Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=17339120'>posted</a> on 01/02/2013:

Quote Originally Posted by uanl View Post
Got it. Laid off gambling for over a year, trying to get back in the groove. Thanks for the advice.
if you can't backtest and prove its profitable over a 300+ sample size, don't do it. good luck.

with that said, a 4 point "ties win" teaser for CBB is +105. or about -230

a 69.7% hit rate is your breakeven.

playing this over a sample size of 16,609 games nets a 64.97% cover rate. Thats about a -9% or worse ROI.