Quote Originally Posted by the_situation View Post
careful with 80% of the public on them
The things wrong with this statement:
1) Its the middle of the night. Talk about public betting percentages within 2-3 hours of tipoff and you might have something meaningful.
2) The large majority of "the betting public" hasn't bet yet because (again), its the middle of the night in North America. Sports Insights is reporting 74% of 249 bets being on the Thunder... So what? I don't mind being in that group of bettors that take the line early at -7 instead of during the day tomorrow at -7.5 or -8.

Public betting percentages are referenced far too often as primary reasoning for/against plays.