Originally posted on 07/05/2018:

I have been working on a system designed to leverage the sports books lines against them. It is based on the following concepts.

For any given game, there are many previous games very similar to today’s game. If you look at the results of these “like” games, you will get distribution of final scores. These can be used with today’s odds to identify potential wagers.

The sports book odds on any given game can be compared to the odds of previous games to identify many “like” games. The distribution of the results of these can be used to identify potential wagers for today.

Any thoughts on this approach?