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rochestertitans season long NFL thread get your winners
many of you know me from my great basketball picks and decent baseball picks, if you like those your are going to love my NFL picks
NFL is by far my best sport at picking winners. so hop along for the ride if youd like!!
as many of you know i only bet with SBR points because of financial reasons so points always apreciated!!
lets profit boys
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Good luck this year... Can't wait for september.
will have some good trends for you soon
will update this next section throughout next week it will be very valuable in the upcoming season so stay tuned
AFC:
Baltimore Ravens
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Buffalo Bills
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Cincinnati Bengals
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Cleveland Browns
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Denver Broncos
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Houston Texans
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Indianapolis Colts
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Jacksonville Jaguars
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Kansas City Chiefs
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Miami Dolphins
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
New England Patriots
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
New York Jets
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Oakland Raiders
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Pittsburgh Steelers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
San Diego Chargers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Tennessee Titans
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
NFC
Arizona Cardinals
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Atlanta Falcons
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Carolina Panthers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Chicago Bears
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Dallas Cowboys
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Detroit Lions
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Green Bay Packers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Minnesota Vikings
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
New Orleans Saints
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
New York Giants
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Philadelphia Eagles
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
San Francisco 49ers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Seattle Seahawks
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
St. Louis Rams
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
Washington Redskins
TRENDS TO TAIL:
TRENDS TO FADE:
GL Roch, I'm gonna put my thread up closer to kickoff. Lets make some money
Look forward to seeing these trends, I'd love to track them all going forward and see what the record comes out to for the season. I'm not a big believer in their usefulness but I'm always willing to be proved wrong!
AFC:
Baltimore Ravens
TRENDS TO TAIL:
last 2 seasons 9-1 ATS vs team w/ losing record
16-4 ATS run @home vs teams that allow less that 5.6 yards per play
18-6ATS vs teams who avg 130+rushing yrds per game
last 2 seasons 6-0 ATS in Sept.
23-10 ATS run @home in DEC
48-28 ATS on the road avenging loss since 92'
TRENDS TO FADE:
NONE
Buffalo Bills
TRENDS TO TAIL:
13-2 Under run vs teams allowing less than 17ppg
18-6 over run @home vs teams avg over 130 rushyrdspg
18-7 ATS vs teams who give up 24+ppg
14-5 under total run as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 since 2007
33-18 ATS on road vs team that average LESS than 310ypg since 92
TRENDS TO FADE:
4-13 ATS on road vs teams that give up less than 285 ypg
Cincinnati Bengals
TRENDS TO TAIL:
11-2 under run in DECsince 07
7-0 under run on road vs teams that average 375+yrds
TRENDS TO FADE:
0-8 ATS as favs last season
0-9 ATS vs teams giving up 17+ points since 07
19-43 ATS run vs teams scoring 14pts or les since 92
9-24 ATS @home in 1st month of season
Cleveland Browns
TRENDS TO TAIL:
8-0 under run vs nfc south
19-7 ATS when coming off an ATS win since 07
11-2 ATS vs teams allowing 350+ ypg
7-1 ATS in 2nd half of last season
TRENDS TO FADE:
10-24 run ATS vs teams allowing less than 3.5 YPC
Denver Broncos
TRENDS TO TAIL:
13-1 OVER run @ home vs teams that avg 130+rushing yrds PG
10-1 OVER run on road when comin off su loss
17-5ATS @ home vs team allowing less than 17ppg
TRENDS TO FADE:
1-14 ATS vs teams completing 64%+passes
over L2 seasons 1-10 ATS @ home as favs
Houston Texans
TRENDS TO TAIL:
9-0 under vs teams with losing record since 07
10-1 ATS @ home revenging loss when opp. scored 28+
7-0 OVER@ home against teams who are winning 60-75% of games
TRENDS TO FADE:
0-6 ATS against teams allowing less than 90 rushing yrds per game since 07
7-19 ATS coming off home win
Indianapolis Colts
TRENDS TO TAIL:
23-4 OVERrun on road after an upset loss
7-0 ATS on thursdays
10-2 ATS on road where line is -3 to +3
TRENDS TO FADE:
3-13 run ATS vs teams avg over 130 rushing YPG
11-25 ATS last 2 weeks of season
14-20 ATS at home against teams with losing record
