Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=21734541'>posted</a> on 04/27/2014:

Nishikori is way overpriced here. I don't think the books are respecting Giraldo's form at the moment. I think they derived this line from the recent matchups but those were on hardcourts. Giraldo is a totally different player on clay and he actually took Nishikori to the brink and almost beat him in a tough grueling five setter at the French Open a few years ago. His groundstrokes and serving is on another level right now and he can beat top twenty players on this surface. This is an insane line and I'm not passing it up.

I think the best method is to take Giraldo +4.5 games and a separate bet for an equal amount on the money line. At worst, you'll push because I seriously doubt Nishikori will cover the games spread against Giraldo's form at the moment.


Best of Luck