Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=29881991'>posted</a> on 11/13/2020:

According to my compiled market info the books have done a good job splitting the money and tickets on the spread here. This includes my analysis of broader group moves across the market.

ck probably would call them steam plays...lol.

The Total is also fairly split among the tickets and public, who love those OVERS, and there has been a little extra money reflecting that love. I can also recognize what I would consider some "sharp" plays on the OVER.

The real story here market wise is that bettors, instead of seeking the +3 for Minny, are taking the Minnesota moneyline.

This analysis can be confirmed, or the other way around, to the multiple ranges of forecasts I produce, including my stacking percentages forecast mentioned above, showing a 31-31 tie, with a slight edge to Iowa on the ml. The market reflects that in the line in the offered price with vig and the action reflects in the value the moneyline offers there on Minny.

It's not a sophistacated market, there haven't been enough games, the books know it too and aren't exactly taking a large position here either way.

I suppose an Iowa 3 point favors the split situation, but it's not really worth getting into at this point in the season.

As we enter the last hour of trading more information will come down the pipeline, I suspect it will confirm what I have here and don't expect the books to do anything more significant. But as volume climbs in the last hour, you never know.

These are two bad teams on a Firday night, let the thing play out and catch a better spot later, in my opinion.

Good Luck whatever you bet.

Also, it's Banana BJ day...