Originally <a href='https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/showthread.php?p=27069642'>posted</a> on 07/06/2017:

It’s only week three and the markets haven’t matured yet but I can weigh in a bit here. In the past I’ve only given the sharp forecast for the CFL and talked about other forecasts relative to the sharp one. That sharp forecast is dynamic and hasn’t hit below 60% for a season yet…real talk.

But we need at least four games to get that forecast refined, something that is true for most sports.

I can make a non-predictive public gauge that gives us a 24-20 BC win. The sharpest forecast I can make that basically stacks percentages gives us a 27-22 BC victory.

I agree with Chucky that there is little value in the total based on that stacking forecast.

I think this will sideline those early bettors that are a bit more sophisticated in their decision making, leaving the OVER ripe to pay given last week’s Totals fiasco.

Jay, an Under tonight would stretch the market more than I think it wants to stretch and am not surprised that the line has crept upward as analysts seek some of that settlement from last week.

As far as BC -3, I am one of those that agreed with BC -2.5 from a long term perspective for early season, but -3 is not a bet and will probably end up being a push here.

No bet at -3 and a pass or the Over for tonight is what many analysts will seek, but the bet size and money isn’t that great and confidence only so high.

As far as upsets and favorites, it’s worth noting that the early line in BC vs. Toronto last Friday had BC favored. As far as opening lines are concerned (and they are important) this has been the only favorite that has covered.

Some bettors had Winnipeg -1 last week, but that line opened a pick and closed with Saskatch -1.5.

Well Jay, this thread may have triggered the motivation for another CFL thread, perhaps this will be it.

Good Luck tonight.