1. #1
    BetterBizness
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    ML Maddness

    This is the crazy azz thread dedicated to the "purity" of the NFL Money Line...

  2. #2
    BetterBizness
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    Starting with 0.5 Units on 2 very nice looking plays for parlay value...


    Baltimore +100
    KC +180
    2 Team (+435)

    Looking to start out strong... No crazy Bankroll busters. Just a half unit, particularly with the KC play which hurt me oh so many times last year...

    Fitting I would start with them this year...

  3. #3
    BetterBizness
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    OK so we're on a bit of a roll... Lets keep rolling in the 2nd half...

  4. #4
    BetterBizness
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    Starting with 0.5 Units on 2 very nice looking plays for parlay value...

    Baltimore +100
    KC +180
    2 Team (+435)
    cash 2.2 Units...

    Cassell 10/22 for 68 yards... WOW!

  5. #5
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    There are 3 Games I really love tomorrow ML...

    2 Units Cinci +120 ML
    1 Unit Miami +200 ML
    1 Unit Seahawks +160 ML

    0.25 Unit Parlay Cin+Mia+Sea = 16:1

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    There are 3 Games I really love tomorrow ML...

    2 Units Cinci +120 ML
    1 Unit Miami +200 ML
    1 Unit Seahawks +160 ML

    0.25 Unit Parlay Cin+Mia+Sea = 16:1
    Cash +2.4 Units Cinci...
    Cash +2 Units Miami...
    Lose 1 Unit Sea...
    Lose 0.25 Units Parlay


    Net +3.15 Units Week 2
    Net +2.2 Units Week 1

    Total +5.35 Units
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 09-20-10 at 02:25 AM.

  7. #7
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    4 Plays I like today... at all different levels... Mild Medium and Whoa!
    3 of them are Home Doggies...

    2 Units - TB +127
    1 Unit - Sea +171
    1 Unit - Den +217
    0.5 Units - Cleveland +569


    .5 parlay 3 team TB+Sea+Den= 18:1
    .1 Parlay 4 Team TB+Cle+Sea+Den = 125:1

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    4 Plays I like today... at all different levels... Mild Medium and Whoa!
    3 of them are Home Doggies...

    2 Units - TB +127
    1 Unit - Sea +171
    1 Unit - Den +217
    0.5 Units - Cleveland +569


    .5 parlay 3 team TB+Sea+Den= 18:1
    .1 Parlay 4 Team TB+Cle+Sea+Den = 125:1
    The funny part is that the biggest bet, TB, was the only team that had ZERO chance... Too bad Cle didn't come in, they had the lead...

    Thus

    -2 Units TB
    -1 Unit Den
    -0.5 Units Cle
    -0.6 Units Parlays

    +1.7 Units Sea

    Overall Week 3

    -2.4 Units

    Overall

    +5.35 - 2.4 = +2.95 Units

  9. #9
    cant call it
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    no take on the game tonight?

  10. #10
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    good call on the hawks by the way

  11. #11
    BetterBizness
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    I really liked Green Bay, but am only putting in this thread ML dogs for the most part... I let the game go.. Good thing I did...

    Notice every play of the 3 that lost had a shot in the 4th Quarter except for the bigger play on Tampa... ugh...

  12. #12
    hitman2010
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    +3 units, winning, keep it up man.

  13. #13
    tiekush
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    chi / nyg

    got chi -4 what u think

  14. #14
    BetterBizness
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    Even though I don't pick Favs in this thread.. I will this week... Using Spicy Factors...

    Mild:
    2 Units Sea -130

    Some Medium:
    2 Units Bal +125

    And some HOT!
    .5 Units Car +525

    Parlay

    1 Unit Sea+Bal = 3:1
    .2 Units Car+Sea+Bal = 24:1
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 10-03-10 at 08:10 PM.

  15. #15
    BetterBizness
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    I will bite on one more...

    1.5 Units Cle +100

  16. #16
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    ok Cle looks good... Carolina is Hanging on late...

    Adding one afternoon Spicy special..

    1 Unit Jacksonville +270 - They get their first win of the year, when no one expects them too...

  17. #17
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    wow.. 59 yarder... Count it...

    Cash 1 unit +270

  18. #18
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    Cash 2 Units Bal +125 = 2.5 Units
    Cash 1 Units Jac +270 = 2.7 Units

    -2 Units SeaDonkeys...
    -.5 Carolina ugh!
    -1.2 Parlay

    =+5.2 Units - 2.7 Units = +2.5 Units

    We are Up 2.5 Units in week 4... + 2.95 Units Week 1-3

    +5.45 Units Weeks 1-4

  19. #19
    BetterBizness
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    For Interest's sake.. I'm avoiding all (most) of the madness of this pickem... I am putting one small unit (as opposed to a big unit) down on

    1 Unit NE ML First Half (-102)

    From trying to cap the game, to capping the cappers OF the game on this site... I am VERY undecided... But I feel the best money is found elsewhere, and I believe that If the Fins win, it will be in the second half... So I'm going to play what I feel is a reasonably sound play and Bet the Hoodie to start strong... that's it.. Nothing else...

    The Best in whatever you play...
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 10-04-10 at 05:42 PM.

  20. #20
    loopydude11
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    Good luck, I hope NE wins both halves tho

  21. #21
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    Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

    5 Units Chi +130
    1 Unit Ten +270
    1 Unit Oak +230
    Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

    .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1


    No huge plays like last week that I see... doesn't obviously mean it won't happen... Not alot of big spreads this week...

    Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 10-10-10 at 06:12 AM.

  22. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

    [B] 5 Units Chi +130

    Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
    I like our start... Just don't like missing 3 shots at the one.... 17-3 Da Bearz!

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

    5 Units Chi +130
    1 Unit Ten +270
    1 Unit Oak +230
    Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

    .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1


    No huge plays like last week that I see... doesn't obviously mean it won't happen... Not alot of big spreads this week...

    Huge fan of the Bears winning this game.. Martz has a decent backup in Collins who has shown in his career that he can throw the ball when asked to do so... But he won't have to go nuts in the offense, he will just need to be effective and take the field position his Defense will be giving him... Route Chicago!
    Cash 5 Units Chi
    Cash 2.7 Units Ten
    Cash 2.3 Units Oak

    Net 10 Units


    Calgary still in play... Parlay still in play...

  24. #24
    BetterBizness
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    Had small $3 - 7 teamer for a dime... Still had a game left... but still ...

    Really Buffalo?

    Internet Combo Bet
    Date Time Stake Refund Win Acc. Odds Status
    Oct 10,2010 05:01 3.00 0.00 0.00 +35422 Processed
    Line Competition Match Match Date Forecast Odds Correct? Result
    1 ***NFL Football Lines*** Jacksonville Jaguars v Buffalo Bills Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Buffalo Bills -1½ -110 No 36 - 26
    2 ***NFL Football Lines*** Kansas City Chiefs v Indianapolis Colts Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Indianapolis Colts -7 -110 Yes 9 - 19
    3 ***NFL Football Lines*** St Louis Rams v Detroit Lions Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Detroit Lions -3 -110 Yes 6 - 44
    4 ***NFL Football Lines*** Chicago Bears v Carolina Panthers Oct 10, 2010 11:00 Chicago Bears To Win +130 Yes 23 - 6
    5 ***NFL Football Lines*** New York Giants v Houston Texans Oct 10, 2010 11:00 New York Giants To Win +140 Yes 34 - 10
    6 ***NFL Football Lines*** Tennessee Titans v Dallas Cowboys Oct 10, 2010 14:15 Tennessee Titans To Win +270 Yes 34 - 27
    7 CFL Lines Calgary Stampeders v Montreal Alouettes Oct 11, 2010 11:05 Calgary Stampeders To Win +150 No Result Yet No Result Yet
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 10-10-10 at 10:25 PM.

  25. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    Up 4.45 units after 4 weeks... Lets try and get a few more..

    5 Units Chi +130
    1 Unit Ten +270
    1 Unit Oak +230
    Monday - 2 Units Calgary (CFL) +150

    .5 Unit 3tm Parlay Chi+Cal+Ten= 20:1

    Miss...
    2 Units Calgary...
    0.5 Units Parlay...

    Week 5 Net = 7.5 Units

    Week 1-5 Total = 11.95 Units

  26. #26
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    Going for the Mild - Medium -Hot Approach again

    Mild -
    3 Units - Atlanta Pk (+100)

    Med
    2 Units -Den (+165)
    1 Unit - Sea (+225)


    Hot
    0.5 Units Det (+400)

    Parlay
    0.5 Units - Atl+Den+Sea = 17:1

  27. #27
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    Updated Scorecard

    Denver Jobbed us.. Atlanta didn't bother showing up.. Oddly enough Detroit had one of the best shots of the day early on...

    Cash
    Seattle 2.25 Units

    Miss
    3 Units Atl
    2 Units Den
    0.5 Units Det
    0.5 units Parlay

    Week 6 Net = -3.75 Units
    Weeks 1-6 Total = +8.2 Units

  28. #28
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    Going to take a shot against the One time Superbowl contenders... The 49ers... As well though I really like Phily in this spot to win not just cover... But some good value in +130... Some pure shot taking for value with Cleveland...

    2 Units Phily +130
    1 Unit Carolina +126
    0.25 Units Cleveland +516
    Last edited by BetterBizness; 10-24-10 at 01:54 PM.

  29. #29
    manicart
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    Pittsburgh -150
    cincinnati +160
    kansas city -430
    philadelphia +125

  30. #30
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    Quote Originally Posted by manicart View Post
    Pittsburgh -150
    cincinnati +160
    kansas city -430
    philadelphia +125
    You serious? KC -430?

    I appreciate you coming to the thread and putting up opinions...

    But this thread is about the value of the moneyline as much as it is about the purity.... If you feel like you want to put your house on a -430, that's fine, but its pretty clear ML's over -200 this year have been pretty scary...

    I stayed away from Cinci ML, it that looks like a good decision as well so far...

  31. #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by BetterBizness View Post
    Going to take a shot against the One time Superbowl contenders... The 49ers... As well though I really like Phily in this spot to win not just cover... But some good value in +130... Some pure shot taking for value with Cleveland...

    2 Units Phily +130
    1 Unit Carolina +126
    0.25 Units Cleveland +516
    Cash

    1.26 Units Car
    1.29 Units Cle


    Miss (Somehow? )

    2 units Phi...

    Week 7 Net = +0.55 Units

    Weeks 1-7 Total = +8.75 Units

  32. #32
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    I like so little on this card... But I like these Aft Games...

    2 Units Seattle +110
    1 Unit Minny +19

  33. #33
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    Miss
    2 units Sea...
    1 Unit Minny...

    Week 8 Net = -3.00 Units

    Weeks 1-8 Total = +5.75 Units

  34. #34
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    I'm liking the Fins alot in this spot, especially considering their road game... Cleveland is waiting in the weeds with this one over NE... Can't help think NE is due for a letdown... One day...

    2 Units Miami +205
    1 Unit Cleveland +168


    .25 Unit Parlay Mia+Cle+Det (24-1)

  35. #35
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    2 Units Houston -101
    1 Unit Sea +180
    1 Unit Toronto (CFL) +230

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