Originally posted on 04/13/2013:

Quote Originally Posted by l3randonf View Post
What about my thoughts on the Stars vs Sharks tonight? What is your opinion?

Also, where do you go to find stats? Or, do you simply look at the games and use your knowledge of the teams and their trends to make your decisions? Sportsbook offers a pretty in depth trend and matchup analysis for free that I follow but wondering if there is something better.
If I HAD to make a play here the best value is Dallas including ot IMO. I almost put $50 on it, but it just wasnt juicy enough for me.

I get my info from all over, but I do NOT overanalyze. I am an intelligent guy and have 35 years of being a stats guru behind me. As a 10 year old kid I used to wait for the paper every Tuesday so I could break down the entire NHL mathematically.

I do not do any of this any more. It is a combination of trends, experience and talent, but it goes WAY beyond that. A person with enough experience and intelligence, that has an eye for these kind of things need to go with their initial feelings on games. I am not saying I am any sort of genius, but I think your mind needs to work a certain way....a contrarian way. If you look at last night in the NBA I took a ton of games that the public wouldn't be on....not because I avoid the public, but because I saw the value.....

I swear, if I got too deep into any game I could ALWAYS convince myself to switch sides.....do NOT overthink things, it is a killer.