Originally posted on 06/28/2015:

Quote Originally Posted by BamaCBass View Post
LT, since ppl don't always know what your model predicts, can you generalize how many cents off your price would still be justified as a play with value? Sorry if already asked but how many cents off actual lines, as a rule of thumb, do you require to justify a play? Thanks in advance.
If I was basing all of my bets 100% off of model results, answer would be 10%. But in realty, I have at times made bets on plays that were just pennies off and passed on plays with more than 10% variance, so I do use SOME judgement.