It seems O/U winning betting usually goes against your intuition on nationally televised games. for example, NE @ INDY O/U was 56 b/c both teams are "offensive juggernauts". Similarly, Bal/Pit O/U was low, 36 or 38 I believe, because both teams are "defensive powerhouses". Both bets went against public opinion of the teams. The bottom line is, most football games will end somewhere between 40 and 55, indicating it is wise to take the over if its in the 30 range, and under if its in the 55+ range. Unless both offenses SUCK (SF @ SEA Under 37.5)
In this game, I like the under for the following reasons:
1) Denver has a hard time putting up points, settling for FG's more often than TD's
2) If TEN has no LenDale White, its all going to rest on VY's shoulders, and he has not been doing too well lately putting up big QB #'s....(not that he ever did)
3) Both teams seem to be playing more conservatively as of late
Thoughts?