Originally posted on 02/23/2008:

To you guys saying it is all luck, do you honestly not believe in mathematics?

Do you believe that if I have AcAs and you have AhKh pre-flop, and we both go all in, I will win 87 times out of 100 and you will win 13 times?

IT ISN'T LUCK when you hit it! It is the natural order of things!

Great poker players can consistently put themselves in situations where they have a better chance of winning the pot then you do heads up.

Great players can also sense weakness in you and get you out of a pot even when their cards are weaker, and they can also sense your strength and get out of a hand when they are beat.

So what if a guy goes on a bad luck run and loses the above hand 3 out of 5 times? He will win it 85 of the next 95!

I've had some absolutely horrible luck but refuse to use it as an excuse because that is what it is; an excuse. There is no such thing as someone who is "lifetime lucky" or "lifetime unlucky" in mathematical situations because MATH WILL ALWAYS PREVAIL.

If you don't believe that, then you aren't in any position to be having this conversation.