[Sunde91]

Is there any site that gives the % of teams that lose SU but cover/push +1 to +2.5? Someone posted an article or something before that says about 80% of the time the team that wins covers the spread.

+1 to +2.5 spreads that cover/push has to be absurdly small, like 5% absolute tops.

I think it's small enough to be negligible and take the ML for about +100 to as high as +150 as super good value.

The difference of not losing juice and the extra taken in from +even has to yield decent extra profit after a good sample of plays.

Overly square thinking?

[SmackdownV]

-2.5 to -3 is usually a vegas trap for bettors to take the home team.

Those are both trap lines and you will lose more often than win on those two spreads taking the home team.

That's the Vegas too good to be true spread.

But every year fools go pay Vinnie after a weekend of taking -2.5 to -3 lines.......and Vinny loves it.