Seattle Seahawks +5 2units
The San Francisco 49ers have no business being favored in many games this season, especially by 5.5 points against the Seattle Seahawks Sunday. San Francisco is 4-8 this season and were dealt a huge blow when Frank Gore was lost for the season two weeks ago against the Arizona Cardinals. Gore had accounted for 40% of the team's offense and he is one of the few players in the league that is irreplaceable. In their first game without Gore, the 49ers held the ball for a season-low 22:49 in a 34-16 loss to the Green Bay Packers last week. Alex Smith is just 2-5 as a starter against Seattle while Matt Hasselbeck is 10-4 as a starter against San Francisco with 25 touchdown passes. In their 31-6 loss earlier this season to the Seahawks, Smith threw a pair of interceptions and was responsible for their 1-of-15 third-down conversions. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West opponents. The 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the 49ers and the points.

Chicago Bears +3 1unit
After what Chicago did to Michael Vick and the Eagles at home 2 weeks ago, there's no reason to think it can't defeat a Patriots team with a worse defense today. New England has had 1 less day to prepare for this one, and that gives this Bears team, which has been executing the game plan flawlessly during its 5-game win streak, the advantage. It's tough to get ready to go on a short week. In fact, the Patriots are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. In addition, the Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.0 or less points. The Pats may be able to pass the football, but that won't phase this disciplined Chicago defense. In fact, Chicago is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the season. Bet the Bears.

Philadelphia Eagles -4 1unit
Just going with my gut here. The Eagles are the better team.

New York Jets -5 1unit
Expect the Jets to respond in a big way after getting brutally embarrassed by New England last week. While it can be tough to bounce back after playing the Monday nighter, because it gives you 1 less day to prepare, no teams has been better in this situation than the Jets. After they went down to Baltimore on MNF to start the season, they responded with a 28-14 win over New England on short rest. And after a MNF win over the Vikings, New York was able to go on the road and get the cover in Denver the following Sunday. In fact, the Jets are a superb 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after playing on Monday night football.

In addition, we find that playing on any team after being beaten by 28 or more points ATS the spread in its previous game has produced a 56-24 ATS record the last 10 seasons.

It is also worth noting that Miami is a dismal 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games when out for revenge following an upset loss as a home favorite. It is losing by 7.5 point on average in this situation. New York's offense was dominant in an 8-point win at Miami earlier this season. Considering how poorly the Dolphins have performed in revenge spots, I have no problem laying the points today.

Best of luck to all of you today