Originally posted on 03/04/2014:
No I do not. I don't subscribe at all to the theory of "take it easy at the beginning of the season". Traditionally I have made the most money in the first 6 weeks of a season (especially in NRL and NBA). Why should I wait for the sportsbook handicappers to "catch up", as they are relying far more on raw data and statistics and hence their line will usually be off at the beginning of a season.
Things change slowly in NRL. A club's style and culture will not change much over 1 offseason (with a coaching change being an obvious exception). Besides when you follow the game as closely as I do you are always confident and ready to go. I have literally been waiting for the season to start since early January.