 PM.
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  21. 03-29-11 09:18 PM #91
    DMAVS
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    2H alabama pk
    under 77
    Last edited by DMAVS; 03-29-11 at 10:28 PM.
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  22. 03-29-11 09:22 PM #92
    Qtip
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    Quote Originally Posted by DMAVS View Post
    2h miami -13
    over 97 1/2
    Total was 97, over was a loss.
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  23. 03-29-11 09:39 PM #93
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by Qtip View Post
    Total was 97, over was a loss.
    Thanks Sorry about that
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  24. 03-29-11 10:09 PM #94
    DMAVS
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    2H phoenix -1
    over 107 1/2
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  25. 03-30-11 07:38 AM #95
    DMAVS
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    17-14 on the 29th 55%
    41-27 60% in 6 days
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  26. 03-30-11 08:15 AM #96
    MartinBlank
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    Quote Originally Posted by DMAVS View Post
    17-14 on the 29th 55%
    41-27 60% in 6 days
    That is what is called "data snooping".

    It is picking a date or point of reference to make your record appear better than it actually is.

    You are 60% over the last 6 days? okay, what about the last 8 days? or the last 10 days?

    Let's be honest here. In your bet you had with me in the NCAA/NIT tourney, you guaranteed 66% and missed it by 16%. And that is over the last 14 days.
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  27. 03-30-11 08:25 AM #97
    DMAVS
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    If you want me to look back at every single pick i have made here.. it would be around that percentage. Let me look them all up
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  28. 03-30-11 08:40 AM #98
    captrobey
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    Good luck with your picks today
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  29. 03-30-11 08:56 AM #99
    Swinging Johnson
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    DMAVS...you are in a forum with guys who have been around the block more than twice regarding sports gambling. Your affinity for parlays and the pure volume of bets exposes you as a young guy who hasn't been doing it long enough to know this is a recipe for disaster.

    Now, even the most grizzled veterans are willing to listen to anyone, young or old, who can pick winners on a consistent basis. Everyone realizes even the very best will have losing days and losing weeks and yes even losing months. However, it is painfully obvious your desire to prove everyone wrong by maintaining your "style" is at the very least stubborness and at the worst, an addictive pattern of insanity that Einstein quoted as "doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results."

    I am not saying you're bad but the problem is, if you continue like this, nobody will ever know if you're good either. Nobody overcomes the odds you've stacked against yourself. It's tough enough to pick out 1-3 games a night and get above 55% never mind betting dozens of plays in the course of an evening and espousing parlays as a winning methodology. You're going to lose your audience if you continue but I suspect you won't change even though the consequences will be a thread that will sink to the depths of this forum.
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  30. 03-30-11 09:06 AM #100
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by MartinBlank View Post
    That is what is called "data snooping".

    It is picking a date or point of reference to make your record appear better than it actually is.

    You are 60% over the last 6 days? okay, what about the last 8 days? or the last 10 days?

    Let's be honest here. In your bet you had with me in the NCAA/NIT tourney, you guaranteed 66% and missed it by 16%. And that is over the last 14 days.
    137-127 are my picks outside this thread (not including the parlay picks that would increase my record) 52%

    overall with 41-27
    178-154 54%

    I will add the parlay picks with swinging johnson later (since we cant be "selective" and it has to be all the picks..)
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  31. 03-30-11 09:25 AM #101
    Swinging Johnson
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    No need to research. Your parlays lost a total of 60 units and you went 0-16 in parlays. You cannot count each pick in the parlays individually as each parlay itself is construed as a single bet.
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  32. 03-30-11 09:34 AM #102
    DMAVS
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swinging Johnson View Post
    No need to research. Your parlays lost a total of 60 units and you went 0-16 in parlays. You cannot count each pick in the parlays individually as each parlay itself is construed as a single bet.
    Haha thats fine by me.. I will keep my 54% 178-154 in about a month of work
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  33. 03-30-11 09:46 AM #103
    Swinging Johnson
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    Quote Originally Posted by DMAVS View Post
    Haha thats fine by me.. I will keep my 54% 178-154 in about a month of work
    What about adding the 16 losses? Doesn't that make you 178-170 at 51%?
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  34. 03-30-11 09:52 AM #104
    jorge1
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    I dont mean to budge into you guys discussion, but usually for my book-keeping i keep parlays separate...The payoff is way larger, so its gotta be separate.

    If you account one parlay winning, as one win, part of the whole lump sum, then its not realistic, because that parlay won you alot more than just one unit. Just my thoughts...
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  35. 03-30-11 10:47 AM #105
    MartinBlank
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    Whoa there Nellie.

    You are counting your 54% overall record, but ignoring all your parlay losses?

    When added all up, I am guessing your are down for overall units.
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