Originally posted on 05/28/2015:
You seem to still be misinterpretting what I am trying to say so hopefully this response I posted in another thread will clear things up:
Not "due", it is natural regression expected. BIG Difference.
"Due" means a pitcher has been pitching very well and now may be the chance to throw in an inevitable stinker. I do NOT believe in the "Due Theory" because of a pitcher has strong peripherals, there is no reason to suddenly expect a bad outing this time.
Natural regression is a pitcher that has been pitching well but has been outperforming his peripheral stats, as generally speaking, mainstream numbers will converge to peripherals. THAT is the case with Martinez, who has awful peripherals.