[KVB]

Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=30380324'>posted</a> on 06/29/2021:

Here's my KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Radar report so far today...

PIT loses in the Forecast but when we start talking about +160 out here we start getting contrarian adjustments. We have conflicting info here too, but it is on the radar so I'm putting it here.

LAD are actually a contrarian look based on some of the more unconventional metrics I have but it's slightly on the radar as of now because of that line, which isn't budging. Likely a pass here of course and as the forecast has SF winning with a little insurance.

LAA have the game won outright in the forecast and contarian adjustments abound. This is another good looking Angels play and note the price...I'll leave it at that, that's more for FlyMe rydahs

SEA is beat by Toronto in most forecasts and the stacking as well. The line of beter than +200 however, refelcts just the pressure Tor is UNDER. It pushes towards value and gives a contrarian look, but that's about it for now.

DET also trailing in the forecasts, which but that line is high, expressing value to some bettors. I think the books don't want the position they have but he market is hungry. It's on the radar.

KC is another very good look here. I have this game forecast a tie and we are looking at heavy pressure in the market and a generous line to boot. KC a very good play, contrarian or not.

MIN falls in line with almost all the losing forecasts...close to the percentages equating to about 1.5 points loss in each of the respective games. This time we can point to a line that is too low and not moving under the pressure, the more conventional contrarian look we are used to seeing.

BALTY and the big line again, with the public absolutely sure Houston will bounce back. What a burial it would be, defying the blowout forecast and everything, should Balty win again. They are on the radar because of the contrarian situation in the market, the adjustments are extreme. Balty was in the broader Fund yestarday.

TEX line is actually looking about right when compared to the forecasts but there are adjustments from the market. Further, Texas is a good "spot" play for a number of different types of "spot" betting techniques that should be successful in the market environment. Texas might be the diamond in the very crowded rough here.

WAS is a sneaky one here. The public likes TB but WASH is appropriately favored here as I and many levels of forecasting have Washington winning the game outright. It's Washington, fellas.

As you can see a lot of action lighting up the board. The market has tossed bettors all around the last few weeks and there's no real sign that will be letting up.

With the Contrarian Fund Backbone just leveling off of a run and the broader Fund on the bigger payout, this increase in radar activity could mean a minefield. Let's see how the market develops now that the US financial markets are peeling off for the day.

This is also developing into a good trading market for Totals as well. The UNDERs have kicked back in to play in meaningful way this last month and there will be market overreaction to the pitching policies that will further that run.

Sorry for the long post, but if you're into this, you'll probably appreciate the post.

[Texasmoney53]

Great write up here...thanks for sharing