Originally posted on 09/15/2011:

Quote Originally Posted by tomcowley View Post
Look at each starter's ERA and the team batting averages. If they're similar, see whose closer has more saves. Then bet the team with an edge in at least 2 categories.
This is silly because you're not trying to predict stuff like ERA and AVG. Instead, use stats that are predictive of the betting outcome. Thus look at a pitcher's W/L record as well as a team's W/L record.