Jacksonville Jaguars
TRENDS TO TAIL:
14-3 OVER run vs teams avg over 350 YPG
TRENDS TO FADE:
0-10ATS as home fav over L2 seasons
over L2 seasons 0-8 ATS vs teams avg less than 5.7 yards per pass
over last 2 seasons 5-19ATS after 1st month
over last 2 0-7 ATSvs teams scoring less than 17ppg
over last 2 7-17 ATS in conf games
Kansas City Chiefs
TRENDS TO TAIL:
11-1 ATS vs teams allowing 65% of passes being completed
23-7 under run @ home in SEPT
8-1 on road vs teams giving up more than 24 ppg since 07
TRENDS TO FADE:
4-14 ATS at home in conf games since 07
0-6 L2 seasons at home with a 3 point line
Miami Dolphins
TRENDS TO TAIL:
11-0 under at home revenging loss
8-0 ATS on road vs winning record temas
22-7 under run vs teams who outscore opp. by 6+
TRENDS TO FADE:
0-10 ATS comin off loss by 6 or less points since 07
0-9 ATS vs teams avg less than 285 ppg since 07
New England Patriots
TRENDS TO TAIL:
21-5 ATS vs teams winning 55-60%
15-3 ATS vs teams who avg 260+ passing yrds
27-10 ATSrevenging same season loss
24-10 ATS last 2 weeks of season
6-0 over total at home vs teams who avg 3.5 + YPC
TRENDS TO FADE:
none
New York Jets
TRENDS TO TAIL:
17-4 under run at home vs teams with losing record
23-8 under run on road vs teams averaging 5.5 yards per play
L2 seasons 6-0 ATS on road as 7 point or leass underdogs
TRENDS TO FADE:
1-11 ATS vs teams allowing 235+ passing yards per game since 07
3-13 ATS at home 1st 2 weeks of season
Oakland Raiders
TRENDS TO TAIL:
8-0 under vs teams giving up 24+points over last 2 seasons
TRENDS TO FADE:
1-12 ATS after coviering spread in 2 out of last 3
4-18 ATS at home vs teams with losing record
8-21 ATS on road in DEC
Pittsburgh Steelers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
30-12 ATS vs teams winning 75% or more
42-23 ATS on road in DEC since 92
15-5 OVER at home vs teams outscoring by 6+
TRENDS TO FADE:
8-19ATS as road vs of 3 points or less
7-19 ATS on road vs losing teams
San Diego Chargers
TRENDS TO TAIL:
14-1 ATS vs teams competing 61% or more of passes since 07
28-8 ATS after winning 6 out of last 8 games
10-1 ATS vs teams averaging more than 6 ypp
22-7ATS on road in dome
14-3 ATS vs AFC south
27-11 under run at home vs teams scoring 24+
TRENDS TO FADE:
none
Tennessee Titans
TRENDS TO TAIL:
26-9 over vs teams allowing 350+ ypg
18-5 ATS at home vs non conf
17-5 ATS at home as favs of 3pts or less
15-4 under on road vs teams scoring 24+
TRENDS TO FADE:
15-31 ATS as home favs of 4-10 pts
4-14 ATS vs teams who avg 375 + ypg
there is the AFC
nflx starts sunday.. will have smallplay
are you going to play the preseason games as well?
a few based on trends, for example bills are 4-0 last 4yrs ATS week 1 pre3season, titans over past 5 yrs have given up i think the number is 122pts in last preseason game, and they all went over, that is a few
also last yr all jets preseason games went over because rex didnt want to show his D
i am full of trends ill post through out the season
good luck
whos starting to *** a loittle over football i am!!
Rock a doodle doooo! I am looking toward football season as well. The pick on the Dodgers last week freaked me up as I sat on SD. oh well
my boy pitt!!
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small degenerate play:
under 33 dal/cinci .5 unit
Last edited by rochestertitans; 08-08-10 at 05:22 PM.
good luck roch
analysis: if u like it bet it, if not fade it, come on bro im not gonna analize a shitty preseason game
Roch, just curious....Do you do all your NFL bets based on trends?
No all plays are based on alot of factors,trends are only a small part of the equation I cant wait for the regular season. Preseason can be prpfitable but you need to be really lucky to. You wont see a play over a unit in nflx just not worth it, lets get our first win with the under I just placed my bet under 33 for .5 unit
I am loving that insight on RexOriginally Posted by rochestertitans
a nice middle commin up on the total prob
over 14 2nd half by the half point then you win if the score is between 20 and 33 you win both 2nd half bet and under 33 bet just my 2 cents
cash that bitch
1-0 on the nflx
hopefully you guys took advantage of that nice middle i gave ya as well
Thanks Roch for your tip. I tailed you today on the dallas bengals Under. Being from Australia i know nothing about nfl, but i know a bit about making money. Why did you stop capping the Mlb? You where doing well to.
syopped with baseball because I really dont have a passion for it and I want to put my focus 100 percent on getting the football winners, I live and die for football@!
good luck
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Gonna be interesting this year, bol
Looks interesting-I'll be checking in. Keep up the good work. Cheers
glad to see the support!
im new to nfl betting, so i look forward to your picks and i hope we all have an awesome season. thanks rochestertitan
also how can we use points to bet with??
Roch I can't wait to go on this seasons football journey. I hope you don't mind me posting in here and trying to come up with some winners.
go for it bro i love football and i feel im solid i am always open to others views plays and angles
sfi50 gave rochestertitans 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